MU Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- MU (MU) is trading at 900.20, with a current daily move of -2.25%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 53/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 764.91 and resistance at 1004.01; price is +15.03% from support and +11.53% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 900.20 | Daily move -2.25% |
| Strategy score | 53/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 46.30 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 2.01 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 764.91 / 1004.01 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 737.88 / 1168.68 | Price sits at +37.68% of the range |
| Volume check | -38.48% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +9.20% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 2.01, while MACD line / signal are -25.10 / -27.11.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 63.02 / 56.00 / 77.04; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (57% of band); upper / middle / lower are 1004.01 / 884.46 / 764.91.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 79.19 (+9.20% of price), OBV slope is -65.41%, and CCI20 is -25.17.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 764.91 / 1004.01; recent 30-session range is 737.88 / 1168.68.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 118.6 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 10.05 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 27.09 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 54.7 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $74.43 / Base $97.29 / Bull $125.88 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -89.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -6.57% / Base -0.57% / Bull +5.43% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $37.38B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $8.54B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $1.01T | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $134.11B / Equity $100.72B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000723125; company: MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-08-28.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Škandál vo Vysokých Tatrách: Rusovi vraj nasypali na trať prací prášok a napľuli do tváre. Tvrdí, že nikdy predtým ani potom sa tak nebál o svoj život - Pravda.sk
2. Předsudky a posměšky? Kdepak, fandové v Praze šipkařku uvítali. A ta poprvé slaví - Idnes.cz
3. Podvodník obral devadesátileté seniory z Prahy o zlaté pruty za pět milionů. Při činu ho natočila kamera - Novinky.cz
4. Andrea Růžičková: Násilí a svlékání jsou pro mě už za hranou - Novinky.cz
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Neutral (0.148) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 23 positive / 21 neutral / 6 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Novinky.cz x2, Pravda.sk x1, Idnes.cz x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes:
- Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 764.91 and 1004.01 | Strategy score stays near 53/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 1004.01 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 764.91 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 764.91 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +9.20% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 764.91 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 1004.01 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 40/100 | Hold | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=46中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.