浦发银行
600000 · CN
600000 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 9.09 |
| Daily move | -1.62% |
| StockKit score | 53/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 | 40.29 (soft, not washed out) |
| MACD | Line 0.01 / Signal 0.01 / Hist -0.00 (bearish configuration) |
| Estimated support | 8.98 (+1.21% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 9.68 (+6.49% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +35.05% (range 8.75-9.72) |
| Data confidence | Technicals medium; news/sentiment low; valuation medium |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 9.40 / 9.42 / 9.33 / 9.52 | Mixed alignment; price below all listed MAs, but MA5 > MA20 noted as a golden-cross signal (60/100, Buy) |
| RSI (14/6) | 40.29 / 28.22 | Soft but not washed out; short-cycle RSI6 deeper, hinting at near-term oversold pressure |
| MACD | 0.01 / 0.01 / -0.00 | Bearish configuration; dead cross above zero axis with fading momentum (40/100, Hold) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 34.16 / 55.12 / -7.75 | Washed-out / rebound watch; deeply negative J line is the most stretched reading in the panel |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 9.68 / 9.33 / 8.98 | Near lower band (16% of band); flagged as possible rebound zone (60/100, Buy) |
| ATR14 | 0.19 (+2.12% of price) | Moderate intraday range; defines a roughly 2% daily swing envelope |
| OBV | -1,309,151,862; 20-session slope +12.73% | Accumulation improving despite negative absolute level |
| CCI20 | -95.80 | Inside a neutral band, leaning to the weak side |
What is confirmed: a consolidation setup near the lower Bollinger band, with KDJ and RSI6 stretched to the downside and OBV slope improving - three inputs that align on a rebound-watch reading.
What is conflicted: the MA cross (Buy) and Bollinger (Buy) point to a possible bounce, while the MACD bearish/dead-cross configuration and price trading below all MAs argue the opposite. The score nets out to Hold (53/100), reflecting this split.
What is missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so nothing additional to fold in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.98 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.40 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 14.78 / Base CNY 19.32 / Bull CNY 25.01 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +112.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -6.76% / Base -0.76% / Bull +5.24% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 173.96B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 50.02B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 1.52 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 22.63 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +39.01% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The fair-value range and 5Y growth forecast rows are StockKit DCF scenario outputs computed from public financial history; they are internally generated forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. The wide +112.6% base fair-value gap, paired with a sub-1 PB (0.40) and a 5.98 PE, is consistent with a deep-value reading, but note the base-case 5Y growth forecast is slightly negative (-0.76%), which tempers the upside case. Income data reflects the 2025-12-31 report period.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed headline catalysts to anchor or contradict the technical setup |
Confirmed news: none returned from the configured source. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of events. With no catalysts on hand, the brief leans on technical and valuation inputs, and the catalyst-driven portion of this analysis is lower confidence.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Because no social source is marked connected, no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is inferred. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot here, so treat any sentiment-dependent conclusions as low confidence.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 8.98-9.33 band (support to MA20) | Continued OBV slope improvement (+12.73%) and KDJ turning up from washed-out J (-7.75) | A close back above MA60 (9.52) on rising volume, shifting to an upside path |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 (9.33) and a push toward resistance 9.68 (Bollinger upper) | MACD histogram turning positive and RSI14 recovering above the neutral 40.29 level | Failure to hold above MA20 after a probe, fading back into the lower band |
| Downside | Break below estimated support 8.98 (lower Bollinger band) | Extension toward the 30-session low at 8.75 with expanding ATR (currently 0.19) | A quick reclaim of 8.98 and stabilization, restoring the rebound-watch base case |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend remains weak | Price below MA5/10/20/60; MACD bearish/dead-cross | Sustained closes under MA20 (9.33) | Watch MA20 and MACD histogram for any turn |
| Support failure | Price only +1.21% above support 8.98 | Daily close below 8.98 | Track 8.98 and the 30-session low 8.75 |
| Momentum drag | RSI6 at 28.22; CCI20 at -95.80 (weak side of neutral) | RSI6 staying depressed without bounce | Watch RSI6 / CCI20 for stabilization or further decline |
| Valuation forecast uncertainty | Fair value is StockKit model output; base 5Y growth -0.76% | Downward revision in growth inputs | Treat fair-value gap as scenario-based, not consensus |
| Information gaps | No news; sentiment not connected | New catalyst emerges unmonitored | Re-check news/sentiment feeds when reconnected |
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=40中性
接近下轨，可能反弹
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
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