中国联通
600050 · CN
600050 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 4.28 |
| Daily move | -1.61% |
| Strategy score | 54/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 37.90 / 29.49 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -0.06 / -0.06 / 0.00 |
| Support (est.) | 4.27 (+0.21% away) |
| Resistance (est.) | 4.47 (+4.44% away) |
| 30-session range position | +2.35% (range 4.26-5.11) |
| Data confidence | Medium overall; news/sentiment Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | 4.35 / 4.35 / 4.37 / 4.50 | Mixed alignment; price -2.07% below MA20. Score model flags MA5<MA20 death cross (40/100). |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 37.90 / 29.49 | Soft but not washed out; RSI14 low enough to register as a Buy lean (60/100). |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -0.06 / -0.06 / 0.00 | Histogram flat at zero, line and signal converged below the zero axis. Momentum weak (50/100). |
| KDJ K / D / J | 40.39 / 46.92 / 27.31 | Soft / still repairing; J well below K and D. |
| Bollinger upper / mid / lower | 4.47 / 4.37 / 4.27 | Price near lower band (~5% of band). Bandwidth ~4.6%, very narrow; band-width expansion pending (65/100 Buy lean). |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.07 / +1.74% | Low realized volatility, consistent with the narrow band. |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | -1,367,684,110 / -411.40% | Distribution pressure visible; the steepest negative read on the panel. |
| CCI20 | -130.99 | Below -100; indicates downside pressure / oversold conditions. |
What is confirmed: low-volatility consolidation. The narrow Bollinger band (~4.6%), ATR14% at +1.74%, and price pinned near support (+0.21%) all point the same way.
What is conflicted: the score model labels the MACD configuration as bullish (a "golden cross" below the zero axis with weakening momentum, histogram at 0.00), while OBV slope (-411.40%) and CCI20 (-130.99) read as distribution and downside pressure. RSI/Bollinger lean toward a possible bounce; MA structure and OBV lean cautious. This is an unresolved, range-bound tape.
What is missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the panel above, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.66 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 0.78 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 1.9 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 4.14 / Base CNY 5.33 / Bull CNY 6.81 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +24.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +1.73% / Base +7.73% / Bull +13.73% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 392.22B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 9.13B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 0.29 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 5.46 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +23.73% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +4.72% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Notes: PB of 0.78 sits below the CNY 5.46 book value per share, so the stock trades under stated book on the supplied figures. The fair-value range and PEG proxy are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The Base case (CNY 5.33) implies a +24.6% gap to the current CNY 4.28, but is model-derived and carries Medium confidence. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and a 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts to anchor a directional view; price action is the primary read for now. |
Confirmed news: none available. With no headlines on file, any catalyst-driven move would not be captured here, which lowers confidence on event risk in both directions. No facts are added beyond the supplied dataset.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local-forum readings are not connected and are therefore not estimated. Sentiment confidence is Low.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Continued consolidation around 4.28, holding the 4.27-4.47 range | Bollinger bandwidth staying narrow (~4.6%), ATR14% near +1.74%, score holding ~54/100 | A decisive close outside 4.27 or 4.47 with volume expansion |
| Upside | Bounce off the lower band with support at 4.27 holding | RSI14 lifting off 37.90, KDJ J turning up from 27.31, OBV slope flattening from -411.40%, close back toward MA20 (4.37) | Loss of 4.27 support; OBV slope steepening further negative |
| Downside | Break below 4.27 support toward the 30-session low at 4.26 | CCI20 staying below -100, MACD histogram turning negative from 0.00, OBV distribution continuing | Reclaim of MA20 (4.37) and RSI14 recovery above neutral |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Support failure | Price +0.21% above 4.27; 30-session low 4.26 | Close below 4.27 | Watch the 4.26-4.27 zone on a closing basis |
| Distribution pressure | OBV -1.37B, 20-session slope -411.40% | OBV slope steepening further | Track OBV slope alongside price |
| Downside momentum | CCI20-130.99; RSI6 29.49 | CCI staying < -100, MACD hist turning negative | Watch CCI20 and MACD histogram together |
| Signal conflict | Bullish MACD read vs OBV/CCI distribution | Either side resolves on a range break | Treat 4.27/4.47 break as the tiebreaker |
| Thin news/sentiment | No headlines; social not connected | Any unscheduled headline | Re-check news feed before acting on technicals |
| Valuation is model-based | Fair value & PEG from StockKit scenario model | New reported financials revise inputs | Treat +24.6% Base gap as model output, not consensus |
1. The 4.27 support line on a closing basis (currently +0.21% away). 2. The 4.47 resistance / Bollinger upper band as the upside watch level (+4.44% away). 3. Bollinger bandwidth (~4.6%) for expansion signaling a range break. 4. RSI14 (37.90) for a lift off soft levels, and RSI6 (29.49) for a turn. 5. KDJ J (27.31) for an upturn relative to K (40.39) and D (46.92). 6. OBV 20-session slope (-411.40%) for flattening versus continued distribution. 7. News feed status, given no confirmed headlines are currently on file.
This brief uses only the supplied dataset. Technical indicators are well populated; news and sentiment feeds returned no data and are flagged Low confidence. Valuation rows are Medium confidence, and the fair-value range and PEG proxy are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. This is not personalized investment advice, and all levels are watch levels rather than instructions.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=38偏低
带宽4.6%极窄，即将突破，接近下轨，可能反弹
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
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