恒瑞医药
600276 · CN
600276 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 48.42 |
| Daily move | +3.04% |
| Overall score | 57/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 | 46.26 (neutral) |
| MACD | Line -1.33 / Signal -1.62 / Hist +0.29 (bullish config below zero) |
| Support (watch) | 45.41 (+6.21% below price) |
| Resistance (watch) | 50.74 (+4.80% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +23.22% (range 45.26-58.87) |
| Data confidence | Medium on price/technicals/valuation; Low on news/sentiment (no feed) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 47.83 / 47.25 / 48.08 / 52.69 | Mixed alignment; price +0.71% over MA20 but well below MA60 (52.69) |
| RSI (14/6) | 46.26 / 58.11 | Neutral momentum; short-cycle RSI6 firmer than RSI14 |
| MACD | -1.33 / -1.62 / +0.29 | Bullish configuration (golden cross) but below zero axis; momentum building, not confirmed |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 59.08 / 49.22 / 78.80 | Constructive crossover (K above D); J elevated at 78.80 |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 50.74 / 48.08 / 45.41 | Mid-band zone, 56% of band; no squeeze or breakout signal |
| ATR14 | 1.60 (+3.30% of price) | Moderate daily volatility envelope |
| OBV | -950,483,336 (20-session slope -34.65%) | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow trending out |
| CCI20 | 0.48 | Inside neutral band; no momentum extreme |
Confirmed: the up-day is volume-backed (+51.14% vs 20-session average), and MACD, KDJ both show constructive short-term configurations. Price holding above MA20 (+0.71%) supports the consolidation read.
Conflicted: the bullish MACD/KDJ crossovers sit against a negative, steeply sloped OBV (-34.65%) and a sub-zero MACD line below MA60. Near-term momentum signals and the longer-term flow picture disagree. RSI14 (46.26) and CCI (0.48) are both neutral, offering no directional tiebreaker.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this section reflects the standard panel only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.69 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 5.05 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 2.26 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 23.86 / Base CNY 32.81 / Bull CNY 41.22 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -32.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 31.63B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 7.71B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 1.19 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 9.59 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +86.60% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +28.02% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The PEG proxy (2.26), fair-value range, base-case gap, and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from public financial history. They are internal forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. The most notable tension: at 48.42 the price sits roughly 32.2% above the StockKit base fair value of CNY 32.81, even though the StockKit bull case (CNY 41.22) remains below the current price. Set against this, fundamentals are high-quality on margins (gross +86.60%, net +28.02%) but priced at a premium (PE 40.69, PB 5.05). Income-statement figures use the 2025-12-31 AkShare report period.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
Confirmed news: none. No headlines were returned for 600276 from the configured provider, so there is no event to assess. With no supplied catalyst, near-term direction relies on price/volume and the technical panel rather than identifiable news drivers. This is a lower-confidence section; absence of headlines does not mean absence of developments, only that the feed returned none.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and the social sentiment source is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is the lowest-confidence input in this brief and should not be weighted in the read.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 45.41-50.74 Bollinger band; consolidation continues | RSI14 stays near neutral (46.26 area), MACD histogram positive but below zero, price oscillating around MA20 (48.08) | A decisive break of either band edge on rising volume |
| Upside | Volume-confirmed close above 50.74 resistance | MACD line crossing toward/through zero axis, OBV slope turning less negative than -34.65%, sustained volume above the 20-session average | Failure to hold above 50.74 on the retest; OBV slope steepening negative |
| Downside | Loss of 45.41 support | Price closing below MA20 (48.08) then MA5/MA10 (47.83/47.25), OBV distribution pressure (-34.65% slope) accelerating, KDJ rolling over from J 78.80 | Reclaim of 45.41 and MA20 on improving volume |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution / weak flow | OBV slope -34.65%, OBV -950M | OBV slope steepens while price stalls near 50.74 | Track OBV slope vs price each session for divergence |
| Valuation premium | PE 40.69, PB 5.05, price ~32.2% above StockKit base FV (CNY 32.81) | Multiple compression without earnings support | Watch price vs StockKit fair-value band; reassess if PE expands further |
| Mixed momentum signals | Bullish MACD/KDJ vs neutral RSI14 (46.26) and CCI (0.48) | Momentum signals roll over before resistance is cleared | Confirm MACD histogram stays positive and KDJ holds its crossover |
| Overhead MA60 | MA60 at 52.69, above price and resistance | Rejection in the 50.74-52.69 zone | Treat 50.74 then 52.69 as layered resistance watch levels |
| Information gap | No news, no connected sentiment | An unflagged development moves price outside technical expectations | Re-run the news/sentiment feeds before acting on the technical read |
| Volatility | ATR14 +3.30% of price | Range expansion beyond the Bollinger band | Size expectations to the ~3.3% daily swing envelope |
1. 50.74 resistance / Bollinger upper: watch for a volume-confirmed close above it (the single most important condition). 2. 45.41 support / Bollinger lower: watch for any break and whether it holds on a retest. 3. OBV 20-session slope: watch whether -34.65% improves or steepens against price action. 4. Volume vs 20-session average (currently +51.14%): watch for continued confirmation or fade. 5. MACD: watch the histogram (+0.29) and whether the line (-1.33) moves toward the zero axis. 6. KDJ J-line (78.80): watch for a rollover that would weaken the constructive crossover. 7. News and sentiment feeds: watch for any restored coverage, given both are currently empty.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=46中性
在通道中部
价涨量增(1.5x)，走势确认，连续放量上涨
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.