LRCX
LRCX · US
LRCX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 291.61 |
| Daily move | -4.46% |
| Day high / low | 309.50 / 278.45 |
| Overall score | 48/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 49.05 / 44.61 (neutral) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 4.96 / 13.44 / -8.48 (bearish config) |
| Estimated support | 321.57 (price is -10.28% below) |
| Estimated resistance | 427.15 (price is +46.48% below) |
| 30-session range | 302.74-438.50 |
| Position in 30-session range | -8.20% (below range low) |
| Volume vs 20-session avg | -52.05% |
| Data confidence | Medium |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA | MA5 342.60 / MA10 367.90 / MA20 374.36 / MA60 318.04 | Price 291.61 below all; MAs descend short-to-mid (MA5 < MA10 < MA20). Score note: MA5 < MA20 death cross, 30/100 Sell. |
| RSI | RSI14 49.05 / RSI6 44.61 | Neutral momentum; no oversold signal yet. 50/100 Hold. |
| MACD | Line 4.96 / signal 13.44 / hist -8.48 | Bearish configuration: line below signal (death cross) though still above zero. 55/100 Hold. |
| KDJ | K 27.09 / D 31.24 / J 18.80 | Soft / still repairing in the lower half; no confirmed turn. |
| Bollinger | Upper 427.15 / mid 374.36 / lower 321.57 | Price below the lower band (-28% of band per context); stretched to the downside. 50/100 Hold. |
| ATR | ATR14 30.91 / 8.82% of price | Elevated volatility; wide daily ranges expected. |
| OBV | 100,460,786.57 / +79.02% 20-session slope | Accumulation trend improving despite price weakness. |
| CCI | CCI20-86.91 | Inside a neutral band, near the -100 lower edge. |
Confirmed: The bearish structure is consistent across MACD (death cross, negative histogram -8.48), price below all MAs, and price below the Bollinger lower band. Volume is contracting (-52.05% vs 20-session average), which the engine reads as a possible stabilization signal (量-price relationship 55/100).
Conflicted: OBV slope is strongly positive (+79.02%), pointing to accumulation, while price sits below support and the 30-session range low. RSI (49) and CCI (-86.91) are neutral rather than oversold, so momentum offers no clean directional confirmation. Most notably, the supplied precomputed MA-structure label contradicts the supplied MA values; this brief relies on the numeric values (descending MA5 < MA10 < MA20), and readers should treat the text label as lower confidence.
Missing: No custom or proprietary indicators beyond the standard panel were supplied, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 70.21 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 35.54 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 20.41 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 59.79 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 13.56 | StockKit scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $52.65 / Base $68.15 / Bull $87.36 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -76.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -0.82% / Base +5.18% / Bull +11.18% | StockKit scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| Revenue | $18.44B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.36B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $376.22B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $20.79B / Equity $10.58B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Reported fundamentals (Revenue $18.44B, Net income $5.36B, period ending 2025-06-29) are High confidence and market-cap sits at $376.22B. Trailing multiples are rich on the supplied data (PE 70.21, PB 35.54, P/S 20.41, EV/EBITDA 59.79). The rows marked StockKit scenario model - PEG proxy, fair-value range, base gap, and 5Y growth forecast - are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. The DCF base fair value ($68.15) implies a -76.6% gap to the current price; given that the scenario range sits far below observed multiples and market cap, this output should be treated with heightened caution and read as a model artifact rather than a price target. No dividend yield or explicit 52-week range field was supplied, so those rows are omitted.
| Date | Headline | Source | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | What a $10,000 Investment in Lam Research 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today | Biztoc.com | Retrospective/performance framing on LRCX specifically; attention item, not a fundamental catalyst. |
| 2026-07-31 | S&P 500 ends with its first July decline since 2014 | MarketWatch | Broad-market context; a weak tape backdrop is consistent with the -4.46% session. |
| 2026-07-31 | Chips Lead Nasdaq's Fierce Rebound, But Meta Bashed | Biztoc.com | Semiconductor sector flow reference relevant to LRCX as a chip-equipment name. |
| 2026-07-30 | Stocks Settle Sharply Higher as Microsoft Leads a Surge in Tech Stocks | Barchart.com | Tech-tape strength context. |
| 2026-07-30 | Stocks Rally on Stellar Microsoft Earnings and Chip Stock Strength | Barchart.com | Chip-strength context tied to a mega-cap earnings driver. |
Confirmed news: The five headlines above. Four are market/sector-level; one is LRCX-specific but retrospective. None contains a supplied company-specific fundamental event.
