Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
PANW · US
PANW Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 287.78 |
| Daily move | +2.00% (range 276.46 / 288.81) |
| Strategy score | 57/100 (Signal: Hold) |
| Trend | Bull (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 71.26 / 61.84 (elevated) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 21.00 / 18.64 / +2.36 (bullish, momentum easing) |
| Estimated support | 161.26 (+43.97% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 277.72 (price is 3.50% above it) |
| 30-session range position | +126.44% (price above the 161.69 / 261.41 range) |
| Data confidence | Moderate on technicals; lower on volume reads and StockKit valuation models |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 253.08 / 246.19 / 219.49 / 183.51 | Bullish alignment; price +31.12% vs MA20 (extended) |
| RSI (14/6) | 71.26 / 61.84 | RSI14 overbought; potential short-term exhaustion |
| MACD | 21.00 / 18.64 / +2.36 | Bullish configuration above zero; histogram positive but momentum easing |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 84.37 / 91.33 / 70.43 | Elevated; per context still soft/repairing rather than cleanly trending |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 277.72 / 219.49 / 161.26 | Price above upper band (~109% of band); band expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 12.55 / +5.05% | Elevated volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -12,682,574.72 / +85.11% | OBV level negative but slope improving (accumulation improving) |
| CCI20 | 76.93 | Inside a neutral band |
Confirmed: Trend structure is the cleanest signal set. MA alignment, MACD above zero, and an improving OBV slope (+85.11%) all point the same direction.
Conflicted: Momentum vs. extension. RSI14 (71.26) is overbought while RSI6 (61.84) is lower, and CCI20 (76.93) is only neutral, so oscillators do not confirm fresh upside thrust. Price sits above the upper Bollinger Band and above estimated resistance, which is bullish in tape terms but stretched. The supplied volume reads are internally inconsistent: today's move is +2.00% (up), yet the strategy note describes "price down on volume," and the precomputed "current vs 20-session average" of +4.93% does not reconcile with raw volume (11,491,728 vs 20-session average 7,929,612). Treat the volume signal as lower confidence.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here. No intraday VWAP, dividend, or longer-dated trend inputs were provided.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 180.02 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 7.38 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 22.14 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 128.44 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 10 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $32.05 / Base $44.08 / Bull $55.38 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -84.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $9.22B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.13B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $204.12B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $46.27B / Equity $27.67B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Note: The PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The StockKit DCF base case ($44.08) sits far below the current price (287.78), producing a -84.7% base gap. That divergence is large and should be read as a model-vs-tape tension to investigate, not a price instruction. Reported multiples (PE 180.02, P/S 22.14, EV/EBITDA 128.44) are high in absolute terms; EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence. Dividend yield and a 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Date | Headline | Source | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | AI Bust: The Trillion-Dollar AI Question Nobody's Asking | PRNewswire | Macro AI-spending sentiment piece; relevant to sector positioning rather than a company-specific catalyst |
| 2026-06-17 | $1000 Invested In Palo Alto Networks 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today | Biztoc.com | Retrospective performance framing; reflects retail attention, not a forward catalyst |
| 2026-06-17 | The Quiet Race to Rewire the World's Encryption Before Quantum Computers Break It | PRNewswire | Post-quantum/encryption theme touches the cybersecurity demand narrative PANW operates in |
| 2026-06-15 | Amazon Route 53 Resolver DNS Firewall now supports Palo Alto Networks Advanced DNS Security (Preview) | Amazon.com | Most product-specific item: an AWS integration referencing PANW Advanced DNS Security; relevant to platform/partnership reach |
| 2026-06-13 | Jim Cramer Reveals Big Trend For Palo Alto's (PANW) Shares | Biztoc.com | Media commentary on the stock; indicates attention, no new fundamental fact |
Missing: No supplied earnings date, guidance update, analyst rating action, or transaction. Catalyst visibility from this dataset is low; the AWS integration headline is the only item tied to a concrete product development.
