宁波银行
002142 · CN
002142 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 31.50 |
| Daily move | -2.45% |
| Strategy score | 57/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 48.63 / 42.50 (neutral) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.21 / 0.21 / -0.00 (bearish config) |
| Estimated support | 30.65 (+2.69% away) |
| Estimated resistance | 32.90 (+4.43% away) |
| 30-session range position | +59.73% (range 29.29-32.99) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals complete; news/sentiment absent) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 32.10 / 31.96 / 31.77 / 31.40 | Bullish alignment; price -0.86% below MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 48.63 / 42.50 | Neutral momentum, no extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.21 / 0.21 / -0.00 | Bearish config above zero line; momentum fading |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 50.79 / 58.89 / 34.58 | Soft / still repairing (J well below K and D) |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 32.90 / 31.77 / 30.65 | Mid-band, 38% of band width |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 0.95 / +3.02% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV (value / 20d slope) | 151,668,035 / +51.82% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 3.96 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: the bullish MA structure and improving OBV slope point the same direction, and the MA5>MA20 golden cross scores 90/100 (StrongBuy) in the supplied strategy panel. Volume-price context shows a low-volume pullback (current volume -21.48% vs the 20-session average of 38.98M), which the strategy tags as possible stabilization (55/100).
Conflicted: trend versus momentum. MA alignment is bullish while MACD is in a bearish crossover (death cross above zero, weakening momentum, 40/100) and KDJ is still repairing. RSI, Bollinger position, and CCI all sit neutral, so they neither confirm the bull nor the pullback.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set above, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.34 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.89 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 0.88 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 62.35 / Base CNY 80.29 / Bull CNY 102.39 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +154.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +2.33% / Base +8.33% / Bull +14.33% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 71.97B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 29.33B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 4.29 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 35.21 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +40.57% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The PEG proxy (0.88) and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The base fair-value gap of +154.9% is unusually wide relative to a PB of 0.89 and book value per share of 35.21; treat this scenario output as lower confidence and reconcile it against the observed market price of 31.50 rather than reading it as a price objective. PE of 7.34 and net margin of +40.57% are drawn from the AkShare THS abstract for the 2025-12-31 period. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, 52-week range, and gross margin were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current items available | No confirmed headlines to interpret; catalyst read is unsupported this cycle |
No confirmed news was returned from the configured source, so no headline-driven catalyst can be cited. This section is data-thin and low confidence. Absent news, the near-term narrative rests on price and volume behavior around the MA20 / mid-Bollinger zone rather than on any event.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is inferred. Sentiment confidence is low, and positioning signals should not be weighted in the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 / mid-Bollinger zone (~31.77) on low-volume pullback | Stabilization above MA20 with OBV slope staying positive (+51.82%) and MA alignment intact | Sustained close below 30.65 support, or MA5 dropping under MA20 |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA5 (32.10) and push toward resistance at 32.90 | MACD histogram turning positive again with volume expanding above the 20-session average (38.98M) | Rejection at the 32.90 upper band; MACD staying in bearish cross |
| Downside | Break of estimated support at 30.65 (-2.69%) | Move toward the lower 30-session range (29.29) with rising volume and OBV slope rolling over | Recovery back above MA20 and reassertion of bullish MA stack |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum rollover | MACD bearish cross above zero, histogram -0.00, KDJ J at 34.58 | MACD histogram deepening negative | Watch daily MACD and KDJ repair |
| Failure at MA20 | Price -0.86% below MA20 (31.77) | Repeated closes below 31.77 | Track close vs MA20 each session |
| Support break | Estimated support 30.65, +2.69% below price | Close under 30.65 | Watch for volume on any breach |
| Valuation model uncertainty | Base fair-value gap +154.9% vs PB 0.89 (StockKit scenario, not consensus) | N/A - model caveat | Do not treat scenario output as a target |
| Information gap | No news and no sentiment data returned | New headlines appear | Recheck feeds before acting on catalysts |
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=49中性
在通道中部
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
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