中国中车
601766 · CN
601766 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 5.60 |
| Daily move | -2.27% |
| Overall score | 60/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 36.74 / 31.14 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.06 / -0.07 / 0.01 |
| Estimated support | 5.58 (+0.43% away) |
| Estimated resistance | 5.84 (+4.27% away) |
| 30-session range position | +10.45% (range 5.53-6.20) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: moderate; Valuation/News/Sentiment: low |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 5.71 / 5.68 / 5.71 / 5.96 | MA5>MA10>MA20 aligned, but all below MA60; price -1.88% vs MA20 |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 36.74 / 31.14 | Soft, not washed out; short-term RSI6 nearer oversold |
| MACD | -0.06 / -0.07 / +0.01 | Histogram positive (cross up) but below zero axis, momentum weak |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 51.76 / 55.27 / 44.73 | K below D, mid-range; still repairing |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 5.84 / 5.71 / 5.58 | Price near lower band (9% of band), band very narrow (~4.6%) |
| ATR14 / ATR% | 0.11 / +2.02% | Low absolute volatility |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -2,438,863,837 / +15.78% | Negative level but slope improving (accumulation) |
| CCI20 | -102.48 | Below -100, downside pressure / mild oversold |
Confirmed: The short-cycle moving averages are stacked (MA5>MA10>MA20), price sits near the lower Bollinger Band, RSI is soft, and the OBV slope is rising. These align on a "near a near-term floor, base repairing" reading.
Conflicted: MACD shows a fresh cross (positive histogram) yet operates below the zero axis with weakening momentum, so the bullish cross is early-stage rather than confirmed. The MA60 at 5.96 sits above price, so the broader structure is still soft despite the short-term alignment. CCI<-100 and RSI in the mid-30s lean bearish/oversold against the constructive OBV slope.
Missing: No supplied custom indicators to fold in. No volume-profile or intraday depth data beyond the figures listed.
No configured fundamentals source (AkShare / EODHD fallback) returned usable valuation data for this symbol. Per the supplied dataset, PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair-value range, and sector/industry context are all N/A and are therefore omitted. This section carries low confidence; no valuation-based view can be supported from the available data.
| Status | Detail |
|---|---|
| Confirmed news | None. No current news items were available from the configured source. |
| Missing data | Headline feed returned no items, so no event-driven catalysts can be assessed. |
Because no headlines were supplied, no catalyst can be evaluated. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of corporate activity. Confidence here is low; no unsupported events have been added.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected and so are not read. Sentiment input to the thesis is effectively unavailable.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 5.58-5.53 support band amid narrow Bollinger width (~4.6%) | Continued consolidation with RSI14 stabilizing near/above the mid-30s and OBV slope staying positive | A sustained close below 5.53 (30-session low) |
| Upside | Reclaim and hold above MA20/MA5 (~5.71) with MACD histogram expanding | Move toward the 5.84 resistance / upper band; volume rebuilds above the ~192.5M 20-session average | Failure at 5.71 with MACD rolling back below signal |
| Downside | Decisive break of 5.58 support | Close below 5.53 with CCI staying below -100 and RSI6 pressing lower | Quick recovery back above 5.58 and into the Bollinger mid (5.71) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Support failure | Price 5.60 only +0.43% above 5.58 support; 30-session low 5.53 | Close below 5.53 | Watch the 5.58/5.53 band on a closing basis |
| Weak momentum below zero | MACD line -0.06 below zero axis, momentum weakening | Histogram turns negative again | Track MACD histogram for follow-through after the cross |
| Persistent downside pressure | CCI20 at -102.48, RSI14 36.74 | CCI staying < -100 with RSI6 falling | Monitor CCI/RSI for stabilization vs further softening |
| Broader structure still soft | Price below MA60 (5.96) | Rejection at MA20 (5.71) | Watch reaction at MA20 and the 5.84 resistance |
| Low data confidence | No valuation, news, or sentiment data supplied | New data source connects | Re-assess thesis once fundamentals/news feeds return data |
1. 5.58 support and the 5.53 30-session low on a closing basis (highest priority). 2. MA20/MA5 cluster near 5.71 as the first reclaim hurdle. 3. MACD histogram: whether the cross holds and expands, or fades back below signal. 4. RSI14 (36.74) and RSI6 (31.14) for stabilization versus a deeper slide. 5. CCI20 (-102.48) for a move back above -100 as oversold pressure eases. 6. OBV 20-session slope (+15.78%) for continued improvement confirming accumulation. 7. Volume versus the ~192.5M 20-session average (currently -2.51%) for any expansion that would accompany a directional break out of the narrow Bollinger band.
This brief is a public-facing technical research preview built only from the supplied dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. Valuation, news, and sentiment inputs were unavailable from the configured sources, so the report leans on technical observations; all watch levels are reference points to monitor, not instructions to act.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=37偏低
带宽4.6%极窄，即将突破，接近下轨，可能反弹
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.