浦发银行
600000 · CN
600000 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 9.38 |
| Daily move | -2.60% |
| Strategy score | 68/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 63.15 / 70.77 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.11 / 0.04 / +0.08 |
| Support (est.) | 8.67 (+7.54% below price) |
| Resistance (est.) | 9.61 (+2.49% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +72.36% (range 8.49-9.72) |
| Data confidence | Technical: high completeness; Valuation: Medium; News/Sentiment: Low (no data) |
| Indicator | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 9.46 / 9.24 / 9.14 / 9.13 | Bullish alignment; price +2.59% above MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 63.15 / 70.77 | Constructive but not extreme; RSI6 leans hot |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.11 / 0.04 / +0.08 | Bullish crossover above zero line; momentum building |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 83.24 / 75.23 / 99.25 | Constructive crossover; J at 99.25 signals stretched short-term reading |
| Bollinger (upper/mid/lower) | 9.61 / 9.14 / 8.67 | Price at ~75% of band, mid-band zone, band width expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.27 / +2.75% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 114,833,644 / +123.73% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 188.89 | Strong upside momentum, above the conventional +100 overbought threshold |
Confirmed: The trend-following block is aligned - MA structure, MACD, OBV accumulation, and volume-price confirmation (price up on +5.01% above 20-session average volume) all point the same direction. The MA交叉 (90/100, StrongBuy) and MACD背离 (85/100, StrongBuy) sub-scores reinforce this.
Conflicted: Oscillators warn of near-term overheating against the constructive trend. CCI20 at 188.89 and KDJ J at 99.25 are elevated, and the strategy panel flags 布林带 (40/100, Hold: broke upper band, short-term overbought) and RSI极值 (45/100, Hold: RSI14=63 on the high side). This is a momentum-versus-exhaustion tension, not a trend break.
Missing: No supplied readings for MA and Bollinger beyond the values listed; there are no gaps in the core panel. No custom indicators beyond those above were supplied, so none are folded in.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.17 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.41 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 14.78 / Base CNY 19.32 / Bull CNY 25.01 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal forecast, not consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +106.0% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal forecast) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -6.76% / Base -0.76% / Bull +5.24% | StockKit scenario model (internal forecast) | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 173.96B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 50.02B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 1.52 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 22.63 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +39.01% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The reported multiples are low on an absolute basis (PE 6.17, PB 0.41 against a book value per share of 22.63 versus the 9.38 price). The StockKit DCF scenario range (Base CNY 19.32, +106.0% gap) and the 5Y growth forecast are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and should be read as model assumptions rather than price objectives. Note the tension inside the model: the base fair value implies a large gap while the base 5Y growth forecast is slightly negative (-0.76%), so the valuation case leans on the low starting multiples rather than growth. Income figures use the 2025-12-31 AkShare report period. PEG proxy, gross margin, EV/EBITDA, market cap, dividend yield, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed headlines to anchor a catalyst view; the technical setup is currently unsupported by news flow |
Confirmed news: None available from the configured source. There are no supplied earnings dates, analyst actions, or corporate events, so no catalyst timeline can be constructed without inventing facts. This section is low confidence by absence of data. The nearest dated reference in the dataset is the AkShare income report period (2025-12-31), which is a financial reporting reference, not a scheduled forward catalyst.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Because no social source is marked connected, no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is inferred. Treat sentiment as unknown, not neutral - this section carries no signal weight in the current setup.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Holds the constructive trend inside the band; price consolidates between MA20 (9.14) and resistance (9.61) | Continued OBV accumulation (slope +123.73%) and MACD histogram staying positive (+0.08) while RSI cools from elevated RSI6 (70.77) | Loss of MA20 (9.14) on rising volume, flipping the +2.59% price-vs-MA20 cushion negative |
| Upside | Sustained close above the 9.61 resistance / upper-band watch level | Follow-through above 9.61 toward the 30-session high (9.72) with volume expansion above the 20-session average (85.6M) and MACD momentum intact | Failure to hold above 9.61 after a break, i.e. a false breakout back into the band |
| Downside | Rejection at 9.58-9.61 followed by momentum unwind from overbought oscillators (CCI20 188.89, KDJ J 99.25) | Break below MA20 (9.14) then a test of estimated support at 8.67, aligning with lower-band and toward 30-session low (8.49) | Reclaim of MA5 (9.46) and a positive daily close that restores the bullish MA alignment |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought pullback | CCI20 188.89, KDJ J 99.25, RSI6 70.77, 布林带 sub-score 40/100 (broke upper band) | Daily close rejecting 9.58-9.61 | Watch price reaction at the upper band; note whether RSI/CCI roll over |
| Trend failure | Price +2.59% above MA20 but down -2.60% today after tagging highs | Close below MA20 9.14 | Track MA20 as the trend line; confirm on volume |
| Volume conviction fades | Current volume only +5.01% above 20-session average (85.6M) despite the up-trend narrative | Advances on shrinking volume | Compare daily volume to the 20-session average on any move toward resistance |
| Valuation model uncertainty | Base fair-value gap +106.0% paired with negative base 5Y growth -0.76%; PEG N/A; Medium confidence | Divergence between price action and model assumptions | Treat StockKit DCF outputs as scenario inputs, not targets; revisit if inputs update |
| Information gaps | No news, no sentiment data (both Low confidence) | Any material headline arriving unmodeled | Re-check the news and sentiment feeds before acting on the technical setup |
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=63偏高
突破上轨，短期超买，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.1x)，走势确认
Research boundary
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