立讯精密
002475 · CN
002475 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | CNY 69.93 |
| Daily move | +3.88% (high 70.77 / low 66.41) |
| Overall score | 49/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 52.08 / 58.15 (neutral) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -0.45 / 0.04 / -0.49 (bearish) |
| Estimated support | 63.19 (+9.63% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 77.02 (+10.13% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +36.15% (range 63.22-81.78) |
| Data confidence | Medium (price/technical/valuation); Low (news/sentiment) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 67.28 / 67.08 / 70.10 / 64.82 | Mixed alignment; price sits -0.25% vs MA20, above MA60 (64.82). MA交叉 score 40/100 flags MA5<MA20 death cross. |
| RSI (14/6) | 52.08 / 58.15 | Neutral momentum, mid-range; RSI极值 score 50/100 confirms no extreme. |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.45 / 0.04 / -0.49 | Bearish: below zero axis with negative histogram. MACD背离 score 35/100 (Sell) notes strengthening downside momentum. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 49.49 / 33.62 / 81.24 | Constructive crossover (K above D); J at 81.24 is elevated, hinting near-term stretch. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 77.02 / 70.10 / 63.19 | Mid-band zone, 49% of band; 布林带 score 55/100 notes bandwidth expanding. |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 4.24 / +6.06% | Elevated daily range relative to price; size watch levels with this volatility in mind. |
| OBV / 20d slope | 192,533,817 / +230.29% | Accumulation improving; the rising slope is the strongest supportive signal. |
| CCI20 | -21.62 | Inside neutral band; no overbought/oversold trigger. |
Confirmed: neutral RSI and CCI, a constructive KDJ crossover, mid-band Bollinger positioning, and improving OBV accumulation all point to a balanced consolidation. Volume confirms the tape - 量价关系 scores 70/100 (Buy) with price up on +22.55% above the 20-session average volume (1.2x).
Conflicted: the bearish MACD (below zero, negative histogram) and the MA5<MA20 death cross sit against the constructive KDJ and rising OBV. Momentum direction is unresolved.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this section reflects the standard panel only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.54 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PB | 5.77 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 1.7 | StockKit scenario model (internal forecast) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear CNY 45.91 / Base CNY 63.14 / Bull CNY 79.33 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal forecast) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -9.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal forecast) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model (internal forecast) | Medium |
| Revenue | CNY 332.34B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net income | CNY 16.60B | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| EPS | 2.29 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Book value per share | 12.12 | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Gross margin | +11.92% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
| Net margin | +4.73% | AkShare THS financial abstract | Medium |
The current price of 69.93 sits above the StockKit base fair value of 63.14, leaving a -9.7% base fair-value gap (price above modeled base). The bull case (79.33) and bear case (45.91) frame a wide band, consistent with the elevated ATR. PE of 30.54 against a PEG proxy of 1.7 and a modeled base 5Y growth of +18.00% indicates the multiple is pricing continued growth. Note: PEG proxy, fair-value range, base gap, and growth forecasts are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history - they are internal forecasts, not analyst consensus. Income figures use the AkShare report period 2025-12-31.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
No confirmed news was returned, so there is no headline to interpret and no dated catalyst to track. This section is low confidence by necessity. No earnings dates, ratings, or company events are asserted, as none were supplied. Treat the technical and valuation reads as the working evidence base until a news feed is connected.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI returned no headlines and the social feed is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is uninformative here - absence of data, not a neutral signal.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base - continued consolidation | Price holds the 63.19-70.10 band; RSI14 stays mid-range (~52) | Sideways action between support 63.19 and MA20 70.10, OBV slope staying positive | Decisive break of either boundary on expanding volume |
| Upside - resolution higher | Sustained acceptance above MA20/mid-band 70.10 with MACD turning toward zero | Close and hold above 70.10-70.77, KDJ crossover follow-through, volume above the 1.2x current level, move toward resistance 77.02 | Failure to hold above 70.10; MACD histogram staying deeply negative |
| Downside - break of structure | Loss of support 63.19 / lower 30-session bound near 63.22 | Close below 63.19 with rising volume, OBV slope rolling over, deeper MACD histogram | Reclaim of MA60 (64.82) and stabilization back inside the band |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum rollover | MACD -0.45 below zero, histogram -0.49, MA5<MA20 death cross | MACD histogram deepening; price losing MA60 64.82 | Watch MACD daily and the MA60 level |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14% +6.06% | Daily ranges widening beyond recent ATR | Size watch levels to ATR; expect wider swings near boundaries |
| Valuation stretch | Price 69.93 above base FV 63.14 (-9.7% gap), PE 30.54, PEG proxy 1.7 | Growth disappointment vs +18% base forecast | Reassess if forward growth assumptions weaken |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | Material headline surfacing without prior signal | Connect/refresh news and sentiment feeds before acting on events |
| Range failure | 30-session range 63.22-81.78, position +36.15% | Close below 63.19-63.22 support cluster | Watch support on a closing basis with volume |
1. MA20 / mid-band cluster (70.10-70.77): track for a sustained close above or rejection. 2. Support 63.19 and lower 30-session bound 63.22: watch for any closing break. 3. MACD histogram (currently -0.49): look for narrowing toward the zero line. 4. KDJ follow-through: confirm the K/D crossover holds rather than fading from the elevated J (81.24). 5. Volume vs 20-session average (now +22.55%, 1.2x): confirm participation on any directional move. 6. OBV 20-session slope (+230.29%): watch that accumulation stays positive. 7. News and sentiment feeds: monitor for the first confirmed headline, given both sources are currently empty.
News and sentiment sections are low confidence because the configured sources returned no data. Valuation rows tagged StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base gap, 5Y growth) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. This brief is general research, not personalized investment advice, and all levels are watch levels rather than instructions.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=52中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.2x)，走势确认
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.