ANET
ANET · US
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| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $170.76 |
| Daily move | -1.86% |
| Strategy score | 60/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 | 58.48 (constructive, not extreme) |
| MACD | Line 5.78 / Signal 4.00 / Hist +1.77 (bullish) |
| Estimated support | $153.31 (+10.22% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | $185.76 (+8.78% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +57.17% (range $145.32-$189.82) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals populated; news empty; social not connected) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 180.06 / 173.42 / 169.53 / 162.14 | Bullish alignment; price +0.72% vs MA20 but below MA5 |
| RSI (14/6) | 58.48 / 59.83 | Constructive, mid-range, not overbought |
| MACD | 5.78 / 4.00 / +1.77 | Bullish configuration above zero line |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 78.48 / 72.84 / 89.74 | Constructive crossover; J elevated, near stretched |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 185.76 / 169.53 / 153.31 | Mid-band zone (54% of band); band expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 10.84 / +5.98% | Elevated intraday range; wide stops implied |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | 26,969,400 / +267.14% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 163.84 | Above +100; strong upside momentum |
Confirmed: The trend-following cluster agrees. MA alignment, MACD above zero, OBV accumulation, and CCI above +100 all point the same direction, and the strategy engine scores MA cross 90/100 (StrongBuy) and MACD 70/100 (Buy).
Conflicted: Momentum is mature rather than early. KDJ J at 89.74 and CCI at 163.84 are stretched, while RSI14 remains only mid-range at 58.48. Price is below MA5 ($180.06) despite the bullish stack, and MACD notes softening histogram momentum. The volume/price sub-score is the clear dissenter at 35/100 (Sell): price fell on above-average volume (~1.1x), signalling near-term supply.
Missing: No custom indicators beyond the standard panel were supplied, so nothing additional is folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 62.04 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 16.15 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 24.19 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 54.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 3.45 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $55.19 / Base $75.89 / Bull $95.35 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -55.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $9.01B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $3.51B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $217.84B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $21.66B / Equity $13.49B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The valuation picture is rich on reported fundamentals: revenue of $9.01B and net income of $3.51B (both High confidence) against a market cap of $217.84B. Trading multiples are elevated (PE 62.04, PB 16.15, P/S 24.19, EV/EBITDA 54.76), and the PEG proxy of 3.45 suggests price is running ahead of the modelled growth pace.
The StockKit DCF scenario model rows are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. That model places base fair value at $75.89 (a -55.6% gap to the current $170.76), with a Bear/Bull span of $55.19-$95.35 and a 5Y growth band of +10% to +24%. This is a wide gap between market price and the model's DCF output; treat the DCF rows as a scenario anchor rather than a target, especially given EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence. No 52-week range or dividend yield row was supplied, so both are omitted.
Confirmed news: None. No current news items were available from the configured source.
Missing data: The headline feed returned nothing to date-stamp or interpret, so there is no confirmed catalyst timeline. This lowers confidence on the event-driven portion of the analysis. Note the tension worth watching: sentiment scoring (Section 6) reports 50 scored headlines via Alpha Vantage, while the news feed here surfaced no individual items to display. The scored-sentiment aggregate exists, but the underlying headlines are not available for citation, so no catalyst-level claims can be made.
Aggregate ticker news sentiment is Positive (0.309) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 38 positive / 11 neutral / 1 negative | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums not configured | Low |
Alpha Vantage is the only connected, high-confidence source and skews clearly positive (38 of 50 headlines positive, 1 negative). This covers news/feed sentiment only, not social channels. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and social sentiment is not connected, so any Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum read is unavailable. Crowd-positioning confidence is therefore low despite the constructive news-feed tone.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 / mid-band zone at $169.53 with the bullish MA stack intact; RSI14 stays mid-range (~58) | Sustained trade between MA20 and MA5 ($169.53-$180.06); OBV accumulation slope stays positive | Loss of MA20 on rising volume, or MACD histogram rolling below zero |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA5 at $180.06 and a push toward the $185.76 resistance / Bollinger upper band on improving (not distributive) volume | Daily close above $185.76 with volume above the 20-session average of 8.71M and expanding OBV | Rejection at $185.76 with the price-down/volume-up pattern flagged by the 35/100 volume sub-score |
| Downside | Price-down-on-volume pressure persists (current ~1.1x) and price loses the mid-band | Break of $169.53 heading toward estimated support $153.31 (+10.22% below) | Recovery back above MA20 with volume normalising and KDJ/CCI resetting from stretched levels |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation / DCF gap | PE 62.04, PEG proxy 3.45, base fair-value gap -55.6% vs StockKit DCF ($75.89 base) | Any growth disappointment against the +18% base 5Y forecast | Track whether reported growth supports the elevated multiples; treat DCF as scenario anchor |
| Distribution pressure | Volume/price sub-score 35/100 (Sell): price down on ~1.1x volume | Continued down days on above-average volume | Watch daily volume vs 20-session avg (8.71M) and OBV slope for a break in accumulation |
| Stretched momentum | KDJ J 89.74, CCI20 163.84 | Momentum rollover from extreme readings | Watch for KDJ/CCI mean reversion alongside MACD histogram contraction |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 10.84 (+5.98% of price) | Wide intraday swings (day range $165.90-$176.73) | Size position/level watches to ATR; avoid tight reference levels |
| Catalyst blind spot | News feed empty; social not connected | An unpriced headline moving the tape | Recheck the news feed and connect additional sources before relying on the sentiment read |
| Data confidence gaps | EV/EBITDA Low confidence; NewsAPI/social Low | Reliance on lower-confidence inputs | Cross-check EV/EBITDA and treat social sentiment as unavailable, not neutral |
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=58中性
接近上轨，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.1x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.