中国海外发展
00688 · HK
00688 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | HKD 13.56 |
| Daily move | -8.99% |
| Day high / low | 14.82 / 13.51 |
| Volume | 115,516,839 |
| Strategy score | 50/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI | N/A |
| MACD | N/A |
| Estimated support | N/A |
| Estimated resistance | N/A |
| 30-session range position | N/A |
| Data confidence | Low (technicals), Medium (valuation) |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | N/A | RSI unavailable |
| MACD line / signal / histogram | N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ K / D / J | N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger upper / middle / lower | N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A | Volatility read unavailable |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
What is confirmed: Nothing in this panel is confirmed. No moving-average, oscillator, volatility, or volume-flow indicator returned a value.
What is conflicted: No conflict can be assessed because no two indicators produced readings to compare.
What is missing: The entire panel. The strategy engine reflects this by scoring each sub-signal at 50/100 (Hold) with the note 数据不足: MA交叉, MACD背离, RSI极值, 布林带, and 量价关系 all default to neutral. No custom indicators were supplied. Treat this section as low confidence; the only hard observation is the -8.99% daily move on roughly 115.5M shares, which establishes elevated activity but cannot be contextualized against a 20-session average (also N/A).
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.69 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 0.38 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 10.65 / Base HKD 12.77 / Bull HKD 16.62 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -5.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 168.09B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 12.69B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 1.16 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 35.45 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +15.51% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +7.99% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
The valuation picture is the most substantive part of this brief. PE of 11.69 and PB of 0.38 indicate the stock trades well below book value, with book value per share of 35.45 against a price of 13.56. The StockKit DCF base case of HKD 12.77 places fair value modestly below the current price (-5.8% base gap), framed by a bear of HKD 10.65 and a bull of HKD 16.62. The 5Y growth forecast skews negative (base -4.00%), which is the StockKit scenario model's view, not analyst consensus. Margins are positive (gross +15.51%, net +7.99%) on operating income of HKD 168.09B and holder profit of HKD 12.69B for the 2025-12-31 report period. PEG proxy and EV/EBITDA were not supplied and are omitted; 52-week range and dividend yield were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
| Catalysts | None supplied |
No confirmed news headlines were returned, so no catalyst can be cited or dated. The only observable event is market-based: the -8.99% single-session decline to HKD 13.56. Because no source explains that move, this section adds no interpretation beyond noting the gap between an unexplained sharp drop and the absence of headline coverage. Confidence: low.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is drawn. There is no sentiment signal to weigh against the price action.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price stabilizes around the StockKit base fair value of HKD 12.77 after the -8.99% move | Daily moves compress and price holds near the 13.51 session low without further breakdown | A sustained break below the bear fair value of HKD 10.65, or a recovery above the bull HKD 16.62 |
| Upside | Price re-rates toward the StockKit bull fair value of HKD 16.62, supported by PB of 0.38 vs book value per share of 35.45 | Sustained reclaim of the day high (HKD 14.82) on continued volume | Failure to hold above HKD 14.82; reversion toward base HKD 12.77 |
| Downside | Continued selling extends the -8.99% move toward the bear fair value of HKD 10.65 | Break and close below the session low of HKD 13.51 | Stabilization at or above HKD 13.51, or recovery toward base HKD 12.77 |
All trigger levels are watch levels derived from supplied figures (session high/low and StockKit scenario fair values), not instructions. With no support/resistance or moving-average data, these are the only anchors available.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp single-day drawdown | Daily move -8.99% to HKD 13.56 | Further close below session low HKD 13.51 | Watch whether the 13.51 low holds on subsequent sessions |
| No technical context | All MA, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI readings N/A | Indicators remain unavailable | Wait for indicator data before acting on any momentum thesis |
| Negative growth outlook | StockKit 5Y growth forecast base -4.00% (bear -8.00%) | Realized fundamentals tracking the bear path | Compare future reported results against the 2025-12-31 baseline |
| Below-base fair value | Base fair-value gap -5.8% (price 13.56 vs base HKD 12.77) | Price drifting toward bear HKD 10.65 | Track distance between price and the HKD 10.65 / 12.77 / 16.62 band |
| Information vacuum | No news and no sentiment series returned | An unexplained move with no corroborating source | Monitor the configured news/sentiment sources for new coverage |
1. Whether HKD 13.51 (session low) holds or breaks on a closing basis - the single most important observable level. 2. Whether the -8.99% move is followed by stabilization or continued downside toward bear HKD 10.65. 3. Any reclaim of the day high HKD 14.82 as an early sign of an upside path toward bull HKD 16.62. 4. Restoration of technical indicator data (MA, RSI, MACD) to replace the current all-N/A panel. 5. Arrival of any news headline that could explain the sharp daily decline. 6. Activation of the social sentiment connection or any NewsAPI distribution. 7. Price position relative to the StockKit base fair value of HKD 12.77 and the -5.8% base gap.
This brief is built from a thin dataset. The entire technical indicator panel, all news, and all sentiment series were unavailable, so Sections 3, 5, and 6 carry low confidence and the strategy score defaults to a neutral 50/100 (Hold, consolidation). The most usable signal is valuation (Medium confidence), where PE 11.69, PB 0.38, and the StockKit DCF band (bear HKD 10.65 / base HKD 12.77 / bull HKD 16.62) frame the discussion. PEG proxy, 5Y growth, and fair-value figures are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. This is not personalized investment advice.
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Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.