中信建投
601066 · CN
601066 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 24.90 |
| Daily move | -3.94% |
| Composite score | 64/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 | 54.91 (neutral) |
| MACD | Line 0.71 / Signal 0.69 / Hist 0.01 (bullish, fading momentum) |
| Estimated support | CNY 22.39 (+10.07% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | CNY 26.76 (+7.46% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +64.79% (range 21.90-26.53) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals complete; news/sentiment absent) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 25.59 / 25.14 / 24.57 / 22.87 | Bullish alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross confirmed |
| RSI (14/6) | 54.91 / 45.47 | Neutral momentum; RSI6 below RSI14 reflects the day's softening |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.71 / 0.69 / 0.01 | Above zero line and in golden-cross posture, but histogram near flat signals weakening drive |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 56.54 / 59.66 / 50.31 | Soft / still repairing; K below D |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 26.76 / 24.57 / 22.39 | Mid-band zone (57% of band) |
| ATR14 (abs/%) | 1.10 / +4.43% | Moderate volatility; roughly 4.4% daily true range |
| OBV (value/20d slope) | 34,802,556 / +320.37% | Accumulation improving; volume on balance trending up |
| CCI20 | 54.33 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: the bullish MA structure (StrongBuy, 90/100) and the above-zero MACD configuration (Buy, 70/100) are the strongest, mutually consistent signals. OBV's rising slope supports the accumulation read.
Conflicted: momentum oscillators disagree with trend strength. RSI14 (55) and CCI20 (54) sit neutral, KDJ is soft with K under D, and the MACD histogram is essentially flat at 0.01 - all pointing to fading near-term momentum even as the trend stack stays bullish.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this panel is limited to the standard set above. No intraday or multi-timeframe data was provided.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.84 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 2.24 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 2.9 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 15.54 / Base CNY 20.02 / Bull CNY 25.55 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -19.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +1.87% / Base +7.87% / Bull +13.87% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 23.32B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 9.44B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 1.09 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 11.12 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +47.69% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Note: PE and PB are reported from the AkShare THS abstract. The PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, and 5Y growth bands are StockKit internal scenario outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair value of CNY 20.02 implies a -19.6% gap to the current CNY 24.90, while the Bull case of CNY 25.55 sits close to the current price; this divergence between bullish technicals and a below-market base valuation is the central tension in the setup. Gross margin and EV/EBITDA were not supplied and are omitted. Income figures reference the 2025-12-31 report period.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | No confirmed catalyst is available to corroborate or challenge the technical setup |
Confirmed news: none returned. With no headlines, there are no event-driven triggers to weigh, and the analysis rests entirely on price/volume and valuation inputs. No earnings dates, ratings, or corporate actions are supplied and none are inferred.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Neither news-based nor social sentiment can be assessed, so this radar contributes no directional input. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are introduced because no such source is marked connected.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 / mid-band at CNY 24.57 on contracting volume (current volume -5.60% vs 20d avg) | Stabilization above MA20 with MACD staying above zero (line 0.71) and OBV slope holding positive | Sustained close below MA20 with expanding down-volume |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA5 (CNY 25.59) and push toward resistance / Bollinger upper at CNY 26.76 | RSI14 turning up from neutral (55), KDJ repairing higher, MACD histogram re-expanding above 0.01 | Rejection at resistance 26.76 with the histogram rolling negative |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 (24.57) opening the path toward support 22.39 (-10.07%) and the 30-session floor 21.90 | Break of the Bollinger lower band, OBV slope flattening or turning down, MA5/MA20 cross unwinding | Quick recovery back above MA20 with volume support |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum fade despite bull trend | MACD histogram flat at 0.01; RSI14 neutral 55; KDJ soft (K<D) | Histogram turns negative or RSI14 rolls under 50 | Track daily MACD histogram and RSI14 print |
| Valuation drag | StockKit Base fair value CNY 20.02 implies -19.6% gap; PEG proxy 2.9 | Price stalls near Bull fair value 25.55 | Watch reaction at the 25.55-26.76 zone |
| Today's drawdown extends | Daily move -3.94%; price near session low 24.90 | Close below MA20 24.57 | Monitor MA20 hold on a closing basis |
| Volatility | ATR14 at +4.43% of price (CNY 1.10) | Range expansion beyond ATR band | Size expectations to a ~4.4% daily true range |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | Sudden headline with no prior signal | Re-check news/sentiment feeds before acting on levels |
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=55中性
在通道中部
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
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