海康威视
002415 · CN
002415 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 38.35 |
| Daily move | +1.05% |
| Day high / low | 38.65 / 37.54 |
| Strategy score | 68/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 66.87 / 74.65 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 1.03 / 0.81 / +0.22 |
| Estimated support | 32.45 |
| Estimated resistance | 37.80 |
| 30-session range position | +89.83% (range 31.02-39.18) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Medium; Fundamentals/News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 36.62 / 36.21 / 35.13 / 33.24 | Bullish alignment; price +9.17% above MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 66.87 / 74.65 | Constructive; RSI6 elevated, RSI14 not yet extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 1.03 / 0.81 / +0.22 | Bullish, above zero line, momentum building |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 71.95 / 68.82 / 78.20 | Constructive crossover; J elevated |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 37.80 / 35.13 / 32.45 | Near upper band (~110%), band widening |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 1.52 / +4.01% | Moderate-to-elevated volatility |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 680,713,616 / +539.61% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 198.90 | Strong upside momentum, above +100 (stretched) |
Confirmed: Trend, momentum, and accumulation agree. MA structure (StrongBuy 90/100), MACD (StrongBuy 85/100), OBV slope, and CCI all point the same direction, and volume-price confirms with current volume +33.81% above the 20-session average (price up on rising volume, ~1.3x).
Conflicted: Overbought/extension signals sit against the trend. RSI6 (74.65), KDJ J (78.20), CCI20 (198.90), and the Bollinger position near the upper band (scored Hold 40/100) suggest the move is stretched even while trend indicators remain positive. RSI14 (Hold 45/100) flags "偏高" without being outright extreme.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here.
No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for this symbol. Every supplied valuation axis (PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair value range, sector/industry context) is N/A at Low confidence, so per the rules those rows are omitted rather than shown as placeholders. As a result, no valuation-based view is expressed in this brief; any fundamental framing here would be unsupported. This is the lowest-confidence part of the analysis.
| Category | Status |
|---|---|
| Confirmed news | None available from the configured source |
| Missing data | Headline coverage returned no items |
There are no confirmed headlines to interpret, so no catalyst is dated or weighted here. Because news is absent, this section cannot contribute event-driven support to the technical read, and any catalyst discussion would be invented. Confidence: Low.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social platforms (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected, so no reading is attributed to them. Sentiment does not inform the view in this brief. Confidence: Low.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Trend intact while stretched: price holds between MA20 (35.13) and resistance (37.80) | MACD histogram stays positive (>0) and OBV slope stays constructive while RSI6/KDJ cool from elevated readings | Loss of MA20 (35.13) with MACD histogram turning negative |
| Upside | Acceptance above the 37.80 upper-band/resistance watch level | Continued price-volume confirmation (volume above the 20-session average of ~114.6M) and MACD momentum holding | Rejection at 37.80 and a close back inside the band, or RSI14 rolling over from overbought |
| Downside | Rejection near 37.80 with overbought unwind (RSI6 74.65, CCI 198.90, J 78.20 turning down) | Break of MA20 (35.13) toward estimated support at 32.45 (watch level, +15.38% below price) | Reclaim of the upper band with volume expansion and MACD histogram re-expanding |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overbought pullback | RSI6 74.65, KDJ J 78.20, CCI20 198.90, Bollinger ~110% of band | Failure to hold near 37.80 | Watch for RSI6/CCI rolling over and a close back inside the band |
| Extension above MA20 | Price +9.17% above MA20 (35.13) | Mean-reversion move | Track MA20 as first support reference |
| Volatility | ATR14 1.52 (+4.01% of price), band widening | Wider daily ranges | Size positions to ATR; watch day range vs 38.65/37.54 |
| No fundamental anchor | All valuation axes N/A (Low confidence) | Valuation-driven repricing | Re-check fundamentals source for updated data |
| No news/sentiment context | Headlines and sentiment unavailable | Unpriced catalyst appears | Re-poll news and sentiment sources |
1. 37.80 upper-band/resistance: watch for acceptance above vs rejection (price currently -1.42% below). 2. MACD histogram: confirm it stays positive (current +0.22) or watch for a turn negative. 3. MA20 at 35.13: first support reference; watch for a hold vs break. 4. RSI6 (74.65) and CCI20 (198.90): watch for a roll-over from stretched levels. 5. Volume vs 20-session average (~114.6M): confirm price-volume support persists (+33.81% currently). 6. Estimated support at 32.45: downside watch level (+15.38% below price). 7. Re-poll fundamentals, news, and sentiment sources to reduce the current Low-confidence gaps.
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=67偏高
突破上轨，短期超买，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.3x)，走势确认
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