VRTX
VRTX · US
VRTX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $451.63 |
| Daily move | -1.60% |
| Strategy score | 56/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 48.10 / 47.30 (neutral) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.09 / -1.53 / +0.45 |
| Estimated support | $416.08 (+7.87% away) |
| Estimated resistance | $449.98 (-0.36% away) |
| 30-session range position | +88.63% (range $412.27-$456.68) |
| Data confidence | Technicals moderate; valuation mixed; news/sentiment low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 433.88 / 439.33 / 433.03 / 446.62 | Mixed alignment; price +4.29% over MA20; MA5>MA20 noted as a golden cross |
| RSI (14/6) | 48.10 / 47.30 | Neutral momentum, no extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.09 / -1.53 / +0.45 | Cross up but below zero; momentum still recovering |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 34.75 / 45.79 / 12.65 | Soft / still repairing |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 449.98 / 433.03 / 416.08 | Near upper band (105% of band) |
| ATR14 (abs/%) | 11.82 / +2.72% | Moderate volatility envelope |
| OBV (value/slope) | -9,495,586.60 / -1.85% | Broadly flat to slightly soft |
| CCI20 | 21.99 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: trend is consolidation with neutral RSI, neutral CCI, and a MACD histogram that has turned positive (+0.45) off a fresh cross. Volume confirmation is present, with current volume +38.72% above the 20-session average (1,258,897) and the volume-price rule scoring 70/100.
Conflicted: the MA5>MA20 golden cross and price holding above MA20 point constructive, but MA60 (446.62) sits above MA5/MA10/MA20 and MACD remains below the zero line, while KDJ is soft (J at 12.65). Price near the upper Bollinger band against neutral momentum is a tension to watch.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 6.02 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 9.71 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 25.35 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 4.94 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $201.09 / Base $259.97 / Bull $332.79 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -42.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -0.03% / Base +5.97% / Bull +11.97% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $12.00B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $3.95B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $116.52B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $26.48B / Equity $19.36B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit fair-value range and PEG proxy are internally computed forecasts from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus. The base case implies a -42.4% gap to current price, and the PEG proxy of 4.94 sits well above a neutral reading, so the scenario model leans cautious on valuation even as reported revenue ($12.00B) and net income ($3.95B) carry high confidence. EV/EBITDA is flagged low confidence and should be weighted accordingly.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items were available |
No confirmed headlines were supplied, so no catalysts can be evaluated. This section is low confidence on the news axis. No earnings dates, ratings, or company developments are inferred beyond the supplied dataset. Treat the technical and reported-fundamental views as the working basis until news connectivity returns.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for VRTX. Social sources (Reddit, X, StockTwits, forums) are not connected, so no readings are presented. Sentiment is uninformative here, not negative; weight it at zero rather than as a signal.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Consolidation continues around MA20 $433.03 with neutral RSI (48.10) and CCI (21.99) | Price oscillating between support $416.08 and resistance $449.98; MACD histogram holding above zero (+0.45) | A decisive break of either the $449.98 resistance or $416.08 support on expanding volume |
| Upside | Sustained close above resistance $449.98 with volume staying above the 20-session average (+38.72% today) | MACD line crossing above zero, MA60 $446.62 reclaimed, range position holding >88% | Rejection at the upper Bollinger band (105%) and slide back under MA20; OBV slope deepening below -1.85% |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 $433.03 and the Bollinger midline | Move toward support $416.08 (+7.87% below), KDJ staying soft (J 12.65), OBV slope worsening | Reclaim of MA20 and a positive turn in OBV/MACD momentum |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upper-band rejection | Price at 105% of Bollinger band, -0.36% from resistance $449.98 | Failure to close above $449.98 | Watch daily close vs $449.98 and band position |
| Momentum still below zero | MACD line -1.09 below zero; KDJ J at 12.65 soft | MACD histogram rolling back negative | Track histogram (now +0.45) and MACD zero-line cross |
| Valuation gap | StockKit base fair value $259.97, -42.4% gap; PEG proxy 4.94 | New fundamentals widening the gap | Re-check PE 29.47 / EV/EBITDA 25.35 on data refresh |
| Thin news/sentiment coverage | No headlines; social not connected | Sudden catalyst with no prior signal | Re-poll news and sentiment sources daily |
| Volume sustainability | Volume +38.72% over 20-session average | Volume fading below average on up days | Compare daily volume vs 1,258,897 average |
1. Daily close versus resistance $449.98 (currently -0.36% away) for break or rejection. 2. MA20 $433.03 as the consolidation floor; loss of it shifts the read. 3. MACD line crossing zero and histogram holding above its current +0.45. 4. Bollinger band position relative to today's 105% reading. 5. Volume versus the 20-session average (1,258,897); confirmation needs it to stay elevated. 6. OBV 20-session slope (-1.85%) for any deeper deterioration. 7. Restored news/sentiment connectivity, given both sources returned no data.
This brief uses only the supplied dataset. Technical readings and reported fundamentals carry the stated confidence; valuation forecasts (StockKit DCF range, PEG proxy, growth forecast) are internally computed model outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment axes are low confidence because no source returned data. This is not personalized investment advice, and no returns are implied. Levels cited are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=48中性
在通道中部
价涨量增(1.4x)，走势确认
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.