StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
002142 · CN · Cached
Generated 2026-08-04 11:03 UTC

宁波银行

002142 · CN

¥31.50
-2.45%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
57 / 100
Trend
bull
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

002142 Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: 宁波银行 (002142) trades at 31.50, down -2.45% on the session, sitting mid-channel in Bollinger terms (38% of band) and roughly -0.86% below MA20. The moving-average stack is in bullish alignment (MA5 32.10 > MA10 31.96 > MA20 31.77 > MA60 31.40), but MACD has flipped to a bearish configuration (histogram -0.00, line = signal at 0.21), so trend and momentum disagree. - Confidence: Medium overall. Technical data is complete and internally consistent; valuation carries a caveat (StockKit scenario outputs, not consensus, with an unusually wide fair-value gap); news and sentiment feeds returned no data, lowering confidence on catalyst and positioning reads. - Most important level to monitor: the MA20 / mid-Bollinger cluster near 31.77. Holding above it keeps the bullish MA structure intact; a sustained break toward estimated support at 30.65 (-2.7%) would signal the pullback is deepening.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price31.50
Daily move-2.45%
Strategy score57/100 (Hold)
TrendBull
RSI14 / RSI648.63 / 42.50 (neutral)
MACD (line/signal/hist)0.21 / 0.21 / -0.00 (bearish config)
Estimated support30.65 (+2.69% away)
Estimated resistance32.90 (+4.43% away)
30-session range position+59.73% (range 29.29-32.99)
Data confidenceMedium (technicals complete; news/sentiment absent)
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead
MA (5/10/20/60)32.10 / 31.96 / 31.77 / 31.40Bullish alignment; price -0.86% below MA20
RSI (14/6)48.63 / 42.50Neutral momentum, no extreme
MACD (line/signal/hist)0.21 / 0.21 / -0.00Bearish config above zero line; momentum fading
KDJ (K/D/J)50.79 / 58.89 / 34.58Soft / still repairing (J well below K and D)
Bollinger (U/M/L)32.90 / 31.77 / 30.65Mid-band, 38% of band width
ATR14 (abs / %)0.95 / +3.02%Moderate volatility relative to price
OBV (value / 20d slope)151,668,035 / +51.82%Accumulation improving
CCI203.96Inside neutral band

Confirmed: the bullish MA structure and improving OBV slope point the same direction, and the MA5>MA20 golden cross scores 90/100 (StrongBuy) in the supplied strategy panel. Volume-price context shows a low-volume pullback (current volume -21.48% vs the 20-session average of 38.98M), which the strategy tags as possible stabilization (55/100).

Conflicted: trend versus momentum. MA alignment is bullish while MACD is in a bearish crossover (death cross above zero, weakening momentum, 40/100) and KDJ is still repairing. RSI, Bollinger position, and CCI all sit neutral, so they neither confirm the bull nor the pullback.

Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set above, so none are folded in here.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE7.34AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
PB0.89AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
PEG proxy0.88StockKit scenario modelMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear CNY 62.35 / Base CNY 80.29 / Bull CNY 102.39StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap+154.9%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear +2.33% / Base +8.33% / Bull +14.33%StockKit scenario modelMedium
RevenueCNY 71.97BAkShare THS financial abstractMedium
Net incomeCNY 29.33BAkShare THS financial abstractMedium
EPS4.29AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
Book value per share35.21AkShare THS financial abstractMedium
Net margin+40.57%AkShare THS financial abstractMedium

The PEG proxy (0.88) and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The base fair-value gap of +154.9% is unusually wide relative to a PB of 0.89 and book value per share of 35.21; treat this scenario output as lower confidence and reconcile it against the observed market price of 31.50 rather than reading it as a price objective. PE of 7.34 and net margin of +40.57% are drawn from the AkShare THS abstract for the 2025-12-31 period. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, 52-week range, and gross margin were not supplied and are omitted.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatusWhy it matters
Configured news sourceNo current items availableNo confirmed headlines to interpret; catalyst read is unsupported this cycle

No confirmed news was returned from the configured source, so no headline-driven catalyst can be cited. This section is data-thin and low confidence. Absent news, the near-term narrative rests on price and volume behavior around the MA20 / mid-Bollinger zone rather than on any event.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is inferred. Sentiment confidence is low, and positioning signals should not be weighted in the current view.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BasePrice holds the MA20 / mid-Bollinger zone (~31.77) on low-volume pullbackStabilization above MA20 with OBV slope staying positive (+51.82%) and MA alignment intactSustained close below 30.65 support, or MA5 dropping under MA20
UpsideReclaim of MA5 (32.10) and push toward resistance at 32.90MACD histogram turning positive again with volume expanding above the 20-session average (38.98M)Rejection at the 32.90 upper band; MACD staying in bearish cross
DownsideBreak of estimated support at 30.65 (-2.69%)Move toward the lower 30-session range (29.29) with rising volume and OBV slope rolling overRecovery back above MA20 and reassertion of bullish MA stack
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Momentum rolloverMACD bearish cross above zero, histogram -0.00, KDJ J at 34.58MACD histogram deepening negativeWatch daily MACD and KDJ repair
Failure at MA20Price -0.86% below MA20 (31.77)Repeated closes below 31.77Track close vs MA20 each session
Support breakEstimated support 30.65, +2.69% below priceClose under 30.65Watch for volume on any breach
Valuation model uncertaintyBase fair-value gap +154.9% vs PB 0.89 (StockKit scenario, not consensus)N/A - model caveatDo not treat scenario output as a target
Information gapNo news and no sentiment data returnedNew headlines appearRecheck feeds before acting on catalysts
9. Seven-day watch checklist 1. Daily close relative to MA20 / mid-Bollinger (~31.77) - the primary trend-integrity level. 2. Estimated support at 30.65; note whether any breach comes on rising volume. 3. Estimated resistance at 32.90 and the reclaim of MA5 (32.10) for upside confirmation. 4. MACD histogram and line/signal (0.21/0.21) for a turn out of the bearish cross. 5. KDJ J-line (34.58) repairing back toward K/D. 6. Volume versus the 20-session average (38.98M); current is -21.48%, so watch for expansion on any directional move. 7. OBV 20-session slope (+51.82%) holding positive, and any first appearance of news or sentiment data from the configured sources.
Information-use note This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Technical readings are complete and medium confidence; valuation figures marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts rather than analyst consensus, and the base fair-value gap should be read with caution; news and sentiment feeds returned no data this cycle, so those sections are low confidence.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Strong momentum
90

MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列

MACD背离Neutral
40

MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱

RSI极值Neutral
50

RSI14=49中性

布林带Neutral
50

在通道中部

量价关系Neutral
55

缩量回调,可能企稳

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.