华润置地
01109 · HK
01109 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | HKD 33.28 |
| Daily move | +0.54% |
| Day high / low | 33.66 / 33.16 |
| Volume | 819,994 |
| Overall score | 50/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 | N/A |
| MACD | N/A |
| Support | N/A |
| Resistance | N/A |
| 30-session range position | N/A |
| Data confidence | Low on technicals; Medium on valuation |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI (14/6) | N/A | RSI14 unavailable |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger (upper/mid/lower) | N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A | Unavailable |
| OBV / OBV slope | N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
- Confirmed: Nothing is confirmed on the technical side. The only observable market data points are price (HKD 33.28), the daily move (+0.54%), the intraday band (33.16-33.66), and volume (819,994).
- Conflicted: No genuine conflict exists, because no indicator has produced a directional reading. The strategy score assigns a neutral 50/100 Hold to all five sub-signals, each flagged "数据不足" (insufficient data), which reflects absence rather than disagreement.
- Missing: Effectively the entire panel. MA structure, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger position, ATR, OBV slope, CCI, estimated support/resistance, and 30-session range position are all N/A. No custom indicators were supplied. Treat all technical conclusions in this brief as low confidence until this panel populates.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.34 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 0.82 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 32.74 / Base HKD 40.54 / Bull HKD 52.69 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +21.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -3.28% / Bull +2.72% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 281.44B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 25.42B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 3.56 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 40.6 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +21.23% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +11.66% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
Notes: The fair-value range and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. PEG proxy, EV/EBITDA, PEG, market cap, dividend yield, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. Report period used: 2025-12-31. PB of 0.82 pairs with a book value per share of 40.6 versus the HKD 33.28 price, meaning the stock trades below stated book; the StockKit scenario model's negative-to-flat 5Y growth band (-8.00% to +2.72%) is the main tension against the +21.8% base fair-value gap.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source | With no headlines returned, there is no confirmed catalyst to time against. Directional conviction here is low, and the brief relies on valuation and price/volume only. |
No confirmed news, earnings dates, or scheduled events were supplied, so none are asserted. Catalyst timing cannot be constructed from the current dataset.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local-forum readings are not shown because no such source is marked connected. Sentiment is uninformative for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the consolidation and stays above the Bear fair value of HKD 32.74; StockKit base fair value HKD 40.54 (+21.8% gap) | Sustained trade above 32.74 with a populated MA/RSI/MACD panel turning neutral-to-constructive | Sustained close below 32.74, or realized growth tracking the Bear -8.00% path |
| Upside | Move toward StockKit Bull fair value HKD 52.69; supported by PB 0.82 (below book) and PE 9.34 re-rating | Growth outcomes near the Bull +2.72% path plus rising volume vs a 20-session average (currently N/A) | Failure to reclaim ground above 33.66 intraday high; multiples staying compressed |
| Downside | Break below Bear fair value HKD 32.74 | Growth deteriorating toward Bear -8.00%; price losing the intraday 33.16 low repeatedly | Reclaim and hold above 32.74 with stabilizing valuation multiples |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical blind spot | Entire indicator panel is N/A; all five strategy sub-signals are 50/100 "数据不足" | Any indicator populating with a directional reading | Recheck the technical panel each session for MA/RSI/MACD data |
| Growth contraction | StockKit 5Y forecast spans Bear -8.00% to Bull +2.72% | Realized results tracking the negative end | Watch operating income (HKD 281.44B) and holder profit (HKD 25.42B) in future filings |
| Valuation model dependence | Fair value and PEG come from the StockKit scenario model, not consensus | Model inputs revised | Treat the +21.8% gap as internal, not a consensus target |
| Information vacuum | No news and no sentiment returned | A confirmed headline or connected sentiment source appearing | Recheck news and sentiment sources for new coverage |
| Level breach | Bear fair value HKD 32.74 sits close under price HKD 33.28 | Sustained trade below 32.74 | Monitor the 32.74 watch level daily |
1. Watch whether price holds above the Bear fair value of HKD 32.74 (highest priority; closest downside watch level). 2. Watch for the technical panel to populate (MA, RSI, MACD) so signals move beyond the current all-neutral 50/100 state. 3. Watch the intraday band edges: 33.66 high and 33.16 low, for any repeated break. 4. Watch volume (baseline 819,994) once a 20-session average becomes available for volume-price confirmation. 5. Watch for any first confirmed headline from the news source (currently none). 6. Watch whether social sentiment moves from "Not connected" to a connected reading. 7. Watch for updated financials that would confirm or challenge the -3.28% base growth path.
This brief uses only the supplied dataset. Technical indicators, news, and sentiment were largely unavailable and are flagged as low confidence; valuation carries medium confidence. Fair-value and PEG figures are StockKit scenario model outputs, not analyst consensus. Watch levels are observational reference points, not instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.
数据不足
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Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.