农业银行
601288 · CN
601288 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 6.37 |
| Daily move | -2.45% |
| Strategy score | 52/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 41.21 / 31.98 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.02 / -0.03 / 0.01 |
| Support (est.) | 6.17 (+3.10%) |
| Resistance (est.) | 6.79 (+6.67%) |
| 30-session range position | +26.74% (range 6.14-7.00) |
| Data confidence | Medium overall; Low on news/sentiment |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 6.60 / 6.59 / 6.48 / 6.68 | Price (6.37) sits below all four MAs; near-term stack MA5>MA10>MA20 is positive, but MA60 (6.68) caps the structure - described as mixed alignment |
| RSI (14/6) | 41.21 / 31.98 | Soft but not washed out; RSI14 mid-low, RSI6 nearer oversold |
| MACD | -0.02 / -0.03 / +0.01 | Cross is above signal with a positive histogram, but the line sits below the zero axis - momentum repairing, not yet expansive |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 42.11 / 61.21 / 3.93 | Soft / still repairing; very low J (3.93) reflects recent downside pressure |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 6.79 / 6.48 / 6.17 | Mid-band zone, 32% of band; band width reported as expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.17 / +2.68% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -2,502,274,069 / -51.17% | Distribution pressure visible; falling slope is the clearest bearish tell |
| CCI20 | -30.26 | Inside a neutral band |
Confirmed: The near-term MA cross (MA5>MA20) and a positive MACD histogram point to short-term stabilization. RSI and CCI both sit in neutral-to-soft territory consistent with consolidation.
Conflicted: MACD is constructive in shape (positive histogram) yet below the zero axis with weakening momentum, and price trades under all MAs despite the bull-trend label. OBV's -51.17% 20-session slope signals distribution, conflicting with the upbeat MA-cross read.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.17 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.79 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 2.08 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 9.36 / Base CNY 12.14 / Bull CNY 15.6 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +90.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -2.07% / Base +3.93% / Bull +9.93% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 725.31B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 291.04B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.78 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 8.08 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +36.64% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The fundamental anchors (PE 8.17, PB 0.79, EPS 0.78, BVPS 8.08, net margin +36.64%) are drawn from the AkShare THS abstract for the 2025-12-31 period and carry Medium confidence. The StockKit fair-value range (Base CNY 12.14) and Base fair-value gap (+90.6%) are internally computed DCF scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and should be read as model-implied references rather than price objectives. The PEG proxy (2.08) and 5Y growth band are likewise scenario-model derived. Gross margin was N/A and is omitted; market cap, dividend yield, and EV/EBITDA were not supplied and are omitted.
| Status | Item | Date | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confirmed | "Top 10 Shanghai Stock Exchange Stocks to Watch and Consider Buying in 2026" - Ibtimes.com.au | 2026-06-06 | A general watch-list mention that may marginally affect visibility/retail attention; it is editorial coverage, not a company-specific fundamental event, so its directional weight is low |
| Missing | Earnings date, dividend declaration, regulatory or policy items, analyst rating changes | - | None supplied; catalyst calendar cannot be constructed from the dataset |
Catalyst confidence is Low. Only one headline is available and it carries no company-specific operational detail.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 1 headline | Ibtimes.com.au x1 | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider-level sentiment score was supplied for this symbol, and no social feed (Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local forums) is marked connected, so no social reading is inferred. The single available headline gives a thin, low-confidence signal only.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 6.17 support zone and consolidates within the mid-band (32% of band), strategy score steady near 52/100 (Hold) | Continued range trade between support 6.17 and resistance 6.79, MACD histogram staying non-negative | Sustained close below 6.17 toward the 30-session low (6.14), or OBV slope (-51.17%) accelerating lower |
| Upside | Reclaim of the MA cluster (MA20 6.48, MA10 6.59) and a push toward resistance 6.79 | MACD line crossing above zero with RSI14 lifting from 41.21, volume confirming on advances | Failure at the MA20/MA10 band with renewed price-down-on-volume action |
| Downside | Break of estimated support 6.17 (+3.10% below current) on continued distribution | Daily close below 6.14 (30-session low), OBV slope deepening from -51.17%, KDJ J holding depressed near 3.93 | Recovery back above MA20 (6.48) and a positive shift in OBV slope |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution / volume pressure | OBV -2.50B with 20-session slope -51.17%; volume-price score 35/100 (Sell), price-down-on-volume (1.0x) | Further down sessions on above-average volume (20-sess avg 329.4M) | Track daily OBV direction and volume vs the 20-session average (+2.93% currently) |
| Momentum below zero axis | MACD line -0.02 sits under zero; described as momentum weakening | Histogram flipping negative again | Watch for MACD line crossing zero either way |
| Support break | Estimated support 6.17 only +3.10% below price; 30-session low 6.14 close by | Daily close under 6.17 | Set 6.17 as the primary watch level; confirm with closing price not intraday wicks |
| Overhead MA cap | Price below MA20 (6.48) and MA60 (6.68); price vs MA20-1.75% | Repeated rejections at the MA cluster | Monitor reclaim attempts of MA20/MA60 |
| Valuation reliance on model | Base fair-value gap (+90.6%) is StockKit DCF output, not consensus | Treating model output as a price target | Read fair-value range as model-implied only; cross-check against PE 8.17 / PB 0.79 anchors |
| Thin information base | 1 headline, no connected sentiment feed | Acting on low-confidence catalyst/sentiment | Treat news and sentiment sections as low confidence until more sources connect |
1. Support integrity: watch daily closes against 6.17; a sustained break points toward the 30-session low of 6.14. 2. OBV slope: confirm whether the -51.17% 20-session slope stabilizes or deepens - the clearest distribution signal. 3. Volume vs average: track volume relative to the 20-session average (329.4M); price-down-on-volume keeps the volume-price score (35/100) under pressure. 4. MACD zero axis: watch for the MACD line (-0.02) crossing zero and whether the histogram (+0.01) holds positive. 5. MA cluster reclaim: monitor attempts to retake MA20 (6.48) and MA10 (6.59) as the path toward resistance 6.79. 6. RSI/KDJ repair: watch RSI14 (41.21) and the depressed KDJ J (3.93) for signs of momentum normalizing. 7. Information flow: note any new confirmed headlines or a connected sentiment feed that could raise the currently Low news/sentiment confidence.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=41中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.0x)，抛压沉重
Top 10 Shanghai Stock Exchange Stocks to Watch and Consider Buying in 2026
Ibtimes.com.au · 2026-06-06
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.