海尔智家

600690 · CN

¥19.45

-5.08%

Technical posture

Neutral

Strategy score

49 / 100

Trend

consolidation

Data confidence

Medium

Research view

600690 Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: 海尔智家 (600690) closed at 19.45, down -5.08% on the session, printing at the very bottom of its 30-session range (position +0.00%, range 19.45-21.81) and below all tracked moving averages (price vs MA20-5.16%). The strategy engine scores the name 49/100 with a Hold signal and a consolidation trend label. - Confidence: Medium on price/technical inputs and valuation fundamentals; low on news and sentiment, which returned no data from the configured sources. Treat any catalyst-driven view as lower confidence until coverage reconnects. - Most important condition to monitor: the 19.64 estimated support / lower Bollinger band. Price is -0.95% below it already, so whether the close stabilizes at or above this band, or breaks lower, is the single most decisive watch level near term.

02Key data snapshot

Metric	Reading
Price	19.45
Daily move	-5.08%
Strategy score	49/100 (Hold)
Trend	Consolidation
RSI14 / RSI6	33.09 / 22.35
MACD (line/signal/hist)	-0.19 / -0.17 / -0.02
Estimated support	19.64
Estimated resistance	21.38
30-session range position	+0.00% (range 19.45-21.81)
Data confidence	Medium (technicals/valuation); Low (news/sentiment)

03Technical indicator panel

Indicator	Reading	Read
MA (5/10/20/60)	20.55 / 20.48 / 20.51 / 21.06	Mixed alignment; price below all MAs (vs MA20-5.16%)
RSI (14/6)	33.09 / 22.35	Soft but not washed out; RSI6 deeply weak
MACD (line/signal/hist)	-0.19 / -0.17 / -0.02	Bearish: death cross below zero, momentum fading
KDJ (K/D/J)	37.69 / 50.74 / 11.60	Soft or still repairing; J line depressed
Bollinger (U/M/L)	21.38 / 20.51 / 19.64	Near/below lower band (-11% of band), bandwidth expanding
ATR14 / ATR14%	0.54 / +2.75%	Moderate volatility relative to price
OBV / 20-session slope	-818,107,611 / -39.65%	Distribution pressure visible
CCI20	-154.23	Downside pressure / oversold zone

Confirmed: a coherent bearish-to-oversold cluster. MACD death cross below zero, OBV distribution slope of -39.65%, CCI at -154.23, and the close at the bottom of the 30-session range all point the same direction. The price-down-on-volume condition (current volume +79.63% over the 20-session average of 50.3M) reinforces visible selling pressure.

Conflicted: the moving-average sub-signal still reads MA5 > MA20 (the engine flags a 70/100 Buy on MA交叉), which conflicts with price trading below every MA. RSI14 at 33 and the lower-band break register as oversold/short-term stretched (布林带 70/100, RSI极值 60/100), tugging against the bearish MACD and volume signals. This split is consistent with the overall 49/100 Hold and consolidation label.

Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above, so none are folded in.

04Valuation matrix

Axis	Reading	Source	Confidence
PE	9.17	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
PB	1.46	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
PEG proxy	0.92	StockKit scenario model	Medium
StockKit fair value range	Bear CNY 33.02 / Base CNY 42.41 / Bull CNY 53.94	StockKit DCF scenario model	Medium
Base fair-value gap	+118.0%	StockKit DCF scenario model	Medium
5Y growth forecast	Bear +3.94% / Base +9.94% / Bull +15.94%	StockKit scenario model	Medium
Revenue	CNY 302.35B	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
Net income	CNY 19.55B	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
EPS	2.12	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
Book value per share	13.35	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
Gross margin	+25.34%	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium
Net margin	+6.52%	AkShare THS financial abstract	Medium

The fundamentals show single-digit PE (9.17) and PB of 1.46 against EPS 2.12 and book value per share 13.35, with revenue of CNY 302.35B and net income of CNY 19.55B (AkShare income period 2025-12-31). The PEG proxy (0.92), fair-value range, base fair-value gap (+118.0%), and 5Y growth forecasts are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history; they are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus targets, and the wide gap to the current price should be read in that light. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.

