LRCX Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- LRCX (LRCX) is trading at 291.61, with a current daily move of -4.46%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 60/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 268.41 and resistance at 341.76; price is +7.95% from support and +17.20% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 291.61 | Daily move -4.46% |
| Strategy score | 60/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 48.91 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 3.09 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 268.41 / 341.76 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 250.50 / 438.50 | Price sits at +21.87% of the range |
| Volume check | -31.02% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +7.56% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 3.09, while MACD line / signal are -8.18 / -11.27.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 74.36 / 68.95 / 85.17; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (32% of band); upper / middle / lower are 341.76 / 305.09 / 268.41.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 23.54 (+7.56% of price), OBV slope is -73.08%, and CCI20 is 31.13.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 268.41 / 341.76; recent 30-session range is 250.50 / 438.50.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 50.62 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 29.49 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 15.83 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 42.34 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.94 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $115.51 / Base $154.09 / Bull $193.83 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -47.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +17.22% / Bull +23.22% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $23.23B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $7.27B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $367.75B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $23.53B / Equity $12.47B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000707549; company: LAM RESEARCH CORP.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2026-06-28.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Stocks Settle Mostly Lower on Hawkish US Payroll Report - Barchart.com
2. This Chip Equipment Stock Just Raised Its Dividend by 26.9%. - Barchart.com
3. Applied Materials Just Dropped 14% in a Month. Sell Now, or Buy More? - 24/7 Wall St.
4. Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is Exploring Growth Opportunities in the Semiconductor Equipment Market - Biztoc.com
6. Sentiment radar
30-day aggregated sentiment is Positive (0.682) across 194 mentions/days.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| EODHD news/social aggregate | Connected | 25 positive days / 0 neutral / 2 negative | High |
| Latest daily sentiment | 2026-08-08 | 0.127 (Neutral) | Medium |
| Sentiment momentum | Available | -0.871 vs prior point | Medium |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Barchart.com x2, 24/7 Wall St. x1, Biztoc.com x1 | Medium |
Notes:
- EODHD symbol used: LRCX.US.
- This is provider-supplied aggregate sentiment, not a StockKit-invented score.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 268.41 and 341.76 | Strategy score stays near 60/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 341.76 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 268.41 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 268.41 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +7.56% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 268.41 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 341.76 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 70/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=49中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.