StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
000001 · CN · Cached
Generated 2026-07-05 05:56 UTC

平安银行

000001 · CN

¥10.29
+0.10%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
42 / 100
Trend
bear
Data confidence
High
Research view

000001 Research Preview

1. Bottom line - **Current setup:** 平安银行 (000001) is in a technical downtrend, trading at CNY 10.29 (+0.10% on the day) with a bearish moving-average alignment (MA5 10.20 < MA20 10.69 < MA60 10.94) and price sitting -3.76% below MA20. Momentum is mixed: MACD remains bearish (histogram -0.05, line below signal and below zero) while a KDJ constructive crossover (K 23.67 > D 18.72) and a soft-but-not-washed-out RSI14 of 37.97 hint at a possible near-term stabilization attempt. - **Confidence:** Medium on technicals (full indicator set supplied). Lower confidence on catalysts and sentiment - the five supplied headlines are unrelated to the company (software/health/quantum topics), and no social sentiment provider is connected. The StockKit fair-value range and PEG proxy are internally modeled outputs, not consensus, and PEG is N/A. - **Most important condition to monitor:** The estimated support at **CNY 9.89** (also the lower Bollinger band and near the 30-session low of 9.99). Holding above this zone keeps a base-building thesis alive; a decisive break shifts the setup toward the downside scenario.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
PriceCNY 10.29
Daily move+0.10%
Overall score42/100 (Hold)
TrendBear
RSI14 / RSI637.97 / 40.44
MACD (line / signal / hist)-0.21 / -0.16 / -0.05
Estimated supportCNY 9.89 (+3.92% below price)
Estimated resistanceCNY 11.50 (+11.73% above price)
30-session range position+21.43% (range 9.99-11.39)
Data confidenceMedium (technicals); Low (news/sentiment relevance)
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead-through
MA (5/10/20/60)10.20 / 10.35 / 10.69 / 10.94Bearish alignment; MA5<MA20 death cross. Price -3.76% vs MA20.
RSI (14/6)37.97 / 40.44Soft but not oversold; no washout signal yet.
MACD (line/signal/hist)-0.21 / -0.16 / -0.05Bearish: below zero and below signal, momentum still negative.
KDJ (K/D/J)23.67 / 18.72 / 33.55Constructive crossover (K>D) from a low zone - the main countertrend positive.
Bollinger (U/M/L)11.50 / 10.69 / 9.89Mid-band zone (~25% of band); bandwidth described as expanding.
ATR14 / %0.24 / +2.32%Moderate daily volatility relative to price.
OBV / 20-sess slope-192,115,247 / -336.16%Distribution pressure visible; volume flow negative.
CCI20-78.65Inside neutral band, leaning weak but not at an extreme.

Confirmed: The bearish trend is corroborated across MA structure, MACD, and OBV. Conflicted: KDJ crossover and a low RSI point toward a possible bounce attempt, directly at odds with the MACD/MA bearish signals - a classic trend-vs-momentum divergence. Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set; OBV absolute value lacks a normalized baseline, so its slope (-336.16%) is the more interpretable read.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE4.97AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
PB0.43AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear CNY 19.02 / Base CNY 24.74 / Bull CNY 32.10StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap+140.5%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear -8.00% / Base -2.16% / Bull +3.84%StockKit scenario modelMedium
RevenueCNY 131.44BAkShare THS financial abstractMedium
Net incomeCNY 42.63BAkShare THS financial abstractMedium
EPS2.07AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
Book value per share23.91AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
Net margin+41.17%AkShare THS financial abstractMedium

Notes: PE of 4.97 and PB of 0.43 are low in absolute terms, consistent with the broad Chinese bank-sector context of sub-book valuations. The StockKit fair-value range (Base CNY 24.74) and the +140.5% base gap are internally computed DCF scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and should be treated as model views only - particularly given the negative Base 5Y growth forecast (-2.16%), which introduces internal tension in the DCF assumptions. PEG proxy is N/A and omitted. Income data references the 2025-12-31 AkShare report period.

05News and catalyst timeline

Confirmed, company-relevant catalysts: None. The five supplied headlines do not reference 平安银行 or the Chinese banking sector and carry no evident read-through to this security.

