歌尔股份
002241 · CN
002241 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 23.92 |
| Daily move | +1.01% |
| Day range | 23.35 / 24.11 |
| Strategy score | 47/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 45.08 / 49.37 (neutral) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.56 / -0.38 / -0.19 (bearish) |
| Estimated support | 21.43 |
| Estimated resistance | 28.73 |
| 30-session range | 22.25-29.18 |
| Position within 30-session range | +24.10% |
| Data confidence | Technicals: moderate; Fundamentals/News/Sentiment: low |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 23.50 / 23.48 / 25.08 / 24.49 | Short-term MA5>MA10, but price below MA20 and MA60; MA5<MA20 death cross. Score 40/100 (Hold) |
| RSI (14/6) | 45.08 / 49.37 | Neutral momentum, no extreme. Score 50/100 (Hold) |
| MACD | -0.56 / -0.38 / -0.19 | Death cross, line below zero, downside momentum building. Score 35/100 (Sell) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 45.74 / 29.44 / 78.32 | K above D - constructive crossover; elevated J |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 28.73 / 25.08 / 21.43 | Mid-band zone, ~34% of band, bandwidth expanding. Score 55/100 (Hold) |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 1.19 / +4.98% | Moderate-to-elevated volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 63,438,190 / +114.36% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | -53.78 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: Momentum is broadly neutral (RSI14 at 45.08, CCI20 at -53.78 both mid-range), and the price is anchored in the middle of its Bollinger channel (34% of band). OBV slope of +114.36% over 20 sessions points to underlying accumulation despite the soft tape.
Conflicted: The trend signals disagree. MACD is bearish (death cross, below zero, histogram -0.19), while KDJ shows a constructive K-over-D crossover and OBV is improving. The supplied moving-average label ("MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60") does not match the underlying values, where MA20 (25.08) and MA60 (24.49) both sit above MA5 (23.50); the MA-cross score itself reads the MA5<MA20 death cross. Treat the structure as mixed rather than cleanly aligned. Volume is also conflicted: price rose +1.01% but on volume 40.22% below the 20-session average, so the up-move lacks conviction even though the volume-price sub-score is the strongest at 60/100.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so this section reflects only the standard panel above.
No configured fundamentals source (AkShare / EODHD fallback) returned usable valuation data for 002241. Every supplied valuation axis - PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair value range, and sector/industry context - was N/A at low confidence and is therefore omitted per reporting rules.
Confidence note: The valuation dimension of this brief is effectively unavailable. Any view on fair value, multiples, or relative-to-sector positioning would be unsupported by the dataset and is not provided here. This is the lowest-confidence part of the analysis.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
| Scheduled events (earnings, etc.) | Not supplied |
There are no confirmed headlines or dated catalysts to assess. Because no source data is available, no catalyst-driven view is offered, and none should be inferred. This section carries low confidence due to the absence of any news feed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for 002241. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are presented. Sentiment cannot be scored from the supplied data; treat this dimension as unavailable rather than neutral.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Range-bound consolidation between support 21.43 and MA20 25.08, consistent with the 47/100 Hold score and consolidation trend | Continued mid-band Bollinger positioning (~34% of band), RSI14 holding near 45, MACD histogram stabilizing | Decisive close above 25.08 (upside path) or below the 30-session low 22.25 (downside path) |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 25.08 on improving volume, supported by the OBV accumulation slope (+114.36%) and KDJ K-over-D crossover | MACD histogram turning toward zero, RSI14 pushing above 50, volume returning toward the 20-session average of ~154.6M | Failure to hold above 25.08 and a roll-over back into the lower band |
| Downside | Loss of the 30-session low 22.25, with MACD bearish configuration extending (line below zero, histogram negative) | Break of estimated support 21.43, RSI14 sliding toward oversold, OBV slope flattening or reversing | Reclaim and hold above MA5/MA10 (~23.50) with the KDJ crossover sustaining |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish trend momentum | MACD line -0.56 below zero, histogram -0.19, MACD sub-score 35/100 (Sell) | Histogram widening to the downside | Watch MACD histogram daily for stabilization vs. further negative expansion |
| Weak participation on up-moves | Volume 40.22% below 20-session average despite +1.01% gain | Continued price rises on shrinking volume | Compare daily volume to the ~154.6M 20-session average |
| Overhead resistance at MA20 | Price -4.62% below MA20 25.08; resistance 28.73 | Repeated rejections near 25.08 | Track close vs. 25.08 as the pivot |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14% at +4.98% of price | ATR expanding alongside band widening | Size watch levels with the 1.19 ATR in mind |
| Data-coverage gap | No fundamentals, news, or sentiment returned | Continued absence of fundamental/news inputs | Re-pull valuation, news, and sentiment feeds before forming a fuller view |
| Indicator conflict | Bearish MACD vs. constructive KDJ and improving OBV | One side resolving decisively | Wait for MACD and KDJ to align before treating either signal as confirmed |
1. MA20 reclaim - monitor daily closes against 25.08; this is the primary pivot. 2. 30-session low defense - watch the 22.25 floor and the 21.43 estimated support below it. 3. MACD histogram - look for the -0.19 reading to stabilize or contract toward zero. 4. Volume normalization - track whether daily volume recovers toward the ~154.6M 20-session average. 5. KDJ follow-through - confirm whether the K-over-D crossover holds or fades. 6. RSI14 threshold - watch for a push above 50 (momentum improving) or a slide toward oversold. 7. Data refresh - re-check fundamentals, news, and sentiment sources, since all three were empty in this pull.
This brief is generated from the supplied StockKit dataset for 002241 (歌尔股份) and is for general informational purposes only. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. Rows marked as StockKit scenario model, where present, are internally computed forecasts rather than analyst consensus; in this report no valuation rows were available, so none are shown. Levels referenced are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Confidence is low for the fundamentals, news, and sentiment dimensions because the configured sources returned no usable data.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=45中性
在通道中部,带宽扩张中
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足,连续放量上涨
Research boundary
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