海光信息
688041 · CN
688041 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 328.00 |
| Daily move | +6.42% |
| Strategy score | 67/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 60.90 / 74.01 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 2.05 / -0.97 / 3.01 |
| Estimated support | 253.41 |
| Estimated resistance | 339.12 |
| 30-session range position | +70.09% (range 255.84-358.80) |
| Data confidence | Technical: Moderate. Valuation: Medium. News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 301.97 / 288.64 / 296.26 / 277.42 | Mixed alignment, MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60; price +10.71% above MA20. MA交叉 scored 70/100 (MA5>MA20 golden cross). |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 60.90 / 74.01 | RSI14 constructive but not extreme; RSI6 elevated. RSI极值 scored 45/100 (Hold, RSI14=61 on the high side). |
| MACD | 2.05 / -0.97 / 3.01 | Bullish configuration above zero with rising histogram. MACD背离 scored 85/100 (StrongBuy). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 79.72 / 64.13 / 110.90 | Extended; J above 100 signals short-term overheating risk. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 339.12 / 296.26 / 253.41 | Near upper band (87% of band), bandwidth expanding. 布林带 scored 50/100 (Hold). |
| ATR14 | 18.53 (+5.65% of price) | Elevated daily range; sizing and watch-level buffers should account for ~5.65% volatility. |
| OBV | 365,287,144 (+65.90% 20-session slope) | Accumulation improving, supports the up-move. |
| CCI20 | 116.48 | Above +100, indicating strong upside momentum. |
Confirmed: trend structure (MA), MACD momentum, OBV accumulation, and CCI all align bullish, and they are reinforced by volume (current volume +32.58% vs 20-session average; 量价关系 75/100, price up with 1.3x volume).
Conflicted: oscillators disagree with trend. KDJ J=110.90 and RSI6=74.01 point to overheating, while the price sits at 87% of the Bollinger band and only +3.39% from resistance - a stretched short-term position against an otherwise constructive trend.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in. No intraday or longer-horizon series beyond the listed fields were provided.
Rows marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. The base fair value sits well below the traded price; this gap is reported as supplied and should be read as a model output requiring interpretation, not a target.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 298.18 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 32.44 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 16.57 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 22.05 / Base CNY 30.33 / Bull CNY 38.11 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -90.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 14.38B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 2.54B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 1.1 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 10.11 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +55.60% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +21.75% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
Note: income data uses AkShare report period 2025-12-31. PE of 298.18 and PB of 32.44 are high in absolute terms; alongside a PEG proxy of 16.57 and a -90.8% base fair-value gap, the StockKit DCF outputs imply the price embeds growth expectations well beyond the model's base case. Gross margin (55.60%) and net margin (21.75%) are healthy on the supplied fundamentals.
Confirmed news: none. No current news items were available from the configured source.
Missing data: headline coverage is unavailable, so no catalyst timeline can be constructed from supplied facts. This section has low confidence by data availability. No earnings dates, ratings, or corporate events are invented. The only dated fundamental reference is the AkShare income report period of 2025-12-31, which is a data-vintage note rather than a forward catalyst.
No recent headline coverage was available from the configured source, and the social feed is not connected. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are created.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Note: no provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol, so sentiment cannot inform the view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Consolidation persists below resistance 339.12 while trend structure (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60) holds | Price holding above MA20 (296.26) with OBV slope staying positive (currently +65.90%) and score near 67/100 | Loss of MA20 with MACD histogram (3.01) rolling toward zero |
| Upside | Sustained close above the Bollinger upper / resistance band at 339.12 on continued above-average volume | Follow-through above 339.12 with volume staying above the 20-session average (40.57M) and CCI20 holding above +100 | Rejection at the band with KDJ J (110.90) and RSI6 (74.01) unwinding sharply back below the band |
| Downside | KDJ/RSI6 overheating resolves through price, breaking back into the band | Failure to hold MA10 (288.64), then a test toward estimated support 253.41 (-22.74% from spot) | Quick reclaim of MA5 (301.97) with MACD staying above zero and OBV accumulation intact |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overheating | KDJ J=110.90, RSI6=74.01, price at 87% of Bollinger band | A failed push at resistance 339.12 followed by an intraday reversal | Watch closes relative to the upper band and MA5 (301.97) |
| Resistance proximity | Only +3.39% to estimated resistance 339.12; 30-session high 358.80 | Multiple rejections at 339.12 | Track whether breakout volume exceeds the 20-session average (40.57M) |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14=18.53 (+5.65% of price) | Daily ranges widening further | Size watch-level buffers around the ~5.65% ATR band |
| Valuation stretch | PE 298.18, PB 32.44, PEG proxy 16.57, base fair-value gap -90.8% | Sentiment shift toward fundamentals over momentum | Compare price action against the StockKit fair-value range (22.05/30.33/38.11) as a model reference |
| Information gaps | No headlines; social sentiment not connected | A material headline emerging outside the dataset | Reconnect/refresh news and sentiment sources before acting on catalysts |
1. Behavior at resistance 339.12 / Bollinger upper band - breakout-and-hold vs rejection (highest priority, +3.39% away). 2. MA20 at 296.26 as the trend pivot; price is currently +10.71% above it. 3. Volume vs the 20-session average (40.57M) - confirmation requires above-average participation (today +32.58%). 4. OBV 20-session slope (now +65.90%) - watch for flattening that would weaken the accumulation read. 5. MACD histogram (3.01) - watch for contraction toward the zero line. 6. KDJ J (110.90) and RSI6 (74.01) - watch for unwinding from overheated levels. 7. Any new headline or sentiment data filling the current gap, given both sources returned nothing.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied StockKit dataset; it is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. Levels are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions to act. News and sentiment sections carry low confidence because no headlines or connected social feeds were returned, and the StockKit DCF fair-value rows are internally computed scenario outputs rather than analyst consensus.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强
RSI14=61偏高
接近上轨,带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.3x),走势确认,连续放量上涨
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.