药明康德
603259 · CN
603259 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 102.72 |
| Daily move | +4.60% |
| Strategy score / signal | 63/100, Buy |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 56.24 / 71.27 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.97 / -1.40 / +0.43 |
| Support (est.) | 93.85 (+8.64% away) |
| Resistance (est.) | 105.08 (+2.30% away) |
| 30-session range position | +57.97% (range 88.32-113.16) |
| Data confidence | Medium (no news/sentiment feed) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 99.63 / 97.83 / 99.47 / 101.70 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross, but price still wrestling with MA60 (101.70) |
| RSI (14/6) | 56.24 / 71.27 | RSI14 constructive and neutral; faster RSI6 near overbought, flagging near-term stretch |
| MACD | -0.97 / -1.40 / +0.43 | Golden cross with rising histogram, but both lines below zero - momentum improving from a weak base |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 81.11 / 69.42 / 104.47 | Extended; J above 100 signals short-term overheating risk |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 105.08 / 99.47 / 93.85 | Mid-to-upper band, ~79% of band width; upper band coincides with resistance |
| ATR14 | 3.83 (+3.73% of price) | Moderate volatility; roughly a 3.7% daily true-range budget |
| OBV | 25,084,039; 20-session slope -88.68% | Distribution pressure visible despite today's price gain |
| CCI20 | 65.60 | Inside the neutral band; no extreme signal |
Confirmed: MA5>MA20 golden cross, improving MACD histogram, and volume expansion (+32.26% vs 20-session average) all point the same direction near term. Conflicted: KDJ J (104.47) and RSI6 (71.27) warn of overheating while the OBV slope (-88.68%) argues accumulation is not keeping pace with price - a divergence worth respecting. Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the panel above, so no additional readings are folded in.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.33 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 3.64 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 0.85 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 134.33 / Base CNY 184.73 / Bull CNY 232.10 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +79.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 45.46B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 19.15B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 6.70 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 28.23 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +50.40% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +37.56% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The PEG proxy (0.85) and the fair-value range (Bear 134.33 / Base 184.73 / Bull 232.10) are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair-value gap of +79.8% is large and reflects modeled growth assumptions (Base +18.00% over five years); treat it as a scenario, not a forecast. Reported fundamentals are Medium confidence and drawn from the AkShare THS abstract for the 2025-12-31 period. No EV/EBITDA, market cap, dividend yield, or 52-week-range rows were supplied, so they are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts to weigh; near-term moves are technically and flow-driven rather than headline-driven |
Confirmed news: none returned. Missing data: the configured news source produced no items for 603259 during this run, so the catalyst timeline cannot be populated. No earnings dates, ratings, or corporate events are asserted because none were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Because no social source is marked connected, no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot for this brief and should be treated as lower confidence.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 99.47-101.70 zone (MA20-MA60) and oscillates within the Bollinger channel | Continued price-up/volume-up days near current volume (+32.26% vs average); MACD histogram stays positive | Loss of MA20 (99.47) on rising volume; MACD histogram rolls back negative |
| Upside | Sustained close above resistance / upper band at 105.08 | Follow-through volume above the 20-session average and OBV slope turning less negative; push toward upper 30-session range (113.16) | Failure to clear 105.08, or a reversal back below MA60 (101.70) |
| Downside | Break below estimated support at 93.85 | RSI14 falling below neutral, KDJ unwinding from overheated J (104.47), volume confirming the break | Quick reclaim of MA20 (99.47) and a bounce holding the lower band (93.85) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overheating | KDJ J at 104.47; RSI6 at 71.27 | A stalling session near 105.08 with KDJ rolling over | Watch for failure to hold MA60 (101.70) and a J reversal below 100 |
| Distribution despite price gains | OBV 20-session slope -88.68% | Price advances on thinning volume relative to the +32.26% reference | Track OBV slope direction alongside daily volume vs the 20-session average (43,053,302) |
| Resistance overhead | Estimated resistance and upper band coincide at 105.08 (+2.30% away) | Repeated rejections at 105.08 | Confirm any breakout with a close above the band plus volume |
| Valuation gap is model-driven | Base fair-value gap +79.8% is a StockKit DCF scenario, Medium confidence | Realized growth diverges from the +18.00% Base assumption | Treat fair-value range as a scenario; revisit if fundamentals update |
| Information blind spot | No news and no connected sentiment feed | A material headline emerges outside the configured source | Cross-check primary disclosures before acting on technical signals alone |
| Volatility | ATR14 +3.73% of price | Range expansion beyond the ~3.7% daily budget | Size watch levels to ATR rather than fixed points |
1. Resistance test at 105.08 - does price close above the upper Bollinger band, and on what volume. 2. MA60 hold at 101.70 - staying above keeps the constructive structure; losing it weakens it. 3. MA20 floor at 99.47 - first line that defines the Base case; a break shifts attention lower. 4. Volume vs the 20-session average (43,053,302) - confirm whether the +32.26% expansion persists. 5. OBV slope - watch for the -88.68% reading to flatten or turn, which would ease the distribution concern. 6. KDJ J and RSI6 - look for the overheated J (104.47) and RSI6 (71.27) to cool without a sharp price drop. 7. Support at 93.85 - the downside line and lower band; a tested-and-held level would reinforce the range.
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. Two inputs are lower confidence and should be read with that in mind: no news items and no connected sentiment series were available for 603259 in this run, and the valuation rows (including the StockKit DCF fair-value range and PEG proxy) are Medium-confidence model outputs rather than analyst consensus. All levels are framed as watch levels for observation, not instructions to transact.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=56中性
在通道中部
价涨量增(1.3x)，走势确认，连续放量上涨
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.