中国银行
601988 · CN
601988 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 5.78 |
| Daily move | -2.69% |
| Strategy score | 49/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 40.89 / 25.52 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.06 / 0.08 / -0.03 |
| Support (watch level) | 5.70 |
| Resistance (watch level) | 6.28 |
| 30-session range position | +25.00% (range 5.61-6.29) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: high coverage; Valuation: Medium; News/Sentiment: Low (no data) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 6.04 / 6.09 / 5.99 / 5.83 | Price 5.78 sits below MA5/MA10/MA20, -3.55% vs MA20; mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 40.89 / 25.52 | Soft but not washed out; RSI6 deeply oversold suggests short-term stretch |
| MACD | 0.06 / 0.08 / -0.03 | Bearish configuration (death cross), histogram negative, but lines remain above zero |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 32.71 / 56.23 / -14.32 | Washed-out; J at -14.32 flags rebound-watch territory |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 6.28 / 5.99 / 5.70 | Price near lower band (13% of band), a mean-reversion candidate |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.15 / +2.52% | Contained daily volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 3,015,759,676 / +18.25% | Accumulation improving despite price softness |
| CCI20 | -92.82 | Inside a neutral band, not yet at the -100 oversold threshold |
Confirmed: Price is pressing the lower Bollinger band and support, with RSI6 (25.52) and KDJ-J (-14.32) both stretched to the downside, consistent with the rebound-watch read.
Conflicted: OBV accumulation (+18.25%) and the MA5 > MA20 short-term cross point higher, while the bearish MACD (death cross, negative histogram) and the -2.69% session point lower. Price-volume is the tie-breaker against the bulls here: today's volume ran +24.36% above the 20-session average on a down day.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so nothing is folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.81 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.68 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 3.29 | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 8.29 / Base CNY 10.78 / Bull CNY 13.88 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +86.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -3.63% / Base +2.37% / Bull +8.37% | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 658.31B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 243.02B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.74 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 8.48 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +34.08% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The fundamentals show a sub-book valuation (PB 0.68, price 5.78 vs book value per share 8.48) and a single-digit PE of 7.81 against a net margin of +34.08%. The StockKit DCF scenario rows imply a wide +86.4% base fair-value gap, but these are internally computed forecasts driven by modest growth assumptions (Base +2.37% 5Y) and not analyst consensus targets. The PEG proxy of 3.29 reflects that low growth assumption relative to the multiple. Income data uses the 2025-12-31 AkShare report period. Gross margin was N/A and is omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items were available |
No headlines were returned for 601988 from the configured source, so no confirmed catalysts can be timed or assessed. This section carries low confidence by default. With no event flow, the near-term path is being set by the technical and price-volume picture in Section 3 rather than by news.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is therefore non-contributory to the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Holds the 5.70 support / lower-band zone and consolidates | Stabilization between 5.70 and MA20 at 5.99; OBV slope stays positive (+18.25%); strategy score holds near 49/100 Hold | Sustained closes below 5.70 or a break of the MA5 > MA20 short-term cross |
| Upside | Rebound from the washed-out KDJ (J -14.32) and lower band | Reclaim of MA20 (5.99) then a push toward resistance 6.28 (+8.67% away); MACD histogram turning up from -0.03 | Failure to clear 5.99 with volume, or MACD death cross deepening |
| Downside | Loss of support on continued heavy supply | Close below 5.70 toward the 30-session low at 5.61; price-down/volume-up (today +24.36% vs avg) persisting | Reclaim of 5.70 and the lower band, with RSI6 (25.52) recovering off oversold |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy distribution pressure | 量价关系 35/100 Sell; volume +24.36% above 20-session average on a -2.69% day | Further down-days on above-average volume | Track daily volume vs the 293,650,473 baseline |
| Downside momentum | Bearish MACD death cross, histogram -0.03 | Histogram extending negative, lines crossing below zero | Watch MACD line (0.06) vs signal (0.08) |
| Support break | Price only +1.30% above estimated support (5.70) | Sustained close under 5.70 | Watch the 5.70 / 5.61 zone |
| News/sentiment blind spot | No data from configured news and sentiment sources | Sudden price move with no readable driver | Recheck sources for newly available coverage |
| Valuation model uncertainty | Fair-value range and PEG are StockKit scenario outputs, Medium confidence | Realized growth diverging from +2.37% base assumption | Treat the +86.4% gap as model-dependent, not consensus |
1. The 5.70 support / lower Bollinger band cluster: holds or breaks (price now +1.30% above). 2. Daily volume vs the 293,650,473 20-session average, to see if down-day supply (currently +24.36%) eases. 3. MA20 at 5.99 as the first reclaim hurdle (price -3.55% below it). 4. MACD histogram (-0.03) for any turn toward zero. 5. RSI6 (25.52) and KDJ-J (-14.32) for a rebound off oversold readings. 6. OBV slope (+18.25%) for whether accumulation persists or rolls over. 7. Any newly available news or sentiment data, given both sources currently returned nothing.
This brief is generated by StockKit for general informational purposes and is not personalized investment advice. It does not promise or guarantee returns. Technical readings reflect the supplied dataset; news and sentiment carry low confidence because no data was returned from configured sources. Valuation rows marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Levels cited are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions to act.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=41中性
接近下轨，可能反弹
价跌放量(1.2x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.