平安银行
000001 · CN
000001 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 10.29 |
| Daily move | +0.10% |
| Overall score | 42/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 37.97 / 40.44 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.21 / -0.16 / -0.05 |
| Estimated support | CNY 9.89 (+3.92% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | CNY 11.50 (+11.73% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +21.43% (range 9.99-11.39) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals); Low (news/sentiment relevance) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 10.20 / 10.35 / 10.69 / 10.94 | Bearish alignment; MA5<MA20 death cross. Price -3.76% vs MA20. |
| RSI (14/6) | 37.97 / 40.44 | Soft but not oversold; no washout signal yet. |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.21 / -0.16 / -0.05 | Bearish: below zero and below signal, momentum still negative. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 23.67 / 18.72 / 33.55 | Constructive crossover (K>D) from a low zone - the main countertrend positive. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 11.50 / 10.69 / 9.89 | Mid-band zone (~25% of band); bandwidth described as expanding. |
| ATR14 / % | 0.24 / +2.32% | Moderate daily volatility relative to price. |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -192,115,247 / -336.16% | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow negative. |
| CCI20 | -78.65 | Inside neutral band, leaning weak but not at an extreme. |
Confirmed: The bearish trend is corroborated across MA structure, MACD, and OBV. Conflicted: KDJ crossover and a low RSI point toward a possible bounce attempt, directly at odds with the MACD/MA bearish signals - a classic trend-vs-momentum divergence. Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set; OBV absolute value lacks a normalized baseline, so its slope (-336.16%) is the more interpretable read.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.97 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.43 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 19.02 / Base CNY 24.74 / Bull CNY 32.10 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +140.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -2.16% / Bull +3.84% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 131.44B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 42.63B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 2.07 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 23.91 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +41.17% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes: PE of 4.97 and PB of 0.43 are low in absolute terms, consistent with the broad Chinese bank-sector context of sub-book valuations. The StockKit fair-value range (Base CNY 24.74) and the +140.5% base gap are internally computed DCF scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and should be treated as model views only - particularly given the negative Base 5Y growth forecast (-2.16%), which introduces internal tension in the DCF assumptions. PEG proxy is N/A and omitted. Income data references the 2025-12-31 AkShare report period.
Confirmed, company-relevant catalysts: None. The five supplied headlines do not reference 平安银行 or the Chinese banking sector and carry no evident read-through to this security.
| Date | Headline | Source | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Debugging with Ephemeral Containers | Percona.com | Not company-related |
| 2026-06-29 | max_binlog_cache_size replication interruption analysis | Cnblogs.com | Not company-related |
| 2026-06-27 | abcupload added to PyPI | Pypi.org | Not company-related |
| 2026-06-27 | Southeast GA Health & Restaurant Inspections | Thegeorgiavirtue.com | Not company-related |
| 2026-06-26 | Creotech Quantum S.A. statute change registration | Bankier.pl | Not company-related |
Missing data: No 平安银行-specific headlines, earnings dates, or regulatory items were supplied. Catalyst analysis is therefore low confidence, and no event-driven view is expressed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Percona.com x1, Cnblogs.com x1, Pypi.org x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion drawn | Low |
No provider-level sentiment score was returned for this symbol. Because the headline coverage is topically unrelated to the company and no social feed (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) is marked connected, no directional sentiment conclusion is drawn. This section is low confidence.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| **Base** | Price holds the 9.89-9.99 support zone; KDJ crossover persists but MACD stays negative | Sideways action inside the 30-session range (9.99-11.39); RSI14 stabilizing near 38-45 | Break below 9.89 support, or reclaim of MA20 (10.69) with rising OBV |
| **Upside** | Reclaim of MA20 at 10.69, then push toward resistance 11.50 (upper Bollinger) | MACD histogram turning positive; OBV 20-session slope improving from -336.16%; volume expanding above the 20-session average | Failure at MA20; volume staying below the 20-session average (currently -27.35%) |
| **Downside** | Loss of estimated support 9.89 / 30-session low 9.99 | Continued negative OBV slope; MACD accelerating below zero; break of lower Bollinger band | Support holds and RSI turns up from the current soft reading |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Bearish MA alignment; MACD below zero; price -3.76% vs MA20 | Break of 9.89 support | Watch daily close vs 9.89 and MACD histogram direction |
| Distribution / weak flow | OBV -192.1M; 20-session slope -336.16% | OBV slope stays negative on down days | Track OBV slope alongside volume vs 20-session average |
| Weak participation on rebounds | Volume -27.35% vs 20-session average; "价涨量缩" flagged | Price rises without volume confirmation | Require volume expansion to validate any MA20 reclaim |
| Model-vs-market valuation gap | StockKit Base fair value +140.5% above price, but Base 5Y growth -2.16% | Over-reliance on internal DCF | Treat fair-value range as model output, not target; reassess if growth assumptions change |
| Thin catalyst/sentiment data | 0 company-relevant headlines; social not connected | An unmodeled news event | Monitor for company-specific filings before acting on technicals alone |
1. Support integrity: Daily closes relative to CNY 9.89 (support / lower Bollinger) and the 30-session low 9.99 - highest priority. 2. MA20 reclaim attempt: Whether price recovers toward CNY 10.69, the key trend-reset level. 3. MACD histogram: Watch for the histogram (-0.05) shrinking toward zero or turning positive. 4. KDJ follow-through: Confirm whether the K>D crossover holds or fails. 5. OBV slope: Any improvement from the -336.16% distribution reading. 6. Volume confirmation: Volume versus the 20-session average (currently -27.35%) on any up-move. 7. Company-specific news: Emergence of any 平安银行-relevant headline or filing, given the current absence of relevant catalysts.
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit for informational purposes only and is not personalized investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. It makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All levels cited are watch levels for observation, not instructions. Technical readings are Medium confidence; news relevance and sentiment are Low confidence due to the absence of company-specific headlines and any connected social feed. Valuation rows marked *StockKit scenario model* (fair-value range, PEG proxy, growth forecast, fair-value gap) are internally computed model outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and embed internal tension (e.g., a large positive fair-value gap against a negative Base 5Y growth assumption). Fundamental figures are sourced from AkShare THS financial abstract (income data for report period 2025-12-31). Readers should conduct independent verification before making any decision.
MA5<MA20死叉,空头排列
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=38偏低
在通道中部,带宽扩张中
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Debugging with Ephemeral Containers
Percona.com · 2026-06-30
参数引发的复制中断:max_binlog_cache_size 导致 SQL 线程异常的复现与分析 - GreatSQL
Cnblogs.com · 2026-06-29
abcupload added to PyPI
Pypi.org · 2026-06-27
Southeast GA Health & Restaurant Inspections - June 21-27, 2026 • The Georgia Virtue
Thegeorgiavirtue.com · 2026-06-27
Creotech Quantum S.A.: Rejestracja zmian statutu Spółki – podwyższenie kapitału zakładowego
Bankier.pl · 2026-06-26
Research boundary
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