比亚迪
002594 · CN
I'm organizing the report structure and making sure everything I include comes directly from the provided data.# 002594 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 95.77 |
| Daily move | -0.07% |
| Strategy score | 62/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 61.59 / 69.87 (constructive, not extreme) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 1.69 / 1.13 / +0.56 (bullish config) |
| Support (watch level) | 85.52 |
| Resistance (watch level) | 97.67 |
| 30-session range position | +94.64% (range 77.60 / 96.80) |
| Data confidence | Moderate (valuation Medium; news Low; sentiment High on connected source) |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 94.51 / 93.69 / 91.59 / 91.45 | Bullish alignment; price +4.56% vs MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 61.59 / 69.87 | Constructive, not extreme; RSI6 leaning warm |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 1.69 / 1.13 / +0.56 | Bullish, above zero line; momentum flagged as weakening |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 74.92 / 67.66 / 89.45 | Constructive crossover; J at 89.45 is elevated |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 97.67 / 91.59 / 85.52 | Near upper band (84% of band) |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 3.05 / +3.18% | Moderate volatility per unit price |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | -53,360,157 / +80.54% | Level negative but slope improving; accumulation firming |
| CCI20 | 89.97 | Inside neutral band (below the +100 threshold) |
Confirmed: The trend picture is coherent and bullish - MA structure, MACD above zero, KDJ crossover, and an improving OBV slope all point the same direction.
Conflicted: Overbought-sensitive readings pull against the trend. RSI6 (69.87), J (89.45), and price at 84% of the Bollinger band sit near the warm end, and the MACD histogram context notes weakening momentum even while the configuration stays bullish. OBV is a mixed signal in itself - negative absolute level but a strongly positive 20-session slope (+80.54%).
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.75 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 3.76 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 1.49 | StockKit scenario model (internally computed, not consensus) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 71.78 / Base CNY 98.71 / Bull CNY 124.02 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +3.1% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 803.97B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 32.62B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 3.58 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 25.44 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +18.81% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +2.67% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The current price (95.77) sits close to the StockKit Base fair value (98.71), a +3.1% gap, so the internal scenario model reads the stock as roughly fair-to-modestly-cheap on Base assumptions. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and an explicit 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. PEG proxy and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and carry Medium confidence.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed headlines means catalyst timing cannot be anchored to specific events; treat the near-term narrative as data-thin |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines / no source distribution | Reinforces the low-confidence news picture (see Sentiment radar) |
Confirmed news: None available from the configured source. This is a low-confidence area of the analysis - no earnings dates, ratings, or corporate events are asserted because none were supplied.
30-day aggregated sentiment is Positive (0.834) across 36 mentions/days.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| EODHD news/social aggregate | Connected | 18 positive days / 1 neutral / 0 negative | High |
| Latest daily sentiment | 2026-07-07 | 0.957 (Positive) | Medium |
| Sentiment momentum | Available | +0.048 vs prior point | Medium |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
The connected EODHD aggregate is the anchor here (High confidence): 18 positive days against 1 neutral and 0 negative, with the latest daily reading at 0.957 and momentum still rising (+0.048). NewsAPI has no headlines, so headline-level source distribution is unavailable (Low confidence). No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are shown because none were marked connected in the supplied data.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Range holds with bullish MA structure intact (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60); price oscillates near MA20 (91.59) to resistance (97.67) | Price consolidating above MA20 with MACD staying above zero (line 1.69 > signal 1.13) | Close back below MA20 (91.59) breaking the alignment |
| Upside | Sustained move through resistance / Bollinger upper 97.67 (+1.98%) toward StockKit Base-Bull fair value (98.71 / 124.02) | Confirmed hold above 97.67 on firm volume, RSI staying constructive rather than turning down, OBV slope holding positive (+80.54%) | Rejection at 97.67 with RSI6 (69.87) and J (89.45) rolling over from elevated levels |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 (91.59) and rollover of momentum (MACD histogram already flagged as weakening at +0.56) | Break below MA20 toward estimated support 85.52 (-10.70% from spot); OBV slope deteriorating | Reclaim of MA5 (94.51) and MA20 with momentum re-accelerating |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overbought pullback near resistance | Price at 84% of Bollinger band; RSI6 69.87; J 89.45; 布林带 score 45/100 Hold | Rejection at 97.67 upper band | Watch price action and RSI at 97.67; note failure to hold |
| Momentum fade despite bullish config | MACD state notes "动能减弱" (momentum weakening); histogram +0.56 | MACD line crossing back below signal (1.69 vs 1.13) | Track MACD histogram trend toward zero |
| Range-top stall | Position +94.64% within 30-session range (77.60/96.80) | Failure to make new range high above 96.80 | Watch for lower highs capping near 96.80-97.67 |
| Volume not confirming | Current volume -8.21% vs 20-session avg (47,512,867); 量价关系 55/100 Hold | Breakout attempt on below-average volume | Compare breakout-day volume to the 20-session average |
| Thin news / catalyst data | No news items from configured source; NewsAPI no headlines | An unexpected headline moving price without prior signal | Re-check the news source; keep news-driven conviction low |
| OBV mixed signal | OBV level negative (-53.36M) though slope +80.54% | Slope flattening or turning negative | Track OBV slope alongside price for divergence |
1. Resistance test at 97.67 - confirmed hold vs rejection (highest priority; only +1.98% away). 2. MA20 at 91.59 as trend floor - a close below it would break the bullish alignment. 3. MACD line vs signal (1.69 / 1.13) and histogram (+0.56) - watch for the flagged momentum weakening turning into a cross-down. 4. RSI6 (69.87) and KDJ J (89.45) - watch for rollover from elevated levels. 5. Breakout volume vs 20-session average (47,512,867) - current volume is -8.21%; a real break should show volume confirmation. 6. OBV 20-session slope (+80.54%) - confirm accumulation persists rather than flattening. 7. News source and NewsAPI - recheck for any confirmed headline, since the catalyst picture is currently data-thin.
News coverage is a low-confidence area of this brief: no headlines were available from the configured source or NewsAPI, so no company events, earnings dates, or ratings are asserted. Valuation rows marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base gap, 5Y growth) are internally computed forecasts at Medium confidence, not analyst consensus. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and an explicit 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. Sentiment is provider-supplied (EODHD, connected, High confidence), not a StockKit-generated score. This brief is general research, not personalized investment advice; all levels are watch levels, not instructions.
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=62偏高
接近上轨
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
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