中国建筑
601668 · CN
601668 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 4.64 |
| Daily move | -2.52% |
| Day high / low | 4.76 / 4.63 |
| Strategy score / signal | 60/100, Buy |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 49.73 / 44.80 (neutral) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 0.02 / 0.01 / 0.01 (above zero, momentum easing) |
| Estimated support | 4.50 (watch level) |
| Estimated resistance | 4.78 (watch level) |
| 30-session range | 4.28-4.76 |
| Range position | +75% (upper third) |
| Data confidence | Technical/valuation: Medium; News/sentiment: Low (no data) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 4.69 / 4.68 / 4.64 / 4.68 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60 forms a MA5>MA20 golden cross, but price sits -0.09% under MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 49.73 / 44.80 | Neutral momentum, no overbought/oversold signal |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.02 / 0.01 / 0.01 | Bullish configuration above zero axis, histogram thin - momentum weakening |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 70.64 / 75.11 / 61.72 | Soft/still repairing; K below D suggests short-term cooling |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 4.78 / 4.64 / 4.50 | Mid-band zone (49%); no band-edge signal |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.11 / +2.42% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20d slope | -482,230,369 / +72.60% | OBV level negative but 20-session slope improving - accumulation trend firming |
| CCI20 | 50.04 | Inside neutral band |
What is confirmed: the trend/momentum bias is mildly constructive. The MA5>MA20 golden cross, MACD above zero, and an improving OBV slope (+72.60%) all point the same direction, and current volume is close to the 20-session average (-1.84%), consistent with a low-noise pullback.
What is conflicted: momentum is fading even as trend signals stay positive. The MACD histogram is thin, KDJ is repairing with K under D, and price sits fractionally below MA20 despite the golden cross. RSI and CCI are both neutral, so they neither confirm nor oppose the bull read.
What is missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this panel relies solely on the standard indicator set above.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.94 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.39 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 8.64 / Base CNY 10.35 / Bull CNY 13.47 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +123.1% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 2.08T | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 39.07B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.94 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 12.01 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +7.93% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +3.20% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes: The fair-value range, base fair-value gap, PEG proxy, and 5Y growth forecast rows are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from public financial history - internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. The PEG proxy row was N/A and is omitted; EV/EBITDA, market cap, dividend yield, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. Income data uses the AkShare report period 2025-12-31. The wide fair-value gap sits against a modest 5Y growth forecast (base -4.00%), so treat the gap as a book-value/DCF-driven observation rather than a momentum signal.
Confirmed news: none. No current news items were available from the configured source.
Missing data: because no headlines were returned, this section cannot assess event risk, earnings timing, or company-specific catalysts. No dates, ratings, or corporate actions are inferred. Any catalyst-driven view here would be unsupported, so the catalyst read is treated as low confidence and left open pending live coverage.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social platforms (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected, so no readings are drawn from them. The sentiment radar is effectively dark and should not be weighted in the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 4.50-4.78 band around MA20 (4.64) with volume near the 20-session average | Continued OBV slope improvement (+72.60%) and MACD staying above zero while price stabilizes on MA20 | Sustained close below 4.50 support or MACD rolling back under the zero axis |
| Upside | Reclaim and hold above resistance 4.78 (upper Bollinger band) | Momentum re-accelerates: RSI14 pushes above neutral (currently 49.73), KDJ turns up (K back above D), histogram expands | Failure at 4.78 on fading volume, or a reversal back toward MA20 |
| Downside | Break of 4.50 support / lower band | Price loses the 30-session mid-zone (currently +75% of range), OBV slope flattens, MACD golden cross fails | Quick recovery back above 4.50 and MA20, restoring the mid-band setup |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum fade despite bull trend | MACD histogram thin (0.01), KDJ repairing with K<D, price -0.09% under MA20 | Histogram turns negative or MACD crosses below signal | Track MACD line vs signal and KDJ K/D daily |
| Support failure | Estimated support 4.50 only +2.94% below price; equals lower Bollinger band | Close below 4.50 | Watch 4.50 as the key downside watch level |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | Any sudden move on unseen headlines | Recheck news/sentiment sources before acting on levels |
| Neutral oscillators offer no cushion | RSI14 49.73, CCI20 50.04, both mid-range | Break of range in either direction without oscillator confirmation | Use range edges (4.50 / 4.78) rather than oscillators for signals |
| Weak growth vs wide fair-value gap | Base 5Y growth -4.00% against +123.1% base fair-value gap | Model inputs revised on new financials | Treat DCF gap cautiously; revisit on next reporting period |
1. Watch the 4.50 support (lower Bollinger band) - a close below it is the highest-priority downside signal. 2. Watch the 4.78 resistance (upper Bollinger band / 30-session high proximity) - a hold above it would confirm the upside path. 3. Confirm MACD stays above the zero axis and monitor whether the histogram (0.01) expands or contracts. 4. Track KDJ for K crossing back above D (currently 70.64 vs 75.11) as an early momentum-repair tell. 5. Check whether OBV slope holds its +72.60% improvement or flattens. 6. Watch RSI14 (49.73) for a decisive move out of the neutral zone in either direction. 7. Re-poll news and sentiment sources; both are currently empty, so any incoming coverage materially changes the confidence read.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=50中性
在通道中部
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
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