000001 Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- 000001 (平安银行) is trading at 11.34, with a current daily move of -0.53%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 51/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 10.94 and resistance at 11.62; price is +3.50% from support and +2.51% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 11.34 | Daily move -0.53% |
| Strategy score | 51/100 | Hold, trend: bear |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 60.56 | Constructive but not extreme |
| MACD | -0.02 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 10.94 / 11.62 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 10.38 / 11.66 | Price sits at +75.00% of the range |
| Volume check | +1.52% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +1.49% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -0.02, while MACD line / signal are 0.08 / 0.11.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 53.49 / 34.84 / 90.79; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (58% of band); upper / middle / lower are 11.62 / 11.28 / 10.94.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 0.17 (+1.49% of price), OBV slope is +457.96%, and CCI20 is 35.14.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 10.94 / 11.62; recent 30-session range is 10.38 / 11.66.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.48 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.47 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 19.02 / Base CNY 24.74 / Bull CNY 32.1 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +118.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -2.16% / Bull +3.84% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 131.44B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 42.63B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 2.07 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 24.13 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | N/A | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +36.39% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes:
- AkShare report period used for income data: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from public financial history; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. MySQL误删数据如何恢复 - Rain的Java大神实战圈 - Cnblogs.com
2. 实测GreatSQL 8.4.4-5新特性:大事务binlog独立落盘 - GreatSQL - Cnblogs.com
3. torchinstruments added to PyPI - Pypi.org
4. Scott Brannon, antiguo allegado al Herediano, deberá pagar $25 millones al gobierno de EE. UU. tras declararse culpable de apuestas ilegales - Nacion.com
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Cnblogs.com x2, Pypi.org x1, Nacion.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 10.94 and 11.62 | Strategy score stays near 51/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 11.62 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 10.94 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 10.94 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Constructive but not extreme; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +1.49% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 10.94 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 11.62 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 30/100 | Sell | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 55/100 | Hold | MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 45/100 | Hold | RSI14=61偏高 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.