300750 Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- 300750 (宁德时代) is trading at 395.30, with a current daily move of -1.64%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 56/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 347.88 and resistance at 406.05; price is +12.00% from support and +2.72% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 395.30 | Daily move -1.64% |
| Strategy score | 56/100 | Hold, trend: bull |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 54.22 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 4.32 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 347.88 / 406.05 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 346.16 / 414.04 | Price sits at +72.39% of the range |
| Volume check | +4.25% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +3.93% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 4.32, while MACD line / signal are 2.22 / -2.10.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 83.14 / 80.39 / 88.62; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Near upper band (82% of band); upper / middle / lower are 406.05 / 376.97 / 347.88.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 15.55 (+3.93% of price), OBV slope is +708.57%, and CCI20 is 107.37.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 347.88 / 406.05; recent 30-session range is 346.16 / 414.04.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.49 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 4.82 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 1.36 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 323.59 / Base CNY 445.01 / Bull CNY 559.13 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +12.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 423.70B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 72.20B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 16.14 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 81.99 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +23.93% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +16.98% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes:
- AkShare report period used for income data: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from public financial history; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. CATL posts 43.28 billion yuan in H1 2026 profit, announces massive share buyback - Crypto Briefing
2. 外資投行密集唱多中國股市,北向資金持股市值3.13兆人民幣創新高 - Yahoo Entertainment
3. 大摩看好寧德時代Q2財報,資金輪動推升股價維持加碼評級 - Yahoo Entertainment
4. 寧德時代鈉電儲能進軍歐洲,2027年起部署5GWh、雙軌技術布局提速 - Yahoo Entertainment
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Yahoo Entertainment x3, Crypto Briefing x1, Juancole.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 347.88 and 406.05 | Strategy score stays near 56/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 406.05 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 347.88 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 347.88 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +3.93% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 347.88 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 406.05 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 70/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 70/100 | Buy | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=54中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 接近上轨,带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.