Aggregate ticker news sentiment is Neutral (0.139) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 15 positive / 33 neutral / 2 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | PRNewswire x2, Biztoc.com x2, Amazon.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums not configured | Low |
The connected, high-confidence feed (Alpha Vantage) skews neutral with a positive tilt and very few negatives. Social-channel sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is available or inferred.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the broken resistance/upper-band zone (~277.72) with trend structure intact | Continued bullish MA alignment, MACD above zero, OBV slope staying positive | Sustained close back below ~277.72, or MACD histogram turning negative |
| Upside | Momentum persists and oscillators reset without a meaningful pullback | RSI14 easing from 71.26 while price grinds higher, KDJ re-strengthening, volume confirming on up moves | Price stalls above the upper band with RSI rolling over and OBV slope flattening |
| Downside | Failed breakout from an overbought, over-extended position (+31.12% vs MA20) | Close below the upper band/resistance zone, RSI14 dropping back through overbought, MACD histogram contracting toward zero | Price reclaims and holds above ~277.72 with renewed momentum |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overbought pullback | RSI14 71.26 (elevated); price above upper Bollinger Band | RSI14 turning down from overbought | Watch RSI14 and the 277.72 zone for a reversal |
| Over-extension vs trend | Price +31.12% over MA20; +126.44% within 30-session range | Mean-reversion toward MA20 (219.49) | Track distance to MA20 and MA10 (246.19) as reference watch levels |
| Momentum fade | MACD histogram +2.36 but momentum easing; KDJ soft/repairing | MACD histogram contracting toward zero | Monitor MACD line vs signal (21.00 / 18.64) for a cross |
| Volume signal ambiguity | Conflicting reads: +2.00% day vs "price down on volume" note; +4.93% supplied vs raw 11.49M / 7.93M | Heavy volume on a down day | Treat volume as lower confidence; confirm direction before acting on it |
| Valuation-vs-tape gap | StockKit DCF base $44.08 vs price 287.78 (-84.7%); PE 180.02 | Sentiment shift on growth/valuation | Watch news sentiment (currently Neutral 0.139) and growth narrative |
| Thin catalyst visibility | No supplied earnings date or rating action; only one product headline | Unscheduled news driving a gap | Track the connected Alpha Vantage feed for new scored headlines |
1. The 277.72 zone (estimated resistance / Bollinger upper band) - does price hold above it or close back below. 2. RSI14 (currently 71.26) - easing vs rolling over from overbought. 3. MACD line/signal (21.00 / 18.64) and histogram (+2.36) - momentum holding or contracting. 4. Distance to MA20 (219.49) and MA10 (246.19) as downside reference watch levels for any mean reversion. 5. Volume direction relative to the 20-session average (7,929,612), given the conflicting supplied reads. 6. OBV 20-session slope (+85.11%) - accumulation continuing or flattening. 7. New scored headlines on the connected Alpha Vantage feed and any shift from the Neutral (0.139) sentiment baseline.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied dataset and is not personalized investment advice; it makes no return promises. Figures sourced from SEC EDGAR companyfacts carry the stated confidence levels. Items labeled StockKit scenario model or StockKit DCF scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Lower-confidence areas flagged above: the volume signal (internally inconsistent inputs), EV/EBITDA (Low), social sentiment (not connected), and catalyst visibility (no supplied earnings date or rating action). All price points are framed as watch levels, not instructions.
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=71超买
在通道中部,带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.0x),抛压沉重
AI Bust: The Trillion-Dollar AI Question Nobody's Asking
PRNewswire · 2026-06-18
$1000 Invested In Palo Alto Networks 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
Biztoc.com · 2026-06-17
The Quiet Race to Rewire the World's Encryption Before Quantum Computers Break It
PRNewswire · 2026-06-17
Amazon Route 53 Resolver DNS Firewall now supports Palo Alto Networks Advanced DNS Security (Preview)
Amazon.com · 2026-06-15
Jim Cramer Reveals Big Trend For Palo Alto’s (PANW) Shares
Biztoc.com · 2026-06-13
Research boundary
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