京东方Ａ
000725 · CN
000725 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 5.97 |
| Daily move | +6.04% |
| Strategy score | 43/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 | 41.90 (soft, not washed out) |
| MACD | Line -0.37 / Signal -0.27 / Hist -0.10 (bearish) |
| Support (estimated) | 4.69 |
| Resistance (estimated) | 7.80 |
| 30-session range position | +16.15% (range 5.29-9.50) |
| Data confidence | Price/technical: Medium; Valuation: Medium/Low; News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 5.53 / 5.71 / 6.24 / 6.18 | Mixed alignment; price below MA20. MA5<MA20 death cross flagged (MA交叉 30/100, Sell). |
| RSI (14/6) | 41.90 / 42.95 | Soft but not oversold; neutral zone (RSI极值 50/100, Hold). |
| MACD | -0.37 / -0.27 / -0.10 | Bearish: line below signal, below zero, momentum building to the downside (MACD背离 35/100, Sell). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 22.83 / 17.49 / 33.50 | Constructive crossover from a low zone; the one near-term bullish tell. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 7.80 / 6.24 / 4.69 | Mid-band zone, 41% of band width (布林带 50/100, Hold). |
| ATR14 | 0.37 (+6.52% of price) | Elevated intraday range; sizing and stops should account for ~6.5% daily swing potential. |
| OBV | 37,084,739,883 (20-session slope +1.24%) | Broadly flat; no strong accumulation or distribution signal. |
| CCI20 | -73.17 | Inside a neutral band, tilted slightly negative. |
Confirmed: The bearish read is corroborated across MA structure (price under MA20), MACD (below zero, negative histogram), and CCI (sub-zero). Volume analysis (量价关系 55/100) notes price up / volume down, weak advance strength.
Conflicted: KDJ shows a constructive crossover while MACD stays bearish and RSI stays soft. This is a momentum tug-of-war, KDJ is a shorter-horizon signal and has not yet been confirmed by MACD or a MA20 reclaim.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set above, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.31 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 1.63 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 1.47 / Base CNY 1.76 / Bull CNY 2.29 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed, not consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -70.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 204.59B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 5.86B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.16 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 3.67 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +15.60% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +3.35% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes: EV/EBITDA, market cap, dividend yield, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. PEG proxy was marked N/A and is omitted. The StockKit DCF range (base CNY 1.76) implies a -70.5% gap to the CNY 5.97 price; this is a model output computed from public financial history, not an analyst consensus target, and it is sensitive to the negative 5Y growth forecast assumptions (base -4.00%). Treat the wide gap as a signal to scrutinize model growth inputs rather than as a price call. Income data uses the AkShare report period 2025-12-31.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts to anchor near-term moves; today's +6.04% session lacks an identifiable news driver in the supplied data |
Confirmed news: None supplied. Missing data: All headline coverage. With no catalysts on record, near-term direction is more likely to be driven by technical levels and broad market flow than by company-specific events. This section is low confidence.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred, as no such source is marked connected. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot here and should not be weighted in the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 5.29-6.24 zone; MACD stays below zero, KDJ crossover fades without follow-through | Range-bound action below MA20 (6.24) with OBV staying flat (+1.24% slope) | Decisive close above MA20/mid-band 6.24 on above-average volume, or a break below the 30-session low 5.29 |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 (6.24) and Bollinger mid-band; KDJ crossover (K 22.83 > D 17.49) confirmed by MACD histogram narrowing | Close above 6.24 with volume back above the 20-session average (2.47B) toward resistance 7.80 | Rejection at 6.24, or volume staying ~29% below average keeping the advance weak (量价关系 read) |
| Downside | Loss of the recent low 5.29 and MA5 (5.53) support | Bearish MACD extension below zero plus break of 5.29, opening the path toward estimated support 4.69 | Reclaim of MA5 5.53 then MA20 6.24, with KDJ crossover carrying through |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend risk (structure is bearish) | Score 43/100, Trend bear, price -4.40% vs MA20, MACD below zero | Failure to reclaim MA20 6.24 | Track daily closes vs MA20; watch MACD histogram |
| Weak-advance risk | Today's +6.04% on volume -29.09% vs 20-session average | Continued price up / volume down | Compare session volume to 2.47B 20-session average |
| Volatility risk | ATR14 = 0.37, +6.52% of price | Widening daily ranges near support/resistance | Size positions and watch levels against ~6.5% daily swing |
| Valuation-gap risk | StockKit base fair value CNY 1.76, -70.5% gap; negative 5Y growth forecast (base -4.00%) | Model inputs unchanged while price stays elevated | Review DCF growth assumptions; note PE 37.31 vs net margin 3.35% |
| Information-blindness risk | No news and no sentiment data returned | Unpriced catalyst emerges without warning | Recheck news/sentiment sources before acting on levels |
1. MA20 / Bollinger mid-band at 6.24: daily close above or below is the primary structural tell. 2. MA5 at 5.53 and 30-session low at 5.29: first supports on any pullback. 3. Volume vs the 20-session average (2.47B): confirm whether any advance is backed by participation or remains a price up / volume down move. 4. MACD histogram (-0.10): watch for narrowing (momentum easing) versus extension (bearish build). 5. KDJ follow-through: whether the K/D crossover (22.83 / 17.49) holds or fails. 6. Estimated support 4.69 and resistance 7.80: outer Bollinger bounds framing the broader range. 7. News and sentiment feeds: recheck the configured sources, both returned empty and remain low confidence.
This brief is generated from the supplied StockKit dataset only and is for general informational purposes. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to trade. Rows marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, fair-value gap, 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed model outputs, not analyst consensus. Price and technical readings are Medium confidence; valuation is Medium/Low; news and sentiment are Low confidence because no data was returned from the configured sources. No financial statements, valuation multiples, earnings dates, ratings, or company facts beyond the supplied data were added. Financial figures use the AkShare report period 2025-12-31.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=42中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.