汇川技术
300124 · CN
300124 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 71.18 |
| Daily move | +2.05% |
| Strategy score | 44/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 | 46.20 (neutral) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.08 / -0.40 / -0.68 (bearish) |
| Estimated support | 66.51 (+6.56% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 81.47 (+14.46% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +23.80% (range 67.16-84.05) |
| Data confidence | Technicals medium; valuation/news/sentiment low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 69.53 / 71.11 / 73.99 / 70.99 | Mixed alignment; price below MA20, MA5<MA20 death cross |
| RSI (14/6) | 46.20 / 48.69 | Neutral momentum, no extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.08 / -0.40 / -0.68 | Bearish, below zero, histogram negative |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 27.29 / 21.77 / 38.34 | Constructive crossover from low zone |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 81.47 / 73.99 / 66.51 | Mid-band, 31% of band, width expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 3.36 / +4.73% | Elevated daily range as share of price |
| OBV (value / 20d slope) | 8,746,857 / -89.62% | Distribution pressure, slope sharply negative |
| CCI20 | -70.96 | Inside neutral band, mildly soft |
Confirmed: a bearish bias is corroborated across multiple inputs. The MA5<MA20 death cross, MACD below zero with a negative histogram, and the steep OBV slope (-89.62%) all point the same direction. RSI (46.20) and CCI (-70.96) agree on neutral-to-soft momentum without flagging an extreme.
Conflicted: the KDJ shows a constructive crossover (K 27.29 above D 21.77) from a low zone, which runs counter to the MACD/OBV distribution signals. The Bollinger position (31% of band, mid-zone with expanding width) is itself neutral and does not resolve the conflict. Today's +2.05% move is a near-term counter to the bear trend label but is not yet confirmed by volume (current volume -11.77% vs the 20-session average).
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied for this symbol, so none are folded in here.
No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for this symbol (PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, fair-value range, and sector context all came back N/A from the AkShare / EODHD fallback). Per the data rules, N/A rows are omitted rather than shown as placeholders, which leaves no populated valuation rows. Confidence on the valuation dimension is Low, and no fair-value or multiple-based view can be formed from the supplied dataset.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline news | No current news items were available from the configured source |
There is no confirmed news in the dataset. No earnings dates, corporate actions, or analyst events were supplied, so no catalyst timeline can be constructed. This part of the analysis is Low confidence. No headlines are invented to fill the gap.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not connected in the supplied data, so no social readings are produced. The sentiment dimension is Low confidence and does not contribute to the view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price oscillates in the mid-band between support 66.51 and MA20 73.99; score holds near 44/100 | Continued neutral RSI (~46) and price contained below MA20 with flat-to-soft OBV | Decisive close above MA20 (73.99) or below support (66.51) |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 at 73.99 backed by volume expansion above the 20-session average (44.2M) | MACD histogram narrowing toward zero plus KDJ crossover follow-through; move toward resistance 81.47 (+14.46%) | Rejection at MA20 with volume staying below average; OBV slope remaining steeply negative |
| Downside | Loss of support 66.51 / Bollinger lower band | Break of the 30-session floor at 67.16-66.51 with OBV distribution persisting (-89.62% slope) | Reclaim and hold of 66.51 followed by KDJ-led bounce back toward MA20 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend remains bearish | Bear trend label; MA5<MA20 death cross; MACD -1.08 below zero | Failure to reclaim MA20 (73.99) | Watch daily closes relative to MA20 |
| Distribution pressure | OBV 20-session slope -89.62% | Continued negative OBV with rising volume | Track OBV slope alongside volume vs 44.2M average |
| Weak rally conviction | Price +2.05% but volume -11.77% vs 20-session average | Up days without volume confirmation | Compare each up-day volume to the 20-session average |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14% +4.73% | Widening Bollinger band beyond current 31% position | Size watch levels to ATR; expect ~3.36 daily swings |
| Support failure | Support 66.51 = Bollinger lower band; +6.56% below price | Close below 66.51 | Set alert at 66.51 and the 67.16 range floor |
| Low non-technical visibility | No valuation, no news, no sentiment data | Any new fundamental or headline release | Re-run analysis when fundamentals/news source reconnects |
1. MA20 reclaim test: watch for a close above 73.99 as the primary upside gate. 2. Support integrity: monitor 66.51 (support / Bollinger lower band); alert on any close below. 3. Volume confirmation: compare daily volume to the 20-session average of 44.2M; current reading is -11.77%. 4. OBV slope: track whether the -89.62% distribution slope flattens or deepens. 5. MACD histogram: watch the -0.68 histogram for narrowing toward zero. 6. KDJ follow-through: confirm whether the K>D crossover (27.29 / 21.77) sustains or fades. 7. Volatility check: keep ATR14 (3.36, +4.73%) in view when setting watch levels, and re-run when valuation, news, or sentiment sources reconnect.
This brief is built solely from the supplied dataset and is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. Technical conclusions are medium confidence; valuation, news, and sentiment dimensions are low confidence because no usable data was returned for those sources. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and no return or outcome is promised.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=46中性
在通道中部,带宽扩张中
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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