中国中铁
601390 · CN
601390 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 4.51 |
| Daily move | -3.63% |
| Strategy score | 49/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 38.09 / 39.65 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.12 / -0.13 / 0.01 |
| Support (watch level) | 4.44 |
| Resistance (watch level) | 4.87 |
| 30-session range position | +14.81% (range 4.39-5.20) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Medium · Valuation/News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 4.60 / 4.57 / 4.66 / 5.03 | Price below all MAs except marginally; MA60 (5.03) well above price signals a longer downtrend. Strategy notes MA5<MA20 (death cross), 40/100 Hold. |
| RSI (14/6) | 38.09 / 39.65 | Soft but not oversold; flagged 60/100 Buy as "low" but not washed out. |
| MACD | -0.12 / -0.13 / +0.01 | Histogram just turned positive (+0.01) and line sits above signal, a crossover - but both are below the zero axis, so momentum is weak. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 48.74 / 42.91 / 60.40 | K above D - a constructive crossover, the most upward-leaning of the panel. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 4.87 / 4.66 / 4.44 | Price near lower band (~16% of band width); 60/100 Buy on rebound potential. |
| ATR14 | 0.11 (+2.53% of price) | Moderate daily range; sets a realistic move size for stop/scenario sizing. |
| OBV | 298,962,888; 20-session slope -52.96% | Falling OBV slope confirms distribution pressure. |
| CCI20 | -76.02 | Inside a neutral band, no extreme. |
Confirmed: a short-term oversold-leaning posture (RSI 38, price at lower Bollinger band, KDJ crossover) supporting a possible technical bounce off support. Conflicted: the MACD label in the supplied context reads "bullish," but both MACD line and signal are below zero with weak momentum - this is a weak-trend crossover, not a strong reversal. The MA context label ("MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60") does not match the supplied values (MA20 4.66 > MA5 4.60) nor the strategy note (MA5<MA20 death cross); treat MA alignment as mixed-to-bearish, not cleanly stacked. Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel.
No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for this symbol. PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair-value range, and sector context were all N/A (AkShare / EODHD fallback, low confidence). With every row absent, no valuation matrix can be presented and any valuation-based view is omitted. This is the lowest-confidence part of the brief.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline news | No current news items were available from the configured source. |
| Catalyst timeline | No dated catalysts supplied. |
No confirmed headlines or catalysts are available, so this section adds no event-driven view. No earnings dates, ratings, or corporate actions are invented. Confidence: low.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are drawn, as none are marked connected. Sentiment confidence: low.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 4.44-4.87 band; score steady near 49/100 | Sideways action between support 4.44 and resistance 4.87, RSI staying in the high-30s to mid-40s | A decisive close outside 4.44 or 4.87 on rising volume |
| Upside (lower-band rebound) | Bounce from lower Bollinger band (4.44) with KDJ crossover (K 48.74 > D 42.91) follow-through | Reclaim of MA20 (4.66) and MACD histogram expanding above zero | Failure at MA20, MACD line staying below zero, OBV slope (-52.96%) extending lower |
| Downside (range breakdown) | Loss of support 4.44 on volume above the 20-session average (132.4M) | Move toward the 30-session low of 4.39 with continued OBV decline | Quick reclaim of 4.44 and stabilization of OBV slope |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution / supply pressure | OBV 20-session slope -52.96%; today's drop on +21.27% above-average volume; 量价关系 35/100 Sell | Continued down days on above-average volume | Track daily volume vs 20-session average (132.4M) and OBV slope |
| Weak momentum despite crossover | MACD line -0.12 below zero; histogram only +0.01 | MACD histogram rolling back negative | Watch for histogram failing to expand above zero |
| Longer-term downtrend overhang | Price 4.51 well below MA60 5.03 | Rejection at MA20 (4.66) / resistance (4.87) | Watch reaction at 4.66 and 4.87 watch levels |
| Support failure | Price +1.58% above support 4.44, which equals lower Bollinger band | Close below 4.44 | Set alert at 4.44 and 30-session low 4.39 |
| Thin fundamental/news/sentiment data | Valuation, news, and sentiment all N/A | Any new filing or catalyst not yet captured | Re-check fundamentals and news feeds before acting on technicals alone |
1. Support 4.44 - does price hold the lower Bollinger band / estimated support, or close below it. 2. Volume vs 20-session average (132.4M) - is selling pressure (currently +21.27%) easing or building. 3. OBV slope (-52.96%) - does it stabilize or keep falling. 4. MA20 reclaim at 4.66 - first hurdle for any rebound. 5. MACD histogram - does +0.01 expand and the line move toward the zero axis. 6. RSI14 (38.09) - recovery toward 50 vs slide toward oversold. 7. Data feeds - re-check valuation, news, and sentiment sources that returned empty, to upgrade confidence beyond technicals.
This brief is built almost entirely from the supplied technical dataset; valuation, news, and sentiment feeds returned no usable data, so those sections carry low confidence and no fundamental or catalyst view is asserted. Where the precomputed context labels conflicted with the raw indicator values (MACD "bullish" while below zero; MA alignment label vs supplied MA values), the raw readings were given precedence and the conflict was flagged. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions. This is general research information, not personalized investment advice, and no returns are implied.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=38偏低
接近下轨，可能反弹
价跌放量(1.2x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
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