DateHeadlineSourceRelevance
2026-06-30Debugging with Ephemeral ContainersPercona.comNot company-related
2026-06-29max_binlog_cache_size replication interruption analysisCnblogs.comNot company-related
2026-06-27abcupload added to PyPIPypi.orgNot company-related
2026-06-27Southeast GA Health & Restaurant InspectionsThegeorgiavirtue.comNot company-related
2026-06-26Creotech Quantum S.A. statute change registrationBankier.plNot company-related

Missing data: No 平安银行-specific headlines, earnings dates, or regulatory items were supplied. Catalyst analysis is therefore low confidence, and no event-driven view is expressed.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverage5 headlinesPercona.com x1, Cnblogs.com x1, Pypi.org x1Medium
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion drawnLow

No provider-level sentiment score was returned for this symbol. Because the headline coverage is topically unrelated to the company and no social feed (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) is marked connected, no directional sentiment conclusion is drawn. This section is low confidence.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionsWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
**Base**Price holds the 9.89-9.99 support zone; KDJ crossover persists but MACD stays negativeSideways action inside the 30-session range (9.99-11.39); RSI14 stabilizing near 38-45Break below 9.89 support, or reclaim of MA20 (10.69) with rising OBV
**Upside**Reclaim of MA20 at 10.69, then push toward resistance 11.50 (upper Bollinger)MACD histogram turning positive; OBV 20-session slope improving from -336.16%; volume expanding above the 20-session averageFailure at MA20; volume staying below the 20-session average (currently -27.35%)
**Downside**Loss of estimated support 9.89 / 30-session low 9.99Continued negative OBV slope; MACD accelerating below zero; break of lower Bollinger bandSupport holds and RSI turns up from the current soft reading
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Trend continuation lowerBearish MA alignment; MACD below zero; price -3.76% vs MA20Break of 9.89 supportWatch daily close vs 9.89 and MACD histogram direction
Distribution / weak flowOBV -192.1M; 20-session slope -336.16%OBV slope stays negative on down daysTrack OBV slope alongside volume vs 20-session average
Weak participation on reboundsVolume -27.35% vs 20-session average; "价涨量缩" flaggedPrice rises without volume confirmationRequire volume expansion to validate any MA20 reclaim
Model-vs-market valuation gapStockKit Base fair value +140.5% above price, but Base 5Y growth -2.16%Over-reliance on internal DCFTreat fair-value range as model output, not target; reassess if growth assumptions change
Thin catalyst/sentiment data0 company-relevant headlines; social not connectedAn unmodeled news eventMonitor for company-specific filings before acting on technicals alone
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. Support integrity: Daily closes relative to CNY 9.89 (support / lower Bollinger) and the 30-session low 9.99 - highest priority. 2. MA20 reclaim attempt: Whether price recovers toward CNY 10.69, the key trend-reset level. 3. MACD histogram: Watch for the histogram (-0.05) shrinking toward zero or turning positive. 4. KDJ follow-through: Confirm whether the K>D crossover holds or fails. 5. OBV slope: Any improvement from the -336.16% distribution reading. 6. Volume confirmation: Volume versus the 20-session average (currently -27.35%) on any up-move. 7. Company-specific news: Emergence of any 平安银行-relevant headline or filing, given the current absence of relevant catalysts.

Information-use note

This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit for informational purposes only and is not personalized investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. It makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All levels cited are watch levels for observation, not instructions. Technical readings are Medium confidence; news relevance and sentiment are Low confidence due to the absence of company-specific headlines and any connected social feed. Valuation rows marked *StockKit scenario model* (fair-value range, PEG proxy, growth forecast, fair-value gap) are internally computed model outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and embed internal tension (e.g., a large positive fair-value gap against a negative Base 5Y growth assumption). Fundamental figures are sourced from AkShare THS financial abstract (income data for report period 2025-12-31). Readers should conduct independent verification before making any decision.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Deteriorating
10

MA5<MA20死叉,空头排列

MACD背离Weak
35

MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强

RSI极值Constructive
60

RSI14=38偏低

布林带Neutral
55

在通道中部,带宽扩张中

量价关系Neutral
55

价涨量缩,上涨力度不足

News & catalyst inputs

Debugging with Ephemeral Containers

Percona.com · 2026-06-30

参数引发的复制中断:max_binlog_cache_size 导致 SQL 线程异常的复现与分析 - GreatSQL

Cnblogs.com · 2026-06-29

abcupload added to PyPI

Pypi.org · 2026-06-27

Southeast GA Health & Restaurant Inspections - June 21-27, 2026 • The Georgia Virtue

Thegeorgiavirtue.com · 2026-06-27

Creotech Quantum S.A.: Rejestracja zmian statutu Spółki – podwyższenie kapitału zakładowego

Bankier.pl · 2026-06-26

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.