工商银行
601398 · CN
601398 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 7.16 |
| Daily move | -2.72% |
| Strategy score | 47/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 40.91 / 28.63 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 0.03 / 0.04 / -0.01 |
| Estimated support | 6.95 (+2.96% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 7.76 (+8.37% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +21.52% (range 6.99-7.78) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technical/valuation); Low (news/sentiment) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 7.46 / 7.50 / 7.35 / 7.40 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross noted, but price is -2.64% below MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 40.91 / 28.63 | Soft but not washed out; fast RSI6 near oversold |
| MACD | 0.03 / 0.04 / -0.01 | Bearish configuration (death cross) above the zero line; momentum fading |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 34.73 / 57.06 / -9.92 | Washed-out J-line; rebound-watch setup |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 7.76 / 7.35 / 6.95 | Mid-band zone, ~26% of band width |
| ATR14 | 0.17 (+2.39% of price) | Moderate daily range expectation |
| OBV | 402,159,346 (+245.14% 20-session slope) | Accumulation improving over the medium window |
| CCI20 | -54.20 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: The MA5>MA20 golden cross and improving OBV slope (+245.14%) both point to underlying medium-term accumulation, consistent with a consolidation rather than breakdown.
Conflicted: Momentum signals disagree with structure. MACD shows a bearish death cross while still above zero, KDJ is washed out with a deeply negative J-line (rebound bias), and RSI6 (28.63) is far weaker than RSI14 (40.91). Price below MA5/MA10/MA20 also conflicts with the golden-cross read. This mix supports the Hold/consolidation conclusion rather than a directional call.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.16 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.65 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 10.51 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 10.38 / Base CNY 13.54 / Bull CNY 17.48 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +89.1% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -5.32% / Base +0.68% / Bull +6.68% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 838.27B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 368.56B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 1 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 11.06 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +38.21% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Note: PEG proxy and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The large base fair-value gap (+89.1%) is a model-implied figure and should be read alongside the flat base 5Y growth forecast (+0.68%) and the high PEG proxy (10.51), which temper the growth case. Reported PB of 0.65 against book value per share of 11.06 reflects the below-book pricing typical of large state-owned banks. Gross margin was N/A and is omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
Confirmed news: None available. No headlines were returned for 601398, so no event-driven catalysts can be assessed. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of activity. Any near-term view here is low confidence. No earnings dates, ratings, or corporate actions have been supplied or assumed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No social channels are marked connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. Sentiment confidence is Low across the board.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What confirms it | What invalidates it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 6.95-7.76 band; score stays near 47/100 | Sideways action between support and MA20 (7.35) with RSI14 holding ~41 | Decisive close beyond either band edge on rising volume |
| Upside (rebound) | KDJ washed-out J-line (-9.92) and improving OBV (+245.14%) resolve higher | Reclaim of MA20 (7.35) then MA5 (7.46), MACD histogram turning positive | Failure to reclaim MA20; renewed price-down-on-volume days |
| Downside (breakdown) | Loss of estimated support 6.95 / lower Bollinger band | Sustained close below 6.95 with continued 1.3x+ down-volume | Quick recovery back above 6.95 and into the mid-band |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Selling pressure on down days | Price-down-on-volume, 1.3x average; volume +33.09% vs 20-session avg | Repeat down sessions with above-average volume | Watch volume vs the 338.8M 20-session average each session |
| Momentum rollover | MACD death cross (hist -0.01); RSI6 28.63 weaker than RSI14 | MACD histogram stays negative / widens | Track MACD histogram and RSI6 daily |
| Support failure | Price +2.96% above support 6.95, which equals lower Bollinger band | Close below 6.95 | Set 6.95 as the key watch level |
| Data-gap risk | No news and no sentiment feed returned | New headline or feed reconnect changes the picture | Re-check configured news/sentiment sources |
| Valuation model uncertainty | +89.1% base fair-value gap vs +0.68% base 5Y growth; PEG proxy 10.51 | Growth assumptions diverge from reported flat trajectory | Treat StockKit DCF outputs as model scenarios, not targets |
1. Estimated support 6.95 (also lower Bollinger band) - primary level; watch for holds or breaks. 2. Daily volume vs the 338.8M 20-session average - confirm whether down-volume selling persists or fades. 3. MA20 at 7.35 - first overhead reclaim level for the rebound case. 4. MA5 (7.46) and MA10 (7.50) - secondary reclaim levels confirming a momentum shift. 5. MACD histogram - watch for a flip from -0.01 toward positive. 6. KDJ J-line (-9.92) and RSI6 (28.63) - watch for rebound-confirming turns from washed-out readings. 7. News and sentiment feeds - monitor for reconnection or new headlines, since both currently return no data.
This brief is built only from the supplied StockKit dataset and is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. Technical and valuation inputs are Medium confidence; news and sentiment are Low confidence due to empty feeds. Levels cited are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions to act, and no returns are promised or implied.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=41中性
在通道中部
价跌放量(1.3x),抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.