05News and catalyst timeline

Item	Status	Why it matters
Headline news	Missing	No current news items were available from the configured source. No confirmed catalysts, earnings dates, or corporate events can be cited.

Confirmed news: none in the supplied dataset. Missing data: the entire news feed. With no headlines available, there is no event basis for the move; the -5.08% session and +79.63% volume surge are observable but cannot be attributed to any confirmed catalyst here. This section is low confidence until the source reconnects.

06Sentiment radar

Source	Status	Reading	Confidence
NewsAPI headline coverage	No headlines	No source distribution available	Low
Social sentiment	Not connected	No social sentiment conclusion is drawn	Low

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are introduced, as no social source is marked connected. Sentiment confidence is low across the board.

07Scenario framework

Scenario	Trigger conditions	What would confirm it	What would invalidate it
Base	Price holds the 19.64 support / lower-band zone and consolidates within the 30-session range	Stabilization above 19.64 with RSI14 lifting off 33 and MACD histogram (-0.02) flattening	A decisive close below 19.45 with continued distribution (OBV slope steepening from -39.65%)
Upside	Oversold mean reversion from the lower band (price -11% of band, RSI6 at 22.35)	Reclaim of MA cluster near 20.48-20.55 and a move toward resistance at 21.38 (+9.93% away); volume normalizing	Failure to clear MA20 (20.51) and rejection back toward the lows
Downside	Loss of 19.64 support amid price-down-on-volume (current volume +79.63% over average)	Sustained closes under 19.45, MACD line falling further below signal, OBV distribution accelerating	A reclaim of 19.64 and a higher low that defends the 30-session range floor

08Risk matrix

Risk	Evidence	Trigger	Monitoring action
Distribution / selling pressure	OBV -818M, 20-session slope -39.65%; price-down-on-volume at 1.8x	Volume stays elevated on down days	Track OBV slope and daily volume vs the 50.3M average
Support breakdown	Price -0.95% below 19.64 support; at bottom of 30-session range	Close sustained below 19.45	Watch the 19.64 / 19.45 zone on a closing basis
Bearish momentum	MACD death cross below zero (-0.19/-0.17); CCI -154.23	MACD histogram widens negative	Monitor MACD histogram and CCI for continued deterioration
Signal conflict / chop	MA5>MA20 Buy vs price below all MAs; overall 49/100 Hold	Price oscillates around the MA cluster	Treat consolidation label as base case; avoid over-reading single sub-signals
Catalyst blind spot	News and sentiment sources returned no data	An unobserved event moves price	Re-check news/sentiment feeds before acting on technicals alone

9. Seven-day watch checklist 1. Closing behavior at the 19.64 support / lower Bollinger band, and whether 19.45 holds as the 30-session floor. 2. Daily volume versus the 50.3M 20-session average; whether price-down-on-volume (1.8x) persists. 3. OBV 20-session slope (currently -39.65%) for any flattening or further steepening. 4. RSI14 (33.09) and RSI6 (22.35) for stabilization or a lift off oversold. 5. MACD histogram (-0.02) and line-vs-signal spread for momentum change. 6. Reaction at the MA cluster (20.48-20.55) and MA20 (20.51) on any bounce; resistance at 21.38 is +9.93% away. 7. Reconnection of news and sentiment feeds, both of which returned no data and currently leave catalysts unobserved.

Information-use note News and sentiment inputs were unavailable from the configured sources, so Sections 5 and 6 are low confidence; valuation and technical sections rely on Medium-confidence supplied data. The StockKit PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, and 5Y growth forecasts are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. This brief is for general informational purposes, cites only the supplied dataset, and is not personalized investment advice.

Strategy factors

MA交叉Constructive

MA5>MA20金叉

MACD背离Weak

MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱

RSI极值Constructive

RSI14=33偏低

布林带Constructive

跌破下轨，短期超卖，带宽扩张中

量价关系Weak

价跌放量(1.8x)，抛压沉重

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.