StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
002230 · CN · Fresh
Generated 2026-09-07 00:08 UTC
科大讯飞
002230 · CN
¥39.50
+0.77%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
45 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Medium
Research view
002230 Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- 002230 (科大讯飞) is trading at 39.50, with a current daily move of +0.77%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 45/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 37.84 and resistance at 43.28; price is +4.20% from support and +9.56% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 39.50 | Daily move +0.77% |
| Strategy score | 45/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 40.89 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | -0.06 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 37.84 / 43.28 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 38.55 / 45.33 | Price sits at +14.01% of the range |
| Volume check | -9.39% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.13% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -0.06, while MACD line / signal are -0.61 / -0.55.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 39.07 / 40.11 / 36.99; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (31% of band); upper / middle / lower are 43.28 / 40.56 / 37.84.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 0.84 (+2.13% of price), OBV slope is -45.61%, and CCI20 is -52.34.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 37.84 / 43.28; recent 30-session range is 38.55 / 45.33.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 109.72 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 4.15 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 7.64 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 6.75 / Base CNY 8.6 / Bull CNY 10.87 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -78.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +8.35% / Base +14.35% / Bull +20.35% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 27.11B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 839.00M | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.36 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 9.51 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +39.75% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | -1.66% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes: - AkShare report period used for income data: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from public financial history; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. JVNDB-2004-002230:Soft3304.netの04WebServerにおける不特定の脆弱性 - Jpcert.or.jp
6. Sentiment radar
1 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 1 headlines | Jpcert.or.jp x1 | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 37.84 and 43.28 | Strategy score stays near 45/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 43.28 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 37.84 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 37.84 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.13% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 1 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 37.84 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 43.28 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 40/100 | Hold | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 35/100 | Sell | MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=41中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Neutral
40
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD背离Weak
35
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=41中性
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
News & catalyst inputs
JVNDB-2004-002230:Soft3304.netの04WebServerにおける不特定の脆弱性
Jpcert.or.jp · 2026-08-25
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.