中远海控
601919 · CN
601919 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 13.80 |
| Daily move | -1.71% |
| Strategy score | 37/100 (Sell) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 37.93 / 26.84 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.10 / -0.02 / -0.08 |
| Estimated support | 13.85 |
| Estimated resistance | 15.14 |
| 30-session range position | +0.00% (range 13.80 / 15.20) |
| Data confidence | Technicals moderate; valuation / news / sentiment low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 14.23 / 14.46 / 14.50 / 14.62 | Bearish alignment, MA5 below all longer averages; MA交叉 scored 10/100 (StrongSell) |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 37.93 / 26.84 | Soft but not washed out; RSI极值 scored 60/100 (Buy) on a low-but-not-extreme RSI14 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.10 / -0.02 / -0.08 | Bearish configuration below the zero line, momentum fading; MACD背离 scored 20/100 (Sell) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 12.08 / 24.80 / -13.35 | Washed-out, rebound-watch; J at -13.35 is deeply stretched |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 15.14 / 14.50 / 13.85 | Price near/through the lower band (-4% of band), band expanding; 布林带 scored 70/100 (Buy) |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 0.40 / +2.87% | Moderate volatility, roughly 2.87% of price per session |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 25,529,925 / -95.38% | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow trending down hard |
| CCI20 | -177.55 | Below -100, indicating downside pressure / oversold conditions |
Confirmed: The trend-following indicators agree on a bear case. MA structure, MACD below zero with a negative histogram, and a steeply negative OBV slope all point the same direction, and that is reinforced by the 37/100 overall score and "Sell" signal.
Conflicted: The mean-reversion indicators lean the other way. RSI14 at 37.93 (scored Buy), a sub-lower-band Bollinger position (scored Buy), and a washed-out KDJ with CCI at -177.55 all flag short-term oversold conditions. The tension is a downtrend that is stretched to the downside, not a clean continuation. Watch how this resolves at the 13.85 support / lower-band zone.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
No configured fundamentals source returned usable valuation data for this symbol. PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, PEG proxy, StockKit fair-value range, and sector context were all N/A from the AkShare / EODHD fallback (Low confidence), and per reporting rules N/A rows are omitted rather than shown as placeholders. As a result, this brief carries no valuation-based view, and any conclusion that would depend on multiples or fair value should be treated as unsupported here.
Confirmed news: None. No current news items were available from the configured source.
Missing data: The headline feed returned nothing for 601919 over the covered window, so there are no confirmed catalysts, earnings dates, or corporate events to anchor a fundamental narrative. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of activity. Because no headlines are available, the near-term view rests on price and technicals alone, and the catalyst timeline is left empty rather than populated with assumptions.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Headline coverage produced no source distribution, and the social channel is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is therefore not a usable input for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price oscillates around the 13.80 range low and the 13.85 support / lower-band zone | Stabilization near 13.80-13.85 with RSI/KDJ basing and the negative MACD histogram (-0.08) flattening | A decisive close back above MA5 (14.23) or a clean breakdown below the 13.80 range low |
| Upside | Oversold mean-reversion engages from the lower band, with RSI14 (37.93) and CCI (-177.55) turning up | Reclaim of MA5 (14.23), then progress toward the MA10/MA20 cluster (14.46/14.50) and the 15.14 resistance / upper band (+9.75% away) | Failure to hold above 13.85 support, or OBV slope (-95.38%) staying steeply negative on rallies |
| Downside | Distribution continues and 13.80 gives way | Fresh lows below the 30-session range floor (13.80) on continued above-average volume (current +18.52% vs 20-session avg) with KDJ pinned and MACD widening | A sustained reclaim of 13.85 support and a turn higher in the OBV slope |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Bearish MA alignment, MACD below zero (-0.10), score 37/100 (Sell) | Daily close below the 13.80 range low | Track closes vs 13.80 and vs MA5 (14.23) |
| Distribution / supply pressure | OBV 20-session slope -95.38%, 量价关系 35/100 noting heavy selling on volume | Continued declines on volume above the 20-session average (+18.52% currently) | Watch OBV slope and volume vs the 106,077,170 average |
| Failed oversold bounce | RSI14 37.93 and CCI -177.55 oversold, but inside a downtrend | Price rejects at MA5/MA10 (14.23/14.46) and rolls over | Confirm any bounce holds above 13.85 before treating it as a turn |
| Thin fundamental / sentiment coverage | Valuation N/A across the board; no news; sentiment not connected | New information arrives that the feeds do not capture | Re-check valuation, news, and sentiment sources for fresh data |
| Volatility-driven whipsaw | ATR14 0.40 (+2.87% of price), Bollinger band expanding | Intraday swings around the 13.85 / 15.14 band edges | Size watch levels with the ~2.87% per-session ATR in mind |
1. The 13.80 range low and 13.85 support / lower-band zone - hold or break is the primary tell. 2. Daily close relative to MA5 (14.23) as the first sign of a short-term trend repair. 3. RSI14 (37.93) and KDJ (J at -13.35) for a turn up that would confirm the oversold rebound thesis. 4. MACD histogram (-0.08) for flattening or a cross back toward zero. 5. OBV 20-session slope (-95.38%) for any easing of distribution pressure. 6. Volume vs the 20-session average (106,077,170; currently +18.52%) on both down days and any bounce. 7. Re-checks of the valuation, news, and sentiment feeds, since all three are currently empty and would change the picture if they fill in.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied dataset. Technical indicators are well populated and carry moderate confidence; valuation, news, and sentiment feeds returned no usable data and are flagged Low confidence throughout, so any conclusions depending on them are withheld rather than estimated. StockKit scenario elements are internally computed views, not analyst consensus. Levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a forecast of returns.
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=38偏低
跌破下轨，短期超卖，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.2x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
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