三峡能源
600905 · CN
600905 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 4.07 |
| Daily move | -1.45% |
| StockKit score | 35/100 (Sell) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 41.48 / 30.51 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.01 / 0.00 / -0.01 |
| Estimated support | CNY 4.00 (+1.60% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | CNY 4.34 (+6.61% above price) |
| 30-session range | 4.07-4.43 (position +0.00%, at range low) |
| Data confidence | Technicals Medium; valuation Medium-Low; news/sentiment Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 4.14 / 4.14 / 4.17 / 4.18 | Bearish alignment, MA5 < MA20 death cross; price -2.44% vs MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 41.48 / 30.51 | Soft, not washed out; RSI6 approaching oversold |
| MACD | -0.01 / 0.00 / -0.01 | Bearish configuration, below zero line, momentum fading |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 13.79 / 21.39 / -1.43 | Washed out; rebound watch |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 4.34 / 4.17 / 4.00 | Near lower band (19% of band), bandwidth expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.10 / +2.53% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 1,220,739,134 / +105.97% | Accumulation improving despite price weakness |
| CCI20 | -84.86 | Inside neutral band |
What is confirmed: the trend-following block agrees on a bearish stance. MA alignment, the MACD death cross below zero, and a Sell strategy signal all point the same way. Volume confirms pressure, with current volume +1.68% above the 20-session average on a down day, read as price-down-on-volume.
What is conflicted: the mean-reversion block leans the other way. KDJ is washed out (J negative), RSI6 is near oversold, price sits near the lower Bollinger band, and OBV slope is sharply positive. These argue for rebound potential against the bearish trend read. CCI at -84.86 is neutral and does not resolve the tension.
What is missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this section reflects the standard panel only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.36 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 1.3 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 1.19 / Base CNY 1.43 / Bull CNY 1.86 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -64.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 28.40B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 3.71B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.13 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 3.14 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +39.66% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +18.21% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The StockKit fair-value range and 5Y growth forecast are internally computed scenario outputs derived from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The base case implies a -64.9% gap to the current price, with a base 5Y growth forecast of -4.00%, so the model's assumptions are conservative and should be weighed against the reported margin profile (gross +39.66%, net +18.21%) and book value per share of 3.14 versus a PB of 1.3. The PEG proxy row was N/A in the dataset and is omitted. EV/EBITDA, market cap, dividend yield, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
Confirmed news: none. No current news items were available from the configured source.
Missing data: the headline feed returned nothing for this symbol, so no catalyst can be dated or weighted here. This is a low-confidence section. With no confirmed headlines, the current view rests entirely on the technical and valuation data above. No earnings dates, corporate actions, or policy catalysts are asserted, because none were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is inferred. Treat sentiment as unobserved rather than neutral.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 4.00-4.07 zone while bearish MA alignment persists | Range-bound action between support 4.00 and MA cluster ~4.14-4.18; MACD histogram staying near -0.01 | Sustained close below 4.00 or a reclaim of MA20 (4.17) on volume |
| Upside | Washed-out KDJ (J -1.43) and improving OBV (+105.97% slope) drive a mean-reversion bounce off the lower band (4.00) | Move toward middle band / MA20 ~4.17, then resistance 4.34; RSI6 lifting off 30.51 | Failure to clear MA20, or OBV slope rolling over |
| Downside | Bearish alignment and below-zero MACD extend the trend; price-down-on-volume continues | Decisive break of support 4.00 and lower band, expanding ATR (currently 2.53% of price) | Reclaim of 4.07 range low into the MA cluster, stabilizing volume |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation | Bearish MA alignment, MACD below zero, score 35/100 Sell | Close below support 4.00 | Watch the 4.00 lower-band/support confluence daily |
| Distribution on rallies | Price-down-on-volume, volume +1.68% vs 20-session avg | Bounce that fails at MA20 (4.17) on rising volume | Compare OBV slope against price on any rebound |
| Valuation gap | StockKit base fair value 1.43 vs price 4.07 (-64.9% gap), PE 31.36 | Negative growth path (base 5Y -4.00%) materializing in reported results | Re-check fundamentals at next reported period |
| Volatility expansion | Bollinger bandwidth expanding, ATR14% +2.53% | Range break with widening bands | Size around ATR; watch band width |
| Information blind spot | No news, no connected sentiment | Any sudden price move without visible cause | Re-poll news/sentiment feeds before acting on signals |
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=41中性
接近下轨，可能反弹，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.0x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.