格力电器
000651 · CN
000651 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 36.72 |
| Daily move | -1.16% |
| Day high / low | 37.29 / 36.64 |
| Overall score | 43/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 32.16 / 18.96 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -0.43 / -0.21 / -0.22 |
| Estimated support | 36.91 |
| Estimated resistance | 39.85 |
| 30-session range position | +1.90% (range 36.64-40.85) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: moderate; Fundamentals/News/Sentiment: low (no source data) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 37.51 / 37.87 / 38.38 / 38.35 | Price (36.72) below all MAs; -4.33% vs MA20. Short MAs stacked downward (MA5<MA20 death cross). Bearish structure. |
| RSI (14/6) | 32.16 / 18.96 | Soft but not washed out on RSI14; RSI6 deeply oversold. Short-term stretch lower. |
| MACD | -0.43 / -0.21 / -0.22 | Below zero with widening negative histogram. Bearish configuration, momentum weakening further. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 10.98 / 19.61 / -6.26 | Washed-out; negative J flags rebound watch but no turn confirmed. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 39.85 / 38.38 / 36.91 | Trading near/below lower band (-6% of band), band expanding. Short-term oversold. |
| ATR14 / % | 0.66 / +1.81% | Moderate volatility; ~0.66 of expected daily range for sizing context. |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -503,936,173 / -162.01% | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow declining. |
| CCI20 | -183.80 | Below -100; downside pressure / oversold. |
What is confirmed: A coherent bear trend. MA structure, MACD, and OBV all point the same direction (price below MAs, MACD below zero, OBV slope negative).
What is conflicted: Trend signals (bearish) versus exhaustion signals. RSI6, KDJ J, CCI, and the sub-lower-band Bollinger position all sit in oversold territory, raising rebound odds even as the primary trend stays down. The strategy score reflects this split: MA交叉 30 (Sell) and MACD背离 20 (Sell) against RSI极值 70 (Buy) and 布林带 70 (Buy).
What is missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for this symbol. Every supplied valuation axis (PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair value range, sector context) is marked N/A at Low confidence from the AkShare / EODHD fallback. Per the omit rule, no populated rows can be shown. This section has the lowest confidence in the brief; no valuation-based view should be inferred.
Confirmed news: None. No current news items were available from the configured source.
Missing data: The entire news feed is empty for 000651 at this time, so no catalysts can be dated or weighted. Any technical scenario below should be read without a known event overlay, which lowers confidence on timing.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are available or fabricated. Sentiment is non-informative for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What confirms it | What invalidates it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 36.64-36.91 support / lower-band zone while oscillators stay oversold | Stabilization above 36.91, KDJ/RSI6 turning up from washed-out levels | Daily close below 36.64 on rising volume |
| Upside | Oversold mean-reversion plays out (RSI14 32, KDJ J -6.26, sub-lower-band) | Reclaim of MA5 (37.51) then MA20 (38.38); MACD histogram contracting; OBV slope flattening | Failure at 37.51 with continued OBV decline |
| Downside | Bear trend dominates exhaustion signals; distribution continues (OBV slope -162%) | Break and hold below 36.64, band continuing to expand lower, price-down/volume-up persists (current volume +29.98% vs 20-sess avg) | Recovery back above 36.91 with volume normalizing |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Price -4.33% vs MA20; MA5<MA20 death cross; MACD below zero | Close below 36.64 (30-sess low) | Watch the 36.64 floor daily |
| Distribution / weak flow | OBV -503.9M, 20-sess slope -162.01% | OBV makes new lows alongside price | Track OBV slope versus price for divergence |
| Down-volume selling pressure | Price down on volume +29.98% vs 20-sess avg (1.3x), 量价关系 score 35 (Sell) | Continued price-down/volume-up days | Monitor volume on down days vs the ~42.46M 20-sess average |
| Failed rebound | Oversold readings without trend turn; KDJ/RSI not yet confirmed up | Rejection at MA5 (37.51) | Confirm an oscillator turn before treating bounce as durable |
| Data-coverage gap | No valuation, news, or sentiment data returned | Any unmodeled catalyst | Re-check sources before acting; treat fundamental/event risk as unquantified |
1. Whether price holds the 36.91 estimated support and the 36.64 30-session low (highest priority). 2. Daily volume relative to the ~42.46M 20-session average; flag further price-down/volume-up days. 3. OBV 20-session slope for any flattening or fresh lows. 4. KDJ J and RSI6 for an upturn from washed-out levels (rebound confirmation). 5. MACD histogram for contraction toward zero. 6. Reclaim attempts at MA5 (37.51), then MA20 (38.38) as resistance checkpoints. 7. Bollinger band width and lower band (36.91); continued expansion lower versus re-entry into the band.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=32偏低，短期极度超卖
跌破下轨，短期超卖，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.3x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
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