金山办公
688111 · CN
688111 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 217.36 |
| Daily move | +0.96% |
| Strategy score | 42/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 38.38 / 39.78 (soft, not washed out) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -9.79 / -8.25 / -1.54 (bearish) |
| Estimated support | 201.57 (+7.27% away) |
| Estimated resistance | 262.01 (+20.54% away) |
| 30-session range position | +14.49% (range 206.38-282.18) |
| Data confidence | Medium-low (no news/sentiment feed) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 215.99 / 218.77 / 231.79 / 242.39 | Bearish stack: short MAs below long MAs; price 6.22% under MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 38.38 / 39.78 | Soft but not oversold; no washout yet |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -9.79 / -8.25 / -1.54 | Below zero with negative histogram; downside momentum intact |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 28.33 / 21.82 / 41.35 | Low and showing a constructive crossover; early stabilization signal |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 262.01 / 231.79 / 201.57 | Price at ~26% of band (mid-to-lower zone), band width expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 10.05 / +4.63% | Elevated daily range; size watch levels with ~CNY 10 noise in mind |
| OBV (value / 20d slope) | -49,520,022 / -11.39% | Distribution pressure; volume not confirming upside |
| CCI20 | -71.04 | Inside a neutral band, not yet at an extreme |
Confirmed: The bearish trend is corroborated across MA stack (MA5<MA10<MA20<MA60), MACD below zero, OBV downslope, and the MA交叉 sub-score of 10/100 (StrongSell).
Conflicted: Short-term oscillators disagree with the trend. The KDJ constructive crossover (K 28.33 over D 21.82) and a low RSI14 of 38.38 (RSI极值 sub-score 60/100, Buy) hint at a possible bounce, while MACD (-9.79) and OBV (-11.39% slope) still point down. Note also that the supplied moving-average label text reads "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60," but the actual values run the other way (215.99 < 218.77 < 231.79 < 242.39); the numbers, not the label, define the bearish alignment used here.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in. ATR14% at +4.63% flags that intraday noise is wide relative to the gaps between watch levels.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.75 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 6.66 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 3.05 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 79.6 / Base CNY 109.36 / Bull CNY 137.41 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -49.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +17.98% / Bull +23.98% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 5.93B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 1.84B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 3.97 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 32.65 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +86.59% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +136.07% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The PEG proxy (3.05) and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. On the model's own basis, the price screens rich: PE of 54.75 and PB of 6.66 sit against a base fair value of CNY 109.36, implying a -49.7% base-case gap versus the CNY 217.36 quote. The reported net margin of +136.07% exceeds the gross margin and is internally inconsistent for an operating figure, so treat that single line as lower confidence pending source review; revenue (CNY 5.93B), net income (CNY 1.84B), and EPS (3.97) are the more reliable profitability anchors. Income data uses the AkShare report period 2025-12-31. Market cap, dividend yield, EV/EBITDA, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available |
No confirmed headlines were returned from the configured source, so there is no datable catalyst timeline to build. Because no news is present, this section adds no company facts and the catalyst read is low confidence. The practical implication: near-term direction is more likely to be set by technical levels and broad-market flow than by a known scheduled event in the supplied data.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI showed no headlines and the social-sentiment connector is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is effectively unobservable here and should not be weighted in the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price oscillates between support 201.57 and MA20 231.79, score stays near 42/100 Hold | RSI14 holding the high-30s, KDJ crossover stabilizing without strong volume | Decisive break of 201.57 or clean reclaim of MA20 with rising OBV |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 (231.79) and momentum repair | MACD histogram turning toward zero, OBV 20d slope turning up from -11.39%, KDJ follow-through | Failure to hold MA10 (218.77); price rejecting back under MA5 (215.99) |
| Downside | Loss of estimated support / lower band 201.57 | OBV distribution accelerating, MACD widening below -9.79, move toward 30-session low 206.38 then lower | Quick reclaim of 201.57 and stabilization above MA5 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Bearish MA stack, MACD -9.79 below zero, MA交叉 10/100 | Break of support 201.57 | Watch 201.57 daily close and MACD histogram |
| Distribution / weak demand | OBV slope -11.39%, "price up on lighter volume" (量价 55/100) | Further OBV decline on up days | Track OBV slope vs price, volume vs 20d avg (-4.91%) |
| Valuation derating | PE 54.75, PB 6.66, base fair-value gap -49.7% | Multiple compression toward base CNY 109.36 | Compare price drift to StockKit fair-value band |
| Wide intraday noise | ATR14% +4.63%, day range 213.35-223.60 | Stop-outs from normal volatility | Size watch levels allowing ~CNY 10 ATR buffer |
| Information blind spot | No news, sentiment not connected | Unflagged catalyst moves price | Re-check news/sentiment feeds before acting on levels |
| Data integrity | Net margin +136.07% above gross margin; MA label text contradicts MA values | Reliance on inconsistent fields | Treat net-margin line and MA label as lower confidence |
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=38偏低
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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