山西汾酒
600809 · CN
600809 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 113.28 |
| Daily move | -3.76% |
| Strategy score | 40/100 (Signal: Sell) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 25.11 / 18.82 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -4.91 / -4.76 / -0.15 |
| Estimated support | 112.88 (+0.35% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 131.87 (+16.41% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +1.82% (range 112.70-144.60) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Moderate; Fundamentals/News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 117.23 / 118.14 / 122.37 / 134.23 | Bearish stack; price below all MAs, MA5<MA20 death cross |
| RSI (14/6) | 25.11 / 18.82 | Deeply oversold; rebound-watch |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -4.91 / -4.76 / -0.15 | Below zero, death-cross configuration, momentum fading |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 16.99 / 19.36 / 12.25 | Low/soft, still repairing |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 131.87 / 122.37 / 112.88 | Price near lower band, band expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 3.63 / +3.20% | Elevated intraday range |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -158,243,194 / -29.50% | Distribution pressure visible |
| CCI20 | -127.43 | Below -100, downside/oversold pressure |
Confirmed: The trend, momentum, and accumulation inputs agree on the downside. Bearish MA alignment (MA5<MA10<MA20<MA60), sub-zero MACD with a death cross, CCI below -100, and a falling OBV (-29.50% slope) all point the same direction. Note: the supplied research context labels the MA structure as "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60"; the underlying values show the reverse (MA5<MA10<MA20<MA60), so the operative, data-consistent read is bearish alignment, matching the MA交叉 StrongSell (10/100) note.
Conflicted: Momentum extremes diverge from trend. RSI14 (25.11), RSI6 (18.82), low KDJ, and proximity to the Bollinger lower band feed the engine's rebound-watch inputs (RSI 85/100 StrongBuy; Bollinger 65/100 Buy), while trend and volume inputs stay bearish. Volume adds to the tension: current volume is +45.39% above the 20-session average (~9.84M), and the engine reads this as down-on-rising-volume distribution (量价关系 35/100 Sell), which weakens the clean-rebound case even with oversold momentum.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above, so none are folded in here.
No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for 600809. PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair-value range, and sector/industry context were all N/A (source: AkShare / EODHD fallback, Low confidence), so per data-handling rules those rows are omitted rather than shown as placeholders. Confidence on any valuation-based view is Low; this brief draws no fundamental conclusions for this symbol.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
| Earnings / corporate events | Not supplied - not inferred |
No confirmed headlines were returned, so no catalyst can be assessed on the merits. Because no earnings dates, ratings, or company events were supplied, none are presented. Confidence on the catalyst picture is Low; price action is currently the only observable driver.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are presented, since none are marked connected in the supplied data. Sentiment confidence is Low.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price oscillates around the 112.88 support / Bollinger lower band while oversold momentum (RSI14 25.11) unwinds | Stabilization just above 112.88 with RSI lifting off extreme lows and MACD histogram (-0.15) contracting toward zero | Sustained close below 112.70 (30-session low) or RSI failing to recover |
| Upside | Oversold rebound off the lower band (Bollinger 65/100, RSI 85/100 inputs) | Reclaim of MA5 (117.23), then MA10 (118.14), on volume that does not show further OBV erosion | Rejection at MA5/MA10 with OBV slope staying negative (-29.50%) |
| Downside | Distribution continues (down-on-rising-volume, +45.39% vs avg) and support fails | Decisive break below 112.88/112.70 with expanding ATR (currently 3.63 / +3.20%) | Reclaim and hold above MA20 (122.37), flipping the -7.43% gap positive |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Bearish MA stack, MACD -4.91 below zero, CCI -127.43 | Close below 112.88 support | Watch the 112.88 / 112.70 zone daily |
| Distribution pressure | OBV -158.2M, slope -29.50%; down-day volume +45.39% vs avg | Further OBV decline on red candles | Track OBV slope and volume vs 20-session average |
| Failed rebound | Oversold RSI/KDJ against bearish trend | Rejection at MA5 (117.23) | Confirm whether MA5/MA10 are reclaimed and held |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 3.63 (+3.20% of price) | Widening daily ranges | Size expectations to ATR; watch band expansion |
| Information gap | No valuation, news, or sentiment data | Any fundamental release | Re-check sources for new data before acting on the technical read |
1. The 112.88 support / Bollinger lower band: does it hold, and does the 30-session low at 112.70 stay intact. 2. RSI14 (25.11) and RSI6 (18.82): any lift off oversold extremes that supports the rebound-watch input. 3. MA5 (117.23) then MA10 (118.14): first reclaim levels that would soften the bearish structure. 4. MACD histogram (-0.15) and line vs signal (-4.91 / -4.76): contraction toward zero versus further widening. 5. OBV slope (-29.50%): whether distribution pressure eases or intensifies. 6. Volume vs 20-session average (+45.39% today): is selling on volume continuing. 7. New data arrival: any valuation, news, or sentiment update from the configured sources, given current Low confidence on all three.
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=25超卖，短期极度超卖
接近下轨，可能反弹，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.5x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.