ADP
ADP · US
ADP Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $218.41 |
| Daily move | -0.16% |
| Strategy score | 66/100 (Signal: Buy) |
| Trend | Bull (bullish MA alignment) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 65.54 / 74.35 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 4.37 / 3.05 / +1.32 |
| Estimated support | $199.23 (+8.78% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | $226.80 (+3.84% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +76.97% ($188.26-$227.43) |
| Data confidence | Moderate (technicals/fundamentals populated; news and sentiment unavailable) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 221.89 / 216.64 / 213.01 / 208.47 | Bullish alignment; price +2.53% over MA20 |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 65.54 / 74.35 | Constructive but elevated; RSI6 near overbought |
| MACD | 4.37 / 3.05 / +1.32 | Bullish configuration above zero, momentum building |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 77.39 / 72.55 / 87.06 | Constructive crossover; J elevated |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 226.80 / 213.01 / 199.23 | Mid-to-upper band, ~70% of band width |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 5.99 / +2.66% | Moderate volatility envelope |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -40,126,570.71 / +8.15% | Accumulation improving despite negative absolute level |
| CCI20 | 166.81 | Strong upside momentum (>100) |
Confirmed: The trend-following cluster is aligned and mutually reinforcing - bullish MA structure, MACD above zero with a positive histogram, KDJ constructive crossover, and CCI20 at 166.81 all point to active upside momentum. OBV's +8.15% 20-session slope supports an accumulation read.
Conflicted: Oscillators are stretched against the volume picture. RSI6 at 74.35, KDJ-J at 87.06, and CCI20 at 166.81 are all in elevated territory while price sits in the upper Bollinger zone (~70% of band) just 3.84% from the $226.80 cap. Current volume is -24.74% versus the 20-session average (3,033,256), so the advance is occurring on contracting participation - the price-up/volume-down pattern flagged in the strategy score (量价关系 55/100, Hold).
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above, so none are folded in. OBV's absolute level is negative (-40.1M); only its slope is contextualized in the supplied data, which limits interpretation of the long-run accumulation base.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.88 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 14.06 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.34 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 154.59 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy (StockKit scenario model) | 1.91 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range (scenario model) | Bear $165.54 / Base $212.10 / Bull $269.16 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap (scenario model) | -2.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast (scenario model) | Bear +5.43% / Base +11.43% / Bull +17.43% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $20.56B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.08B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $89.26B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $64.48B / Equity $6.35B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes on interpretation: PEG proxy (1.91), the fair-value range, the base fair-value gap, and the 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals - they are not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair value of $212.10 sits -2.9% below the current $218.41, meaning price is modestly above the model's central case. The EV/EBITDA reading of 154.59 carries Low confidence and should be treated cautiously; it is inconsistent with the PE of 21.88 and likely reflects an EBITDA denominator or capital-structure artifact rather than an operating signal. Fundamentals data (revenue $20.56B, net income $4.08B, balance sheet) is the highest-confidence layer here, anchored to the 2025-06-30 annual period (SEC CIK 0000008670).
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available |
| Confirmed headlines | None supplied |
| Known scheduled catalysts | None supplied |
No current news items were available from the configured source, and no earnings dates, corporate actions, or scheduled events were supplied. There are therefore no confirmed headlines to interpret and no catalyst timeline to construct. This is a data gap, not evidence of an event-free period - any event-driven view here would be low confidence. Monitoring of the configured news source should continue, as the technical setup leaves price near a resistance band where a catalyst could be the deciding input.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and the social sentiment source is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are presented. Sentiment is effectively unobservable in this dataset, and any directional conclusion from crowd positioning would be unsupported. Treat the sentiment dimension as a blind spot for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 ($213.01) / mid-Bollinger zone with trend structure intact | Continued bullish MA alignment, MACD staying above zero, price oscillating between MA20 and the $226.80 band | Loss of MA20 on a closing basis; MACD histogram rolling negative |
| Upside | Volume-backed break above the $226.80 upper-band / resistance watch level | Move through $226.80 on volume returning toward or above the 20-session average (3,033,256), with OBV slope holding positive (+8.15%) and price clearing the 30-session high ($227.43) | Break occurs on continued volume contraction (currently -24.74%) and fails to hold above $226.80 |
| Downside | Rejection at resistance and rotation back through MA20 | Close below MA20 ($213.01) heading toward estimated support $199.23 (+8.78% below), with RSI/CCI unwinding from elevated levels | Price reclaims MA10 ($216.64) and MA5 ($221.89) with momentum re-accelerating |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price-up/volume-down divergence | Volume -24.74% vs 20-session average; strategy 量价关系 55/100 (Hold) | Further advance on declining volume near resistance | Track daily volume against the 3,033,256 baseline; require volume confirmation on any breakout |
| Overbought oscillators | RSI6 74.35, KDJ-J 87.06, CCI20 166.81; strategy RSI极值 45/100 and 布林带 45/100 (Hold) | Oscillators rolling over from elevated levels | Watch for bearish RSI/KDJ crossovers as early reversal cues |
| Resistance ceiling | Price +3.84% from $226.80 upper band; at +76.97% of 30-session range | Repeated failure to clear $226.80 / $227.43 | Monitor closing behavior around the upper band |
| Valuation above central case | Base fair value $212.10 is -2.9% below price; PE 21.88, PB 14.06 | Reversion toward Base scenario level | Compare price drift against the StockKit Base case |
| Information gaps | No news and no sentiment coverage from configured sources | An unmodeled event moves price | Re-check news and sentiment feeds before acting on technical levels |
| Low-confidence multiple | EV/EBITDA 154.59 (Low confidence), inconsistent with PE | Misreading the metric as an operating signal | Down-weight EV/EBITDA until a corroborating source is available |
1. Closing behavior at the $226.80 upper-Bollinger / resistance watch level and the $227.43 30-session high - a clearance versus a rejection is the primary swing. 2. Daily volume versus the 20-session average (3,033,256); confirm whether participation recovers from the current -24.74% gap, especially on any breakout attempt. 3. MA20 ($213.01) as the first downside watch level; a close below it would weaken the Base case. 4. MACD histogram (+1.32) - watch for it narrowing or flipping negative as a momentum-fade signal. 5. RSI6 (74.35) and KDJ-J (87.06) for rollovers from elevated levels. 6. Reappearance of news from the configured source, given the current blank catalyst timeline. 7. Any restoration of sentiment coverage (NewsAPI headlines or a connected social feed) to close the current visibility gap.
This brief was built only from the supplied StockKit dataset. Technical and fundamental data were well populated, but news and sentiment coverage were unavailable from the configured sources, which lowers confidence on event-driven and crowd-positioning dimensions. StockKit scenario-model outputs (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Watch levels are observational reference points, not instructions. This report is general research information and is not personalized investment advice.
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强
RSI14=66偏高
接近上轨
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.