比亚迪
002594 · CN
002594 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 88.13 |
| Daily move | +0.75% (high 89.33 / low 86.08) |
| Overall score | 47/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 34.73 / 30.46 (soft, not washed out) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -2.43 / -2.10 / -0.33 (bearish, below zero) |
| Estimated support | 87.20 (+1.05% away) |
| Estimated resistance | 98.40 (+11.66% away) |
| 30-session range position | +13.74% (range 86.08-101.00) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: medium · Fundamentals/News/Sentiment: low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 89.53 / 90.39 / 92.80 / 98.50 | Bearish alignment - MA5 below MA10 below MA20 below MA60; price under all four. MA5<MA20 death cross (MA交叉 10/100, StrongSell) |
| RSI (14/6) | 34.73 / 30.46 | Soft but not washed out; RSI14 low enough to flag mean-reversion potential (RSI极值 60/100, Buy) |
| MACD | -2.43 / -2.10 / -0.33 | Bearish configuration, line below signal and below zero, negative histogram (MACD背离 35/100, Sell) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 21.66 / 19.41 / 26.15 | Low/oversold zone with K above D - constructive crossover, an early counter-trend signal |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 98.40 / 92.80 / 87.20 | Price near lower band (~8% of band), band width expanding (布林带 65/100, Buy) |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 2.22 / +2.52% | Moderate volatility; ~2.5% of price defines a reasonable daily noise band |
| OBV / 20-session slope | -224,609,410 / -10.58% | Distribution pressure visible - declining OBV does not confirm the daily price uptick |
| CCI20 | -132.17 | Below -100, indicating downside pressure / oversold conditions |
Confirmed: the trend is bearish and consistent across MA structure, MACD, OBV, and CCI. Price is pressing the lower Bollinger band.
Conflicted: oversold mean-reversion signals (RSI low, KDJ constructive crossover, lower-band proximity, 量价关系 70/100) sit against the bearish trend signals (MA death cross, MACD below zero, OBV distribution). This is a classic oversold-within-downtrend standoff - momentum says "bounce candidate," structure says "still bear."
Data note: the supplied moving-average structure label reads "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60," but the supplied values are ascending (89.53 < 90.39 < 92.80 < 98.50), which is the bearish alignment the rest of the dataset describes. I have treated the numeric values and the bearish-alignment context as authoritative.
Missing: no custom or supplementary indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above.
No usable valuation data was returned by the configured fundamentals sources (AkShare / EODHD fallback). PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair-value range, and sector/industry context were all N/A and are therefore omitted per the data-use rule. Consequently, no valuation-based view is offered, and confidence on any value framing for 002594 in this brief is low.
| Status | Detail |
|---|---|
| Confirmed news | None. No current news items were available from the configured source. |
| Missing data | Headline/catalyst feed returned nothing for this symbol; no earnings dates, ratings, or corporate events are supplied. |
Because no headlines are available, there is no catalyst to weigh and no event-driven view can be supported. This section is low confidence by absence of data, not by judgment.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred, as none are marked connected. Sentiment is effectively a blank input for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price oscillates between 87.20 support and the MA5/MA10 band (~89.5-90.4) | Daily closes holding above 87.20 with no new lower low; MACD histogram stabilizing | Decisive close below 87.20 or a momentum break above MA20 (92.80) |
| Upside (oversold bounce) | RSI14 (34.73) and KDJ (constructive K>D crossover) reassert from oversold while price holds the lower band | Reclaim of MA5 (89.53) then MA10 (90.39); MACD histogram turning less negative; OBV slope flattening from -10.58% | Failure at MA5/MA10 followed by a close back below 87.20 |
| Downside | Loss of the 87.20 lower-band/support zone | Close below 87.20, then a test of the 30-session low at 86.08; OBV distribution accelerating | Reclaim and hold of 87.20-88.13, with RSI lifting off lows |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation (bear) | MA death cross, bearish alignment (MA5<...<MA60), MACD below zero (-2.43/-2.10) | Close below 87.20 toward 86.08 | Watch the 87.20 support hold each close |
| Distribution / weak participation | OBV -224.6M, slope -10.58% | OBV makes new lows while price is flat/up | Track OBV slope vs price for non-confirmation |
| Failed bounce | Price -5.04% below MA20; resistance 11.66% away | Rejection at MA5 (89.53) / MA10 (90.39) | Watch reaction at the MA5/MA10 cluster |
| Volatility whipsaw | ATR14% +2.52% | Intraday range exceeding ~2.5% around watch levels | Size expectations to ATR; avoid over-reading single bars |
| Information gaps | No valuation, news, or sentiment data | Any new headline or fundamental print lands unmodeled | Re-run once fundamentals/news sources reconnect |
1. 87.20 support - does each daily close hold above it? (highest priority; +1.05% away) 2. 86.08 - the 30-session low; a break here extends the downtrend. 3. MA5 / MA10 cluster (89.53 / 90.39) - first overhead test for any bounce. 4. MA20 at 92.80 - reclaiming it would challenge the bearish structure. 5. MACD histogram (-0.33) - watch for it shrinking toward zero as an early momentum shift. 6. RSI14 (34.73) and KDJ - confirmation or failure of the oversold/constructive-crossover read. 7. OBV slope (-10.58%) - flattening would ease the distribution concern; new lows would reinforce it.
This brief is built solely from the supplied StockKit dataset and is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. Technical signals are medium confidence and internally consistent on direction; fundamentals, news, and sentiment are low confidence because the configured sources returned no usable data. Watch levels (notably 87.20, 86.08, and the 89.5-92.8 moving-average zone) are observation points, not instructions. Rows marked StockKit scenario model would be internally computed forecasts rather than analyst consensus; none were populated here. No returns are promised, and the analysis should be refreshed once valuation, news, and sentiment feeds reconnect.
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=35偏低
接近下轨，可能反弹，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.2x)，走势确认
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.