StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
600519 · CN · Cached
Generated 2026-07-05 14:34 UTC
贵州茅台
600519 · CN
¥1,194.45
-0.71%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
48 / 100
Trend
bear
Data confidence
High
Research view
600519 Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- 600519 (贵州茅台) is trading at 1194.45, with a current daily move of -0.71%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 48/100, creating a neutral research posture with bearish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 1160.26 and resistance at 1304.10; price is +2.86% from support and +9.18% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 1194.45 | Daily move -0.71% |
| Strategy score | 48/100 | Hold, trend: bear |
| MA structure | Bearish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 37.57 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | 0.19 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 1160.26 / 1304.10 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 1151.01 / 1329.00 | Price sits at +24.41% of the range |
| Volume check | -21.95% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.71% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 0.19, while MACD line / signal are -32.25 / -32.44.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 35.35 / 29.03 / 48.00; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (24% of band); upper / middle / lower are 1304.10 / 1232.18 / 1160.26.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 32.37 (+2.71% of price), OBV slope is -7.80%, and CCI20 is -79.01.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 1160.26 / 1304.10; recent 30-session range is 1151.01 / 1329.00.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | AkShare / EODHD fallback | Low |
| PB | N/A | AkShare / EODHD fallback | Low |
| EV/EBITDA | N/A | AkShare / EODHD fallback | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | AkShare / EODHD fallback | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | N/A | AkShare / EODHD fallback | Low |
| Sector / industry context | N/A | AkShare / EODHD fallback | Low |
Notes: - No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for this symbol.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. 一次盘口数据误读复盘：从 bids/asks 展示到信号候选的边界 - Agent_王员外 - Cnblogs.com
2. aria-code added to PyPI - Pypi.org
3. 我把那个迭代了 18 个版本的 SDK 整个掀翻重写了：stock-sdk v2 升级手记 - 程序猿的程 - Cnblogs.com
4. 中際旭創市值突破1.5兆人民幣超越茅台，AI光通訊龍頭躋身A股前十 - Yahoo Entertainment
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Cnblogs.com x2, Pypi.org x2, Yahoo Entertainment x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 1160.26 and 1304.10 | Strategy score stays near 48/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 1304.10 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 1160.26 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 1160.26 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.71% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 1160.26 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 1304.10 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 10/100 | StrongSell | MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 60/100 | Buy | RSI14=38偏低 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Deteriorating
10
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD背离Constructive
65
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI极值Constructive
60
RSI14=38偏低
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
缩量回调，可能企稳
News & catalyst inputs
一次盘口数据误读复盘：从 bids/asks 展示到信号候选的边界 - Agent_王员外
Cnblogs.com · 2026-06-30
aria-code added to PyPI
Pypi.org · 2026-06-23
我把那个迭代了 18 个版本的 SDK 整个掀翻重写了：stock-sdk v2 升级手记 - 程序猿的程
Cnblogs.com · 2026-06-20
中際旭創市值突破1.5兆人民幣超越茅台，AI光通訊龍頭躋身A股前十
Yahoo Entertainment · 2026-06-17
cyberagent added to PyPI
Pypi.org · 2026-06-10
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.