Missing data: No confirmed earnings date, guidance update, analyst rating action, or corporate event was supplied. Those catalysts are therefore treated as unknown and are not inferred here.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Biztoc.com x2, Barchart.com x2, MarketWatch x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Headline coverage is present but no provider-level sentiment score was supplied, so tone is not quantified. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not connected in the supplied data, so no social reading is generated.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price consolidates around the 291-302 zone after the -4.46% drop; volume stays contracted (-52.05% vs average) | RSI holds near neutral (49), MACD histogram (-8.48) begins narrowing, OBV stays firm (+79.02% slope) | Sustained close below the 278.45 session low, or histogram widening further |
| Upside | Reclaim of 302.74 (30-session low) then 321.57 (support / Bollinger lower band) | MACD line crossing back above signal (currently 4.96 vs 13.44), KDJ turning up from J 18.80, expanding volume on up days | Rejection at 321.57 and slide back below 291.61 |
| Downside | Acceptance below the 302.74 range low, which is already the case | Break of 278.45 session low with rising volume, CCI (-86.91) dropping below -100 | Recovery above 302.74 and a MACD histogram turn |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Downtrend continuation | Price below all MAs and below support 321.57; MACD death cross, hist -8.48; trend labeled bear | Close below 278.45 session low | Track daily closes vs 302.74 and 278.45 |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 8.82% of price | Wide daily ranges (day range 278.45-309.50) | Size any watch levels to ATR; avoid tight stops near volatile prints |
| Valuation stretch vs model | PE 70.21, EV/EBITDA 59.79; StockKit DCF base gap -76.6% | Multiple compression on any sector de-rating | Watch multiple trend vs High-confidence fundamentals (Rev $18.44B, NI $5.36B) |
| Signal conflict | OBV +79.02% vs price below support; MA label contradicts MA values | Divergence persists without price follow-through | Weight numeric MA values over the text label; confirm OBV with price |
| Data/coverage gaps | Social sentiment not connected (Low); EV/EBITDA Low confidence; no earnings date supplied | New unsupplied catalyst emerges | Revisit when sentiment feed connects or event data is supplied |
1. Daily close relative to 302.74 (30-session low) - the first reclaim hurdle. 2. Behavior at 321.57 (estimated support and Bollinger lower band coincide). 3. Defense or breach of the 278.45 session low. 4. MACD line vs signal (4.96 vs 13.44) and whether the -8.48 histogram narrows. 5. KDJ J-line (18.80) and K/D (27.09/31.24) for any upturn from soft levels. 6. Volume vs 20-session average (currently -52.05%) - expansion on up or down days. 7. OBV slope (+79.02%) for continued accumulation or a roll-over that would remove the one constructive signal.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied dataset (live quote, standard technical panel, strategy score, five NewsAPI headlines, SEC EDGAR companyfacts, and StockKit internal scenario outputs). It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise or guarantee of returns. Rows and readings marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, DCF fair-value range, base gap, 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Lower-confidence areas: EV/EBITDA (Low), social sentiment (Not connected / Low), the large DCF-vs-price gap, and the internal inconsistency between the supplied MA-structure label and the supplied MA values - where this report relies on the numeric values. No earnings date, analyst rating, dividend yield, or 52-week range was supplied, so none were created. All levels are framed as watch levels, not instructions.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强
RSI14=49中性
在通道中部
缩量回调,可能企稳
What a $10,000 Investment in Lam Research 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
Biztoc.com · 2026-08-02
S&P 500 ends with its first July decline since 2014. Here are the stocks that led the selloff.
MarketWatch · 2026-07-31
Stock Market Today: Chips Lead Nasdaq's Fierce Rebound, But Meta Bashed
Biztoc.com · 2026-07-31
Stocks Settle Sharply Higher as Microsoft Leads a Surge in Tech Stocks
Barchart.com · 2026-07-30
Stocks Rally on Stellar Microsoft Earnings and Chip Stock Strength
Barchart.com · 2026-07-30
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.