LRCX
LRCX · US
LRCX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $389.04 | Day range 386.90-401.00 |
| Daily move | +3.97% | - |
| Strategy score | 61/100 | Signal: Buy |
| Trend | Consolidation | Per strategy engine |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 63.61 / 68.43 | Constructive, not extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 11.48 / 11.12 / +0.36 | Bullish configuration |
| Support (watch) | 243.84 | = Bollinger lower |
| Resistance (watch) | 316.34 | = Bollinger upper |
| 30-session range position | +215.62% | Range 241.60-309.98 |
| Data confidence | Medium-low | Positioning fields conflict with live price |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | 290.20 / 291.56 / 280.09 / 249.40 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60 noted, but MA10>MA5 in the raw values | Low |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 63.61 / 68.43 | Constructive, not extreme | Medium |
| MACD | 11.48 / 11.12 / +0.36 | Bullish; above zero, momentum building | Medium |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 76.28 / 67.87 / 93.09 | Constructive crossover; J elevated | Medium |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 316.34 / 280.09 / 243.84 | Price above upper band ("200% of band") | Low |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 15.31 / +5.01% | Elevated intraday volatility | Medium |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 181,089,936 / +11.88% | Accumulation improving | Medium |
| CCI20 | 113.73 | Strong upside momentum (>100) | Medium |
Confirmed: Momentum and flow indicators agree on a constructive bias - MACD is bullish above zero (+0.36 histogram), CCI20 at 113.73 signals strong upside momentum, and OBV's +11.88% slope shows accumulation. RSI14 at 63.61 is supportive without being overbought.
Conflicted: The moving-average description ("MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60") does not match the supplied values, where MA10 (291.56) is above MA5 (290.20). More importantly, price ($389.04) is +38.90% above MA20 and printing above the Bollinger upper band (316.34) and the top of the 30-session range (309.98). Either the price gapped sharply higher very recently or the band/MA inputs are stale. KDJ's J line at 93.09 is stretched, hinting at near-term overextension.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.67 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 47.42 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 27.23 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 79.79 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 18.09 | StockKit scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $52.65 / Base $68.15 / Bull $87.36 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -82.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -0.82% / Base +5.18% / Bull +11.18% | StockKit scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| Revenue | $18.44B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.36B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $501.92B | SEC shares + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $20.79B / Equity $10.58B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit DCF scenario model is an internally computed forecast, not analyst consensus. Its base fair value ($68.15) sits -82.5% below the current $389.04 price - a very wide gap that reflects conservative modeled 5Y growth (base +5.18%) against rich trailing multiples (PE 93.67, PB 47.42, EV/EBITDA 79.79). Reported fundamentals (Revenue $18.44B, Net income $5.36B, Equity $10.58B) carry High confidence; the EV/EBITDA row is flagged Low. No 52-week-range or dividend-yield row was supplied, so both are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
| Earnings / event dates | Not supplied |
| Analyst actions | Not supplied |
Confirmed news: None. The configured source returned no headlines for LRCX, so no catalyst can be tied to today's +3.97% move from the supplied data. The latest annual income-statement period referenced is 2025-06-29 (SEC CIK 0000707549, LAM RESEARCH CORP), but no forward event dates were provided. This section is low confidence by absence - the price action is visible, the driver is not.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, forums) are not connected, so no social reading is inferred. Sentiment input is effectively empty and should not be weighted in the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What confirms it | What invalidates it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price digests recent gains near current levels; strategy trend reads "consolidation," score 61/100 | RSI14 holding ~60s (63.61), MACD staying positive (+0.36), OBV slope staying positive (+11.88%) | MACD histogram rolling negative; OBV slope flattening below zero |
| Upside | Momentum extends with volume confirmation; CCI20 (113.73) stays elevated, MACD momentum builds | Volume recovering above the 20-session average (currently -14.98% below 9.24M); price holding above the 316.34 watch level | Price falling back below 316.34 and into the 30-session range top (309.98) on rising volume |
| Downside | Overextension corrects; price is +38.90% above MA20 and above the upper band, KDJ J at 93.09 | RSI rolling out of the 60s, MACD histogram turning negative, price losing the upper-band watch level | Price reclaiming and holding above prior highs with expanding volume |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overextension / mean reversion | Price +38.90% above MA20 (280.09); above Bollinger upper (316.34); KDJ J at 93.09 | Failure to hold the 316.34 watch level | Track distance to MA20 and upper band daily |
| Weak volume confirmation | Volume -14.98% vs 20-session average (9.24M); strategy notes 价涨量缩 | Continued price gains on declining volume | Compare daily volume to 9.24M baseline |
| Stretched valuation | PE 93.67, PB 47.42, EV/EBITDA 79.79; StockKit base fair value $68.15 (-82.5% gap) | Multiple compression on any growth disappointment | Watch for fundamental updates vs reported $18.44B revenue / $5.36B net income |
| Data integrity / staleness | Price above the 30-session range top (309.98); MA alignment text conflicts with values | Persisting mismatch between live price and band/MA inputs | Re-validate MA and Bollinger inputs against the live feed |
| News / catalyst blind spot | No headlines from configured source | A move with no visible driver | Re-poll the news source before acting on price signals |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 $15.31 (+5.01% of price) | Wider daily swings (day range 386.90-401.00) | Size expectations to ~5% daily ATR |
1. Confirm whether price holds above the 316.34 watch level (Bollinger upper / stated resistance) or re-tests toward it. 2. Re-validate the MA and Bollinger inputs against the live feed, given price prints above the 30-session range top (309.98). 3. Watch daily volume versus the 20-session average of 9.24M; current reading is -14.98% below it. 4. Track MACD histogram (+0.36) for any roll toward negative, signaling momentum loss. 5. Monitor RSI14 (63.61) and KDJ J (93.09) for overextension signs. 6. Re-poll the configured news source for any catalyst behind the +3.97% move. 7. Note the StockKit base fair-value gap (-82.5% vs $68.15) as a valuation anchor against rich trailing multiples.
This brief uses only the supplied StockKit dataset. Several positioning fields (moving averages, Bollinger bands, 30-session range) conflict with the live price of $389.04 and are flagged lower confidence throughout. News and sentiment sources returned no data, so those sections reflect absence rather than a negative read. StockKit PEG, fair-value, and growth rows are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. This is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=64偏高
接近上轨，带宽扩张中
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.