中国石油化工股份
00386 · HK
00386 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Price (HKD) | 4.14 | High |
| Daily move | -2.59% | High |
| Day high / low | 4.25 / 4.11 | High |
| Volume | 202,180,081 | High |
| Overall score | 50/100 (Hold) | Medium |
| Trend | Consolidation | Low |
| RSI14 | N/A | - |
| MACD | N/A | - |
| Support | N/A | - |
| Resistance | N/A | - |
| 30-session range position | N/A | - |
| Data confidence | Low (technical) / Medium (valuation) | - |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | N/A / N/A | RSI14 unavailable |
| MACD line / signal / histogram | N/A / N/A / N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ K / D / J | N/A / N/A / N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger upper / middle / lower | N/A / N/A / N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A / N/A | Volatility band unavailable |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | N/A / N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
Confirmed: nothing in the momentum or trend complex is confirmed. The only confirmed market facts are the spot price (HKD 4.14), the intraday range (4.11-4.25), the session move (-2.59%), and traded volume (202.2M shares).
Conflicted: no genuine conflicts exist because no two indicators have populated readings. The Hold signal and consolidation label rest entirely on default 50/100 scores tagged "数据不足", not on opposing signals.
Missing: the full panel - MA structure, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI, plus estimated support/resistance and 30-session range position. No custom indicators were supplied. This section should be treated as low confidence until the indicator feed repopulates.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.42 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 0.61 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 2.47 / Base HKD 2.96 / Bull HKD 3.85 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -28.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 2.78T | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 32.48B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 0.27 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 6.84 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +21.47% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +1.29% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
The picture is a low price-to-book name (PB 0.61, below book value per share of 6.84 against a 4.14 price) paired with a thin net margin (+1.29%) on a very large operating base (HKD 2.78T operating income). The StockKit DCF scenario model places Base fair value at HKD 2.96, a -28.6% gap to the current price, and its 5Y growth forecast skews negative (Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00%). These StockKit scenario rows are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. PEG proxy, EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. The AkShare HK report period used is 2025-12-31.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
| Scheduled catalysts | Not supplied |
No confirmed headlines or dated catalysts are present in the dataset. With the news feed empty, there is no event-driven thesis to build here and no basis to infer earnings dates, corporate actions, or sector triggers. Treat this section as a data gap rather than an absence of activity.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and the social sentiment channel is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are drawn. Sentiment is uninformative for this name at present.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds in the consolidation zone near HKD 4.14 while the Hold score (50/100) and "数据不足" tags persist | Repopulated indicators that read neutral; price oscillating around the 4.11-4.25 intraday band | A decisive break that aligns price with the StockKit Base fair value of HKD 2.96, or a sharp move that new momentum data confirms as directional |
| Upside | Price moves toward the StockKit Bull fair value of HKD 3.85+ region with supportive momentum once indicators return | New RSI/MACD/MA readings confirming an uptrend; PB 0.61 re-rating narrative gains a catalyst | Continued -28.6% Base fair-value gap with no momentum confirmation; renewed downside follow-through after the -2.59% session |
| Downside | Continuation lower toward the StockKit Base/Bear fair values (HKD 2.96 / 2.47) | Sustained closes below the 4.11 session low on rising volume; momentum data confirming a downtrend | Stabilization back into the intraday range with neutral repopulated indicators; PB-driven value support emerging |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical blind spot | Entire indicator panel is N/A; all five sub-scores default to 50/100 on "数据不足" | Any large price move with no indicator context to interpret it | Watch for the indicator feed to repopulate before acting on the consolidation read |
| Valuation gap | Base fair-value gap of -28.6% (price 4.14 vs Base HKD 2.96) | Price drifting toward the StockKit Base/Bear range (2.96 / 2.47) | Track the price-to-fair-value gap as the primary quantified anchor |
| Weak profitability | Net margin +1.29% on HKD 2.78T operating income; EPS TTM 0.27 | Margin compression in subsequent reporting | Watch margin trend at the next available financial update |
| Negative growth forecast | StockKit 5Y growth: Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | Confirmation of contraction in operating income or holder profit (HKD 32.48B) | Compare future reported growth against the scenario band |
| Information void | No news and no sentiment series returned | A material headline emerging while the feed is unmonitored | Re-check the news and sentiment sources before each session |
1. Watch whether the technical indicator feed repopulates (MA, RSI, MACD) - this is the gating item for any trend read. 2. Watch the price against the intraday band 4.11-4.25 for a hold or break. 3. Watch the price-to-Base-fair-value gap (HKD 4.14 vs 2.96, currently -28.6%). 4. Watch volume relative to the prior 202.2M session for confirmation or fade of the -2.59% move. 5. Watch the StockKit Bull/Bear watch levels (HKD 3.85 / 2.47) as outer reference points. 6. Watch for any first headline from the news source after the current empty read. 7. Watch for social sentiment connectivity changing from "Not connected" to live.
This brief uses only the supplied dataset. The technical panel is low confidence because all indicator inputs were unavailable; the valuation and financial frame is medium confidence (AkShare Eastmoney HK, report period 2025-12-31). StockKit fair-value and growth rows are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. This is general research information, not personalized investment advice.
数据不足
数据不足
数据不足
数据不足
数